11:32pm: One final update to play us out: The AP has indeed called a runoff for LA-03 (R). Jeff Landry must be gnashing his teeth at his 49.6% haul. Hunt Downer will probably have a hell of a time turning things around, having taken just 36.1%, and since I’d have to guess Kristian Magar is much more likely to endorse Landry. Still, this is probably good news for Dem Ravi Sangisetty in this long-shot race, since the runoff won’t take place until October 2nd! Anyhow, that ends the show.
11:07pm: Only a single precinct remains, and it doesn’t look like it’ll be enough to bump Landry from 49.6% back up to 50. Runoff time!
10:50pm: Just three precincts are outstanding in LA-03, and Jeff Landry has fallen below the runoff line — to 49.6% of the vote. One precinct is left in Landry-friendly Jefferson, and another in Lafourche, which split its votes fairly evenly between Landry and Downer.
10:40pm: The AP also calls LA-02 for Cedric Richmond, and over in LA-03, I may have spoke too soon. There are still 10 Downer-friendly precincts left, all in Terrebonne Parish, in the remaining 14.
10:34pm: We’re up to 96% done in LA-03, and Landry is holding steady at 50.3%. Looks like Hunt Downer is finished.
10:30pm: Things are tiiiight in LA-03, where Jeff Landry must hold the line at 50.2% (with 82% reporting) in order to avoid a runoff.
10:26pm: As noted in the comments, WWL-TV has called LA-02 for Cedric Richmond. With 21% in, Richmond has 63% of the vote. I’ll keep an eye on that one for a little longer, though.
10:14pm: We’re up to 11% of precincts in LA-02, and Richmond’s rolling with a 63-16 lead over LaFonta.
10:11pm: Chalie Melancon has won the Dem Senate nod in Louisiana. The AP has called the race for him, with 67% of the vote.
10:04pm: Landry now has a 52-33 lead on Downer with 43% in.
10:00pm: The AP has called the GOP Senate nod for David Vitter.
9:45pm: What a Downer! Landry now has a 51-37 lead on Downer with about 10% in.
9:43pm: Richmond’s now up to a 63-19 lead on LaFonta with 9% in. This is good news for Dems so far.
9:38pm: In LA-02, which is, from my perspective, the race with the most at stake tonight for Team Blue, Richmond now leads LaFonta by 58-20 with 6% of precincts reporting.
9:34pm: With six precincts reporting in the 3rd, Landry leads Downer by 48-44. Ultrabagger Kristian Magar has 9%. Whether or not this one goes to a runoff could be a close call.
9:30pm: Thanks to GOPVoter in the comments, we have some actual LA-02 results (neither the AP nor the SoS are reporting anything there so far). With 4% of precincts reporting, Cedric Richmond leads Juan LaFonta by 56-22, a few points above the runoff threshold.
9:19pm: Chet Traylor has surged all the way up to 8%, vastly exceeding expectations. In the 3rd, Landry has a 52%-38% lead on Downer, but we’re only looking at a couple hundred votes there so far.
9:08pm: With one precinct reporting (check out the LA SoS site), Melancon has 71% and Diaper Dave is at 92%. In the 3rd, Landry leads Downer by 3 votes.
9:02pm: Polls have now closed in Louisiana. This thing is about to go off.
8:51pm: It’s time to send this race to a farm upstate. The AP has called the GOP Senate nod for ’06 loser John Raese. He’s winning with 72% of the vote — a nearly equal share (in terms of %, not raw vote total) to Manchin’s 73%.
8:31pm: You don’t need money. You don’t need fame. You may not even need a credit card to ride the Ken Hechler train, but that’s a one-way express to nowhere. The AP calls the Dem Senate nod for Gov. Joe “The Manchine” Manchin. No call yet for the Republicans, even though Raese is cruising with nearly 70% of the vote.
8:11pm: I’m smelling an upset brewing. With almost 1% of precincts in, Hechler is hot on Manchin’s heels at 73-19.
7:55pm: And we’re off! A batch of early votes from Marion County are in, and Joe Manchin leads Ken Hechler by 83-10. (Stunner.) For the GOP, John Raese leads Mac Warner by 63-17.
Polls are now closed in West Virginia, where fireworks are about to go off as Joe Manchin faces off against the formidable 95 year-old Ken Hechler for the special Democratic Senate primary. Polls in Louisiana will close at 9pm Eastern.
RESULTS:
- Louisiana: Associated Press | Geaux Vote | Politico
- West Virginia: Associated Press | Politico
obviously Hechlermentum will build in the rest of the state
11 precincts reporting: Manchin 73%, Hechler 19%
Early Bird Special
don’t run for office.
I do hereby taunt today’s minor candidates
Granting it’s out of only 12000 votes, but I don’t see any way that Hechler doesn’t beat out Manchin. Yep, it’s all over but the crying for Manchin 😛
what a yawntastic race.
Hechler 19%, Manchin 72%
Hechler is gaining ground!
Although he is seriously winning 29% in Kanawha County. Keep in mind that the hometown/county of candidates is printed on the ballot and Hechler is billed from Charleston
I SMELL ZE UPSET!
now I want to go watch Back to the Future.
And just because the “AP” (whoever the hell they are) have called the race, does not actually mean this race is actually over, Hechler could still have an ace up his sleeve, after all, he started off over 50 points behind when this thing started, so you never really know!
Ok, fine, I couldn’t keep a straight face through that one.
I demand Close elections! Specifically on the GOP side, but I’ll take for our side too.
Look at Morehouse County, where the only precinct is reporting. That precinct had 0 votes in the Republican Sen primary. Also, Vitter is winning with a bigger margin than Melancon.
