I thought of this idea a few days back when I realized that we might be able to compare margins between 2008 and 2010 for frosh and sophomore losers, to see who should be coming back. For example, I’d like to see Tom Perriello (who won by about 50-50 in 2008 and lost by about 47-51 in 2010) and Bobby Bright (who won by about 50-50 in 2008 and lost by about 49-51 in 2010) coming back for another crack at things.
I then realized that I could do this for like…well, every district.
I’ve started up a Google Spreadsheet for this! The spreadsheet is now finished! Check it out here:
https://spreadsheets.google.co…
IMPORTANT NOTES ARE BELOW THE FOLD.
1. Do pay attention to the formatting, and try to keep it like that.
2. If you want to add 2004 congressional, 2004 Kerry/Bush, and 2008 Obama/McCain numbers, please do so in new columns. 2004 congressional should go before 2006 congressional, and presidential columns should go last.
3. Add as many districts as you wish, if you want to see them on the list. When adding rows, remember to ADD TWO ROWS FOR EACH DISTRICT.
By the way, the spreadsheet is now locked because it’s finished. If you spot an error, please let me know and I will fix it.
Or if you want to add data for other districts, or other data, such as 2004 data or presidential data. Give me your GMail address and I’ll give you access.
huge props to you for filling out about 40% of the chart.
AK Ethan Berkowitz (45-50)
AL 2 Bobby Bright (49-51)
CA 3 Bill Durston (44-49) or Ami Bera (43-51)
CA 44 Bill Hedrick (44-56)
IL 8 Melissa Bean (49-49)
IN 8 Brad Ellsworth (65-35)
MI 7 Mark Schauer (45-50) or Sharon Renier (46-50)
NH 2 Ann McLane Kuster (47-48)
NY 13 Mike McMahon (48-52)
PA 8 Patrick Murphy (46-54)
SD Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (46-48)
VA 5 Tom Perriello (47-51)
WA 8 Darcy Burner or Suzan DelBene (47-53 both)
WI 8 Steve Kagen (45-55)
WV 1 Mike Oliverio (49-50)
WY Gary Trauner (43-53)
I’d like a very strong Progressive group of candidates for 2012, so I think we
should cede some districts to the Republicans. Like the ideological purity
of the Tea Party candidates which will give the new Republican majority an
extremely unified caucus, we need to have a team that supports each other
and won’t weakly fall apart and run on the defensive anymore. We need a
caucus that supports the agenda that it passes. We saw how well the
Blue Dog Democrats did.
We can expect all of the Republican candidates that almost knocked off
Dem incumbents in 2010 to run again.
Of course, redistricting and gerrymandering will create a whole new map for
us in 2012
Tom Perriello, a conviction candidate, ran a very strong campaign in a very
conservative district in a very Republican year and he lost, but not by much (47-51).
I think we need to run more Tom Perriellos in 2012!
Glenn,
Could you contact me at danny.yadron@wsj.com regarding a story I’m working on.
Thanks so much,
Danny