Who do you wanna see coming back?

Well, I don’t know who else to include in the tags, but this thread is about people who lost races–even if by landslides–who we think have real potential to do something awesome.

Scott Kleeb: obviously, the netroots darling of this cycle.  With his coming so close in NE-03 last time, I think he should have run again there, rather than get in over his head running for the Senate seat against a non-crappy (and quite tough) candidate.  It seems that the fact that Adrian Smith sucked hasn’t yet resonated into netroots consciousness the way Bill Sali’s antics have, and thus it was passed around that Kleeb’s overperformance in NE-03 meant that he could similarly overperform in all of Nebraska.  But he seems like he’s got a future ahead of him, and I think we’d love to see him back.

Gary Trauner: I think I’ve mentioned several times that he’s my favorite candidate, and not only that, he’s almost singlehandedly built a semblance of a Democratic bench in Wyoming (of all places!).  His name’s been tossed around as a gubernatorial candidate, since (to paraphrase someone) Wyomingites are more comfortable sending a Democrat to Cheyenne than to DC.

Nancy Boyda: a nearly heart-breaking loss, from the person who I’ve heard got DCCC money in 2004 and lost badly, then refused it in 2006 (mostly) and won a surprise victory, and then refused it again in 2008 and lost narrowly.  I remember seeing one of her announcements in her capacity as a Representative, and she seemed like a quite hard-working person who really wanted to serve her constituents.

Jon Powers: three words: Jack ****ing Davis.  Will we see more of him?  He can’t really high-tail back to New York immediately either, so this one is really in the air.

Alice Kryzan: How good of a candidate was she?  Will we see more of her?  Would we like to?  I have little to no information about her.

Chris Rothfuss: the Democratic Senate candidate against Mike Enzi of Wyoming, this college instructor with chemical engineering and diplomacy experiences was in WAYYYYYY over his head.  But as my mother mentioned, this guy’s got presidential-level potential, and I hope he gets somewhere.  I was very receptive to his appeal for more scientists in Congress, and while we just got one more recently (Bill Foster), there’s no question that we need more.

Don Cazayoux: Unfortunately, Michael Jackson Wanted to Be Where Don Cazayoux Is, and made everyone not Happy by running as an independent and not Beating It.  This caused this One Day of Cazayoux’s Life, this past Tuesday, to be Bad, because the district’s African-American voters were torn by the question of Black or White, and caused a rare election-day Thriller for Republicans this year as Bill Cassidy succeeded in letting himself say “This Seat Is Mine”.  So Farewell Our Summer Love, LA-06, but let’s not Cry over it, because Cazayoux might Wanna Be Startin’ Something since he’s still got quite a bit of potential.  Will You Be There for him?

Nick Lampson: A comeback kid swept back out of office, by extremely unfriendly turf that nearly elected Snelly Dracula-Gibbr Shelly Sekula-Gibbs in write-in ballots.  Will he be back for another round once we can tip Texas’s districting a bit closer back to sanity?

Larry LaRocco: does this guy have anything else he can do?  Will he wait until Risch really screws it up?  Or can he do something else?  Or is Walt Minnick the way of the future, with apologies to poor LaRocco who worked his butt off on one of the best Senate campaigns this year?  (Speaking of which, what’s Larry Grant doing?)

Larry Craig: Hmm, I think we’d love to have him around!  (What about other Idahoans named Larry?  Is there something that really curses them to political problems?)

Debbie Cook: Seems like a quite awesome candidate…can we get her to run again in 2010?

Dan Seals: Will he be running again?  Or is third time seriously not going to be the charm?  What else could he do?

Elwyn Tinklenberg: How about our favorite light rail champion?  How about another run against the House Anti-American Activities Committee’s lone member?

Tom Allen: I’ve heard that he kept the campaign relatively placid in order to position himself to run for governor.

Rick Noriega: Rumor has it that Hutchison wants the governorship.  Is Noriega our man for the job?  He ran a decent (though, according to people around here it seems, not quite stellar) campaign even though it was a serious uphill battle.

Who else do we want to see again?

What are the coalitions that currently make up each party?

So last night, President George W. “Dubya” Bush promised President-elect Barack Obama that he (Bush) would ensure a smooth transition.  Likely translation: “Lemme use my lame-duck time to eke out as much deregulatory action as I feel like doing; even better that I don’t have to suffer the consequences, but a Democrat does.  And maybe I can even throw in some social conservatism stuff because the wealthy social moderates in my party can’t do jack about it anymore, lol!”

