Skyrockets in Flight

Continuing with today’s theme of throwing a random assortment of crap at you with little to no commentary…

FL-Sen, FL-Gov: Public Opinion Strategies for the Florida Chamber of Commerce (9/27-30, likely voters):

Alex Sink (D): 42

Rick Scott (R): 46

Kendrick Meek (D): 16

Charlie Crist (I): 33

Marco Rubio (R): 40

(MoE: ±3.5%)

Susquehanna (9/28-10/3, likely voters):

Alex Sink (D): 42

Rick Scott (R): 44

(MoE: ±3.1%)

UFMDC (9/23-30, likely voters):

Alex Sink (D): 46

Rick Scott (R): 52

Kendrick Meek (D): 26

Charlie Crist (I): 27

Marco Rubio (R): 46

(MoE: ±4.4%)

NY-Sen-B, NY-Gov: Public Policy Polling (Sen | Gov) (10/1-3, likely voters):

Kirsten Gillibrand (D-inc): 50

Joe DioGuardi (R): 40

Andrew Cuomo (D): 53

Carl Paladino (R): 38

(MoE: ±4%)

Siena (10/3-4, likely voters):

Andrew Cuomo (D): 56

Carl Paladino (R): 32

(MoE: ±3.9%)

PA-Sen, PA-Gov: Marist for McClatchy (9/26-28, likely voters):

Joe Sestak (D): 42

Pat Toomey (R): 51

Dan Onorato (D): 41

Tom Corbett (R): 53

(MoE: ±4.5%)

HI-Gov: Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos (10/2-3, likely voters):

Neil Abercrombie (D): 49

Duke Aiona (R): 47

(MoE: ±2.7%)

TX-Gov: Texas Lyceum (9/22-30, likely voters):

Bill White (D): 43

Rick Perry (R-inc): 48

Kathie Glass (L): 5

Deb Shafto (G): 1

(MoE: ±4.8%)

CT-05: Merriman River Group for the CT Capitol Report (10/3-5, likely voters):

Chris Murphy (D-inc): 44

Sam Caligiuri (R): 50

(MoE: ±4.4%)

Gotham Research Group for Chris Murphy (9/19-21, likely voters):

Chris Murphy (D-inc): 50

Sam Caligiuri (R): 37

(MoE: ±4.1%)

MI-07: Myers Research for Mark Schauer (10/3-4, likely voters, 9/21-22 in parens):

Mark Schauer (D-inc): 44 (45)

Tim Walberg (R): 40 (43)

(MoE: ±4.4%)

NC-08: SurveyUSA for Civitas (10/1-3, likely voters):

Larry Kissell (D-inc): 46

Harold Johnson (R): 45

(MoE: ±4.7%)

NJ-06: Monmouth (10/2-5, likely voters):

Frank Pallone (D-inc): 53

Anna Little (R): 41

(MoE: ±3.9%)

75 thoughts on “Skyrockets in Flight”

  4. Sink’s already used much of the material available to attack Scott. Scott is now the clear favorite. It’s not helping that Rubio is starting to run away with this either.  

  5. I know it’s a bad indicator, but I drive around here and actually see a bunch of Linda McMahon and Chris Murphy yard signs on the same house.

    His internal seems much more correct, and I doubt a GOPer from Waterbury (aka more corrupt than Bridgeport) could ever get 50% in this district, even if it is normally a swing.

  6. Not very reassuring.  

    According to my model, if Little were to somehow win this seat (she won’t), the GOP would gain something like 105 seats.  Not going to happen.    

  8. Hey, new here.

    MI-07 has been trending away from Walberg since the summer.  I’d like folks to remember that the incumbent defeated the guy currently running against him by something like 3 points during the Obama wave of 2008.

    That this has essentially been a tie for a month or more probably bodes more favorably for Schauer than it does Walberg, yes, even given the national environment.  At the end of the day, I predict Schauer pulls this out by 3 to 5 points.  

    Though this is a district that leans conservative, that doesn’t actually make it a Republican district.  And unlike maybe somewhere in the South, Walberg’s Birther row is going to hurt him more than it’s going to help him in this district.

  9. http://www.tedstrickland.com/c…

    Hard to rationalize why Kasich would suddenly be upside-down in favorability, though. I still think this is Lean R, especially with the Senate race quickly veering into Safe R territory. (My own voter model finds Kasich up 4, which would normally constitute toss-up for me, but my gut tells me this ain’t a dead heat.)

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