With a 5 vote lead, he is out of run-off territory! If only it holds….
as noted earlier, WV lists the hometown/home county on the primary ballot
Democrats
Kanawha (Hechler, 106/160): Manchin 5036 (63%), Hechler 2248 (28%), Fletcher 683
Marion (Manchin, 76/76): Manchin 1257 (76%), Hechler 207, Fletcher 183
Monongalia (Fletcher, 35/71): Manchin 782 (55%), Hechler 336 (24%), Fletcher 305 (21%)
Republicans
Berkeley (Ressler, 33/66): Ressler has 197 votes (14%), Raese has 752 (52%)
Jefferson (Kubic, 32/32): Kubic has 179 votes (17%), Raese has 486 votes (46%)
Kanawha (Bruner, 106/160): Bruner has 300 votes (7%), Raese has 3311 votes (77%)
Marion (McQuain, 76/76): McQuain has 103 votes (7%), Raese has 1044 votes (67%)
Monongalia (Raese and Warner, 35/71): Raese has 748 (78%), Warner has 127 votes (13%)
Nicholas (Culp, absentees reporting): Culp has 15 votes (29%), Raese has 33 votes (65%)
Upshur (Rebich and Williams, 6/29): Rebich has 21 votes (7%), Williams has 68 votes (21%), Raese has 197 (61%)
San Pedro, CA (Albert Howard): Election not held, San Pedro not part of West Virginia
Anthony Gentile, a perennial candidate, is getting crushed in Louisiana’s first ever Libertarian primary.
With 3% reporting, he is at 55% : http://www.wwltv.com/news/elec…
IDK whats going on, they just took 3 precincts away.
The SoS would get numbers up so I could see where these are from. Hopefully they are from Richmond’s district…
Really hoping for a run-off here…
And this is the first time I’ve spelled the guy’s name right all day.
Comparing LA Truth PAC to birthers on TV. LOL
AP just called it for both of them.
AP just called it for both of them.
Richmond is crushing in Jefferson Parish; he’s at 65% there. He’s at 56% in the few Orleans precincts that are in so far.
against Melancon will look like. Maybe they’ll have people saying, “Charlie bit my finger.”
Can you elaborate more on the support Rodney Alexander gave Landrieu? Did he just not campaign with Kennedy or was there more to it?
He’s handily winning his home parish of Terrebonne but getting killed everywhere else. Lafourche (which he used to represent in the legislature) is the only good sided parish where he’s not losing by close to 2-1 ratios. Most of Terrebonne is still out but unless St. Bernard’s good for him I don’t see Landry getting <50%.
http://www.wwltv.com/news/elec…
Sangisetty and Downer are from the same Parish.
At least the general election map shouldn’t be boring, but the reality of redistricting is that Landry’s house might end up in a district with Boustany
Hey guys, just wanted to fill everyone in, the GOP primary for Attorney General in Arizona is STILL not over yet!
Democrat Felecia Rotellini, former assistant attorney general of Arizona known for being the state’s lead litigator in the 1999 Arthur Andersen case, barely won the Democratic primary over State House minority leader David Lujan, 41.3%-40.8% (that’s less than 1,400 votes out of almost 250,000 votes cast). Fortunately, there doesn’t seem to be any bad blood in such a close race.
But the real fireworks are on the GOP side. It’s between superintendent of public instruction Tom Horne and former Maricopa County attorney Andrew Thomas. And Horne’s lead is just at 636 votes out of over 471,000 cast. There are 12,000 provisional ballots in Maricopa County, but it’s unclear from the news reports just how many have been counted so far.
FYI, Andrew Thomas is considered a proxy for Sheriff Joe Arpaio.
None of his district has reported yet, and he is winning much of LaFonta’s.
Probably wishing he would have sought that Lt. Gov appointment right about now. Sad to see him go. I really liked him, and Landry ran a very dirty campaign. At least Landry can be around for awhile, at only 39.
He’s 115 votes ahead of a runoff, 20 precincts are left, but 11 of them are in Terrebonne, which is the one parish that’s gone for Downer so far.
He didn’t win but he kept it close.
Landry’s JUST over 50%. All that’s left is 9 precincts in Terrebonne (Downer’s home where he’s doing well), 6 in Plaquemines (Landry’s cruising), 2 in Lafourche, and one in Jefferson. Look’s like a close one assuming Downer doesn’t bow out no matter what.
Landry was able to be on TV much more and define Downer.
Keep up the momentum!
why turnout in the LA primaries was so low?
I know the weather was bad and the state isn’t as populated as it was when the districts were drawn… but some of the turnout numbers are just abysmal.
Is it the fact that it’s a Saturday? Is participation in LA primaries usually this poor?
a Republican runoff in LA-3 could help Butch Gautreaux make a runoff for the Louisiana Lt. Governor’s race. Gautreaux is a Democrat.
Ok, the Louisiana caucus can tell us more about the Lt. Governor’s race and how turnout in SE Louisiana can help tilt that race
I look forward to a runoff full of cat fud, even if we’re bound to lose it will still be entertaining!
NOT conceding yet.
Calls a run-off between Landry and Downer.
In the debate, he teamed up with Downer to attack Landry. Downer and Magar were very friendly towards each other. Downer never attacked Magar, Magar never attacked Downer. Landry attacked Magar, and Magar was not happy with those attacks. Magar attacked Landry for shady business dealings. I think Downer will work Magar very hard for an endorsement. If he doesn’t get it, I wonder if he drops out?
Guy without prostitute 52 point victory.
So my very crude regression shows a 29 point “prostitution effect.”
pretty good evidence that this is a useless metric
sorry GOPVOTER.
Except, may be, LA-03. Republican run-off there, is, obviously, good for Democrats, but this race remains almost hopeless nevertheless. If Sangisetty would be a Cajun – it could matter more…