Well, speaking of these pro-business and wealthy social moderates…what are the coalitions that currently make up our two parties?  Lemme start making some lists:

Democrats: social liberals, urban poor, most minority groups, lower-middle class, well-educated (i.e. college or more)

Republicans: pro-big-business people (often socially moderate or even liberal), rural social conservatives (often economically populist), rural libertarians?

swing groups: suburbanites and exurbanites, small-business people, middle class, upper-middle class

What else is there?

GMH’s Predictions, Part 2: Mississippi through Wyoming (in alphabetical order of abbreviation)

And here’s part 2.

By the way, the results of my predictions are:

Senate: +8

House: +35 (+38-3)

Governorships: +1 (Missouri)

President EV: 252 + 9(CO) + 27(FL) + 7(IA) + 11(MO) + 15(NC) + 5(NM) + 5(NV) + 20(OH) + 13(VA) = 364 EV

These predictions do NOT count the LA-04 general election, the projected GA-Sen runoff, or a legislature-decided Vermont governorship.  (Thus, there is a possible +9 Senate, +37 House, and +2 governorships if you count Pollina as a Democrat (or Symington if she actually wins by legislature).)

PART TWO: Mississippi, Montana, North Carolina, North Dakota, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, Nevada, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Vermont, Washington, Wisconsin, West Virginia, Wyoming

MS-Pres: down-dash, lean R, R keep

MS-Sen*: down-dash, lean R, R keep (OH HOW I WISH AND HOPE I AM WRONG ABOUT THIS)

MS-01: up-dash, likely D, D keep

MS-03: down, likely R, R keep

MT-Pres: down-dash, lean R, R keep

NC-Pres: dash, tossup, D gain (+15 EV)

NC-Sen: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+1 Senate) (widest margin of NC-Pres, NC-Sen, NC-Gov)

NC-05: down-dash, lean R, R keep (though once again, I’d love to be wrong about this)

NC-08: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+1 House)

NC-10: down-dash, lean R, R keep (same comment as for NC-05)

NC-Gov: dash, tossup, D hold (closest of NC-Pres, NC-Sen, and NC-Gov)

ND-Pres: down-dash, lean R, R keep

NE-Sen: down, likely R, R keep (aww…Kleeb should have run again in NE-03)

NE-02Pres: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 EV)

NE-02: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

NH-Pres: up-dash, likely D, D keep

NH-Sen: up-dash, likely D, D gain (+1 Senate)

NH-01: up-dash, lean D, D keep

NH-02: up, likely D, D keep

NJ-Sen: up, safe D, D keep

NJ-03: up-dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

NJ-04: down-dash, lean R, R keep

NJ-05: down-dash, tossup, R keep

NJ-07: up-dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

NM-Pres: up-dash, likely D, D gain (+5 EV)

NM-Sen: up, likely D, D gain (+1 Senate)

NM-01: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+1 House)

NM-02: up-dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

NM-03: up, safe D, D keep

NV-Pres: dash, lean D, D gain (+5 EV)

NV-02: down-dash, leans R, R keep (unfortunately, though of course I’d love to be wrong)

NV-03: dash, lean D, D gain (+1 House)

NY-13: (double?) up, safe D, D gain (+1 House)

NY-19: up, likely D, D keep

NY-20: up, likely D, D keep

NY-24: up, safe D, D keep

NY-25: up, likely D, D gain (+1 House)

NY-26: down-dash, lean R, R keep

NY-29: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+1 House)

OH-Pres: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+20 EV)

OH-01: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

OH-02: down-dash, lean R, R keep

OH-03: down-dash, tossup, R keep (this might be a dark horse, and I hope I’m wrong!)

OH-07: dash, tossup, R keep (same comment as for OH-03)

OH-12: down, lean R, R keep

OH-14: down-dash, lean R, R keep (same comment as for OH-03)

OH-15: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+1 House)

OH-16: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+1 House)

OK-Sen: down, likely R, R keep (DAMN YOU INHOFE)

OK-01: down, likely R, R keep (sorry)

OR-Pres: up, safe D, D keep

OR-Sen: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+1 Senate)

OR-05: up, safe D, D keep

PA-Pres: up, likely D, D keep

PA-03: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

PA-04: up, likely D, D keep

PA-05: down-dash, tossup, R keep

PA-06: down, likely R, R keep

PA-07: up, likely D, D keep

PA-08: up, safe D, D keep

PA-10: up-dash, likely D, D keep

PA-11: down-dash, lean R, R gain (-1 House)

PA-12: up-dash, lean D, D keep (whew?)

