Braun Research for cn|2 (9/20-21, likely voters, 8/9-8/10 in parens):
John Yarmuth (D-inc): 53 (52)
Todd Lally (R): 30 (29)
Michael Hansen (I): 5 (1)
Ed Martin (L): 1 (-)
Undecided: 12 (17)
(MoE: ±4.4%)
Good stuff for sophomore Dem Rep. John Yarmuth here – certainly a much better outlook than that SurveyUSA poll projected earlier this month (which claimed that Yarmuth only had a 2% edge).
Bonus finding: Jack Conway leads Rand Paul by 51-39 in the 3rd District. This is one district where Conway will need to find a way to run up the score (Bruce Lunsford won Jefferson County by over 11% against Mitch McConnell in 2008).
does anyone know how Braun Research’s track record is? They don’t even exist in Nate Silver’s pollster ratings, as they just started in May 2010.
More politicians should adopt this position, it’s proving to be quite popular.
Hint Hint Jack Conway
*Don’t know what I’m talking about? See Colbert Report Better Know a District, KY-03.
know I have tried my very best to avoid SUSA bashing but screw it I just have little to no confidence in them anymore. Granted I’m not a big Braun fan but I buy these numbers before SUSA’s numbers.
I clicked on the link, it was not in the story. I clicked on the physical poll and it was in the table of contents but for some reason every time I scrolled down it skipped over many pages and would just not work for me. So brownie points to whoever can tell me the mayoral results.