• IA-Sen: Check out the nosedive in Chuck Grassley’s approvals, polled by SurveyUSA but helpfully arranged in an easy-to-view downward trajectory by Senate Guru. He’s down from 71/22 in January to 50/40 in September. Was his bad faith negotiating on health care so transparent that it moved his numbers this much? At any rate, this ought to provide some encouragement to high (or at least medium) profile Dems still considering the race.
• NC-Sen: Not much change in the newest PPP look at the North Carolina Senate race, although Richard Burr might be benefitting a bit from broader Republican momentum. Burr’s approval is still a paltry 36/35, but he’s beating Generic Dem by 45-34 now (he lost that race 41-38 in June). He beats named Democratic opponents by at least 10 points, including Rep. Bob Etheridge 44-33 and SoS Elaine Marshall 44-32.
• NV-Sen: This is not the headline you want for the launch of your campaign in Nevada, where support of the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste dump is something akin to support for syphilis: “Yucca Dump Backer Runs for Senate.” The dump backer in question is Sue Lowden.
• KS-Gov, Sen: Nowhere is a bigger recruiting disaster for the Dems than Kansas, where they don’t have anybody lined up for the open seats for either Senate or Governor. However, it now sounds like state Dem party chair Larry Gates is expected to enter the gubernatorial race. The Senate race is a bigger question mark, although state Treasurer Dennis McKinney hasn’t exactly ruled it out.
• MD-Gov: Bill Clinton is doing some fundraising for someone not named Kendrick Meek. He’ll headline a fundraiser this week for Gov. Martin O’Malley (a Hillary endorser in 2008). O’Malley has yet to draw a noteworthy opponent for 2010.
• FL-08: Although the GOP is waiting around for state Sen. Daniel Webster to make up his mind on a run, another less-known Republican figure is charging straight into the race: 30-something real estate developer Armando Gutierrez Jr., who’s expected to announce his candidacy today. Gutierrez, via his father (who was spokesman for the Elian Gonzalez family during that bit of nastiness), is well-connected in the Cuban community. (Although, with the exception of ex-Sen. Mel Martinez, there’s not much of a Cuban political community in the Orlando area.)
• HI-01: State Sen. Colleen Hanabusa got a boost today, with an endorsement from EMILY’s List. This will give the progessive Hanabusa a nationwide fundraising profile to go against moderate ex-Rep. Ed Case in the open seat primary.
• MN-01: GOP State Sen. Julie Rosen is considering a race against Rep. Tim Walz in the rural 1st District. Rosen, however, is a prominent moderate, and she might be on the losing end of a GOP intramural fight, much as happened to state Sen. Dick Day in the 2008 primary.
• NY-15, Gov: Weird rumors were going around last week that the dual dilemmas of David Paterson and Charlie Rangel would be solved by Rangel stepping down and Paterson being given the Democratic nomination by party bosses in the ensuing special election, giving him a nice permanent job in NY-15 to pry him out of the Governor’s Mansion. Well, yesterday Paterson said thanks but no thanks.
• NY-29: This is kind of cryptic: Rep. Eric Massa says he’ll be making an important annoucement on the 10th. It may just be an announcement of his re-election, but it’s strangely worded; I’ll leave it to you to parse the verbiage.
• MT-St. Sen.: Legal trouble for the Montana state Senator who was behind the wheel in the drunk boating accident that injured Rep. Denny Rehberg and several others. Greg Barkus was hit with three felony charges for his role in the accident.
The pair of polls out today from SurveyUSA and Democracy Corps prove that if the voters won’t like Corzine, the Corzine campaign will just beat the sh*t out of the competition until they do!
in latest WaPo poll.
Somebody please explain to me how we are benefitting from Sibelius in DC.
The MT. State Senator is a republican.
Home state pains–KS Dems are such a mess. Larry Gates & Charles Schollenberger would be decent enough sacrificial lambs against Brownback & (hopefully) Moran, I just wish we could get candidates who have a real shot of winning. Personally, I’d rather see Lt. Gov. Troy Findley go up against Brownback. He has elected experience, a statewide profile, and as Sebelius’ former chief of staff, could make the argument that he’d be an extension of her (popular) rule as opposed to wingnutty Brownback.
Six & McKinney could replenish the statewide bench if they win, but that’s a big “if”. We’ve got state Rep. Raj Goyle putting up a fight for the open seat in KS-04, but I think the race that’s the most winnable is getting no attention: KS-02.
Lynn “Great White Dope” Jenkins ran as a moderate to defeat then-Congresswoman Nancy Boyda in ’08, but in trying to shore up her base has since turned into a gaffe-prone handmaiden for Rush Limbaugh. State Sen. Hensley, quoted in the article, would be a strong candidate against her, and wouldn’t have to give up his state Senate seat. But man, whatever happens, KS Dems are probably screwed for yet another cycle.
and I’m delighted to see that, for the first time, postage is paid on the return envelope. Does anyone know of a law change that would have made this possible for a domestic absentee ballot?
Those declining Grassley approvals could help make the case to him/her.
But maybe it’s not a politician. Are there any famous Democrat sports figures from IA?
Hasn’t been to Jersey. Corzine was there for Hillary as much as anybody. Certainly in terms of visibility.
St Paul Mayor Chris Coleman (D) will not run for governor.
http://www.startribune.com/pol…
My guess is that this will help neighboring Mayor RT Rybak but I really do not know.
Castle raised just $57,600 in the months of July, August and September, according to a report
But Castle began October with $853,000 left in his campaign account
CQ politics
He had actually filed with the FEC weeks ago, but this is the first time I’ve seen the media take note of him:
http://www.macon.com/local/sto…
http://www.pe.com/localnews/in…
http://www.nydailynews.com/blo…