PA-15: down-dash, tossup, R keep (but what if I’m wrong? 🙂 )

PA-18: down, lean R, R keep

RI-none: (sorry, no competitive federal-level or gubernatorial races in Rhode Island)

SC-Pres: down, likely R, R keep

SC-Sen: down, lean R, R keep (if Conley wins, something strange will have happened)

SC-01: down-dash, tossup, R keep (I really hope I’m wrong about this one too!  Politics1 predicts that I will be!)

SC-02: down-dash, lean R, R keep

SD-Pres: down, likely R, R keep

TX-Pres: down-dash, likely R, R keep

TX-Sen: down-dash, lean R, R keep (disappointing…)

TX-07: down-dash, tossup, R keep (I wish otherwise)

TX-10: down-dash, tossup, R keep (I wish otherwise too, and this might be more likely to flip than TX-07)

TX-22: down-dash, tossup, R gain (-1 House) (I REALY HOPE I’M WRONG-GO LAMPSON!!!)

TX-23: up, safe D, D keep

UT-02: up, safe D, D keep

VA-Pres: up-dash, likely D, D gain (+13 EV)

VA-Sen: double up, safe D, D gain (+1 Senate)

VA-02: dash, tossup, R keep (I hope otherwise!)

VA-05: down-dash, tossup, R keep (same comment as for VA-02)

VA-10: dash, tossup, R keep (same comment as for VA-10, and I can’t rank these three either)

VA-11: up-dash, likely D, D gain (+1 House)

VT-Gov: down, likely R, R keep? (based on whether Douglas gets over 50% and if not the leg. decides)

WA-Pres: up, safe D, D keep

WA-02: up, safe D, D keep

WA-04: down, likely R, R keep

WA-08: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

WA-Gov: dash, lean D, D keep

WI-Pres: up, safe D, D keep

WI-08: up, likely D, D keep

WV-Pres: down-dash, likely R, R keep

WV-02: down-dash, lean R, R keep (again, I’d love to be wrong!)

WY-Sen: (double?) down, safe R, R keep

WY-AL: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House) (this is a hard one to predict, and I think it’ll be a small margin for either D or R…and I’m gonna guess D)

GMH’s Predictions, Part 1: Alaska through Missouri (in alphabetical order of abbreviation)

I put my predictions in the following format:

State-race (# of EV if presidential): margin, chance, result (change from Democratic perspective) (comments, if any)

Margin terms: up, up-dash, dash, down-dash, down.  These reflect my written shorthand.  An up-arrow (“up”) refers to a margin of 8 points or more for the Democrat.  An up-arrow with a dash through the tail (“up-dash”) means a margin of about 2-7 points in the Democrat’s favor.  A dash (“dash”) means a margin closer than that, or basically a toss-up.  (Substitute “Republican” for “Democrat” when you see “down” instead of “up”).

Chance terms: I use the same terms as SSP: “safe” means I can’t see a reasonable chance for the other party to win (barring something really crazy happening, basically); “likely” means that I feel I can safely predict that outcome but would be vulnerable to a strong challenge from the other side; “lean” means I feel that that side has only a narrow advantage; “tossup” means I think both sides are about evenly matched.

Result: “keep” means the incumbent party retains the seat; “gain” means the winning party wins the seat from the other side.  “change from Democratic perspective” means that “+1 House” refers to a gain of one Democratic House seat while “-1 House” refers to the loss of one Democratic House seat.

And before I begin: Be sure to join me (and hopefully other SSP people!) on IRC on election night!  Once again, our chat room is #swingstateproject on the Chat4All network (irc.chat4all.org).  Hope to see you there!

Edit: Added LA-02.

Now, here we go!  (below the fold)  Part 2 coming soon, before the end of the day!

PART ONE: Alaska, Alabama, Arkansas, Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Iowa, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Maryland, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri

AK-Pres: down, safe R, R keep

AK-Sen: up, likely D, D gain (+1 Senate)

AK-AL: up-dash, likely D, D gain (+1 House)

AL-02: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

AL-03: down-dash, lean R, R keep

AL-05: up-dash, lean D, D keep

AR-Pres: down, likely R, R keep

AZ-Pres: down-dash, lean D, R keep

AZ-01: up, lean D, D gain (+1 House) (where are the polls?)

AZ-03: down-dash, lean R, R keep

AZ-05: up, safe D, D keep

AZ-08: up, safe D, D keep

CA-03: down-dash, lean R, R keep

CA-04: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+1 House) (You’ll be a winning candidate, Charlie Brown!)

CA-11: up, safe D, D keep

CA-26: down-dash, likely R, R keep

CA-42: down, safe R, R keep

CA-44: down, safe R, R keep

CA-45: down, safe R, R keep

CA-46: dash, lean R, R keep (sorry, but I think it’s unlikely.  but I’d LOVE to be wrong about this!)

CA-50: down-dash, lean R, R keep

CO-Pres: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+9 EV)

CO-Sen: up, likely D, D gain (+1 Senate)

CO-04: up-dash, likely D, D gain (+1 House)

CO-05: down-dash, likely R, R keep

CO-06: down-dash, safe R, R keep

CT-02: up, safe D, D keep

CT-04: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

CT-05: up, likely D, D keep

CT-GA-014: down, likely R, R keep (this is my state house district!  I’m voting for Kathy Hale!  I have no polling data so this is just a basic guess, but I hope I’m wrong!)

DE-AL: down, safe R, R keep (nope, not this year)

DE-Gov: up, safe D, D keep

FL-Pres: dash, toss-up, D gain (+27 EV)

FL-05: down, safe R, R keep

FL-06: down, safe R, R keep

FL-07: down-dash, safe R, R keep

FL-08: dash, lean D, D gain (+1 House)

FL-09: down, safe R, R keep

FL-10: down, safe R, R keep

FL-12: down-dash, safe R, R keep

FL-13: down-dash, likely R, R keep

FL-15: down, likely R, R keep

FL-16: double down, safe R, R gain (-1 House)

FL-18: down-dash, tossup, R keep (again, I’d love to be wrong!)

FL-21: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

FL-24: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+1 House)

FL-25: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

GA-Pres: down-dash, lean R, R keep

GA-Sen: dash, tossup, runoff (I’m not predicting runoff results at this time)

GA-01: down-dash, lean R, R keep (again, I’d love to be wrong!)

GA-03: down, likely R, R keep (so much for Mr. “Uppity”‘s come-uppance)

GA-06: down-dash, likely R, R keep

GA-08: up-dash, likely D, D keep

GA-12: up, likely D, D keep

HI-none: (sorry, no competitive federal-level or gubernatorial races in Hawaii)

IA-Pres: up, safe D, D gain (+7 EV)

IA-04: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

IA-05: dash, lean R, R keep

ID-Sen: down, likely R, R keep

ID-01: up-dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

IL-06: down-dash, lean R, R keep

IL-08: up, likely D, D keep

IL-10: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

IL-11: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+1 House)

IL-13: down-dash, likely R, R keep

IL-14: up-dash, likely D, D keep

IL-18: down, likely R, R keep

IN-Pres: down-dash, tossup, R keep

IN-02: up, safe D, D keep

IN-03: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

IN-04: down-dash, lean R, R keep

IN-06: down-dash, lean R, R keep

IN-07: up, safe D, D keep

IN-08: up, safe D, D keep

IN-09: up, likely D, D keep

IN-Gov: down-dash, likely R, R keep

KS-Sen: down, likely R, R keep

KS-02: up-dash, lean D, D keep

KS-03: up-dash, likely D, D keep

KY-Sen: down-dash, lean R, R keep (OH HOW I’D LOVE TO BE WRONG)

KY-01: down-dash, likely R, R keep

KY-02: down-dash, lean R, R keep

KY-03: up, likely D, D keep

KY-04: down, likely R, R keep

LA-Sen: up, likely D, D keep

LA-01: down-dash, lean R, R keep (and I’d love to be wrong here too!)

LA-02: up, safe D, D keep (the point of this race is whether Moreno can succeed in defeating the indicted Jefferson; Jefferson seems likely to win at this point, unfortunately)

LA-04: general election occurs later

LA-06: up-dash, likely D, D keep

LA-07: down-dash, tossup, R keep (I have no polling on this race…)

MA-Sen: double up, safe D, D keep

MD-01: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

ME-Sen: down, likely R, R keep

ME-01: up, likely D, D keep

MI-Pres: up, likely D, D keep

MI-07: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+1 House)

MI-08: down, likely R, R keep

MI-09: up-dash, lean D, D gain (+1 House)

MN-Pres: up, likely D, D keep

MN-Sen: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 Senate)

MN-01: up, likely D, D keep

MN-02: down-dash, lean R, R keep

MN-03: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

MN-06: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

MO-Pres: dash, tossup, D gain (+11 EV)

MO-06: down-dash, likely R, R keep

MO-09: dash, tossup, D gain (+1 House)

IL-18: Backdate-gate, Aaron Schock’s first taste of scandal!

I got an e-mail from Dick Durbin today, telling me about Aaron Schock’s new scandal: Backdate-gate!

Apparently, he didn’t quite mind notarizing documents fradulently!  Not only does he say crazy things about exporting nukes, he also gets himself involved in fraud.  How surprising.

I’ve reproduced Senator Durbin’s e-mail below the fold.  Let’s help Colleen Callahan beat Aaron Schock!

Dear Friend,

I am writing you this urgent appeal because I have nowhere else to turn.

There has been a game-changing development in an important Congressional race in downstate Illinois.

It’s an open seat in Peoria, which is traditionally Republican.

The GOP nominee is a 27-year-old named Aaron Schock who has all the money he can spend. He shoots from the hip about sending nuclear weapons to Taiwan and his undying loyalty to George Bush’s failed agenda.

Our Democratic nominee, Colleen Callahan, is a bright, engaging community leader who has spent 30 years in broadcast journalism covering a variety of issues and specializing in agriculture policy.

As a newcomer she has raised over $450,000, but Schock has swamped her with the help of national Republican sources.

Please make a contribution to Colleen Callahan’s campaign today, and help her compete against her well-financed Republican opponent!

Last week there was a blockbuster story across Illinois that Schock had notarized fraudulent documents with false dates so that his father could be eligible for offshore tax shelters. The source of the story was Schock’s own father in sworn testimony before a federal court. The damning testimony was buried in a court transcript but an Associated Press reporter dug it out, making statewide news.

Schock denied wrongdoing and said he saw nothing wrong with notarizing documents he knew were clearly fraudulent. A national notary expert quoted in the story said Schock clearly broke the law because “to backdate a document … is illegal. You have to notarize for the current date.”

Colleen Callahan’s campaign has just produced a powerful new television ad to expose “Backdate-gate.” But right now, Colleen has enough money to run this ad for only four days. She needs at least $10,000 from our community to deliver this important message to the voters through Election Day.

Please click here to watch Colleen Callahan’s new ad, and make a contribution so she can keep it on the air through Election Day!

Schock’s clear misconduct raises serious questions about his judgment. When the voters know the facts, Colleen Callahan can win.

Colleen is not only a good person, she brings the kind of mature judgment to this race that we need in Congress.

We need your help today.

If you can send Colleen’s campaign $10, $100, or whatever you can afford, it can make the difference.

The election is only a few days away and your help can decide this critical contest.

Sincerely,

Dick Durbin

U.S. Senator

P.S. After you make a contribution to Colleen Callahan’s campaign, please visit IllinoisVictory2008.com and sign up to volunteer with the coordinated effort to elect Democrats across Illinois!

Comments I Missed, and Thoughts about Florida (humor)

Just a few responses to comments from old topics that I missed while out of town.

http://swingstateproject.com/s…

Did Kanjorski do something bad?  If not, it seems that the only ones who need to go are Mahoney and Jefferson.

http://swingstateproject.com/s…

Well, granted, Negron ran a strong campaign, as I heard, and they had a really nice slogan for it too (“Punch Foley for Negron”).

http://swingstateproject.com/s…

Do we have evidence about Anzalone-Liszt’s quality other than MS-01?

http://swingstateproject.com/s…

And make those funny EV rules actually worth something!

Also, some funny thoughts about Florida, in response to a comment whose location I forgot:

No one puts faith in Florida.  Here are the rules of dealing with Florida:

1. No one understands Florida.  It does not make sense.

2. Florida does not do what you want it to do.  However, if you expect it not to do what you want it to do, it will do what you want it to do.  But this therefore starts an endless cycle in which you expect it to do either what you want or what you don’t want.

3. Florida has the inexplicable quantum ability to exist in more than one state of affairs simultaneously, allowing statement #2 to be true.  Thus, it is possible to simultaneously win and lose an election.

4. No one puts faith in Florida.  If you do, you are dutily rewarded.  Al Gore put his faith in Florida and he was rewarded with a supreme court decision.  George W. Bush put his faith in Florida and he was rewarded with a Middle Eastern mess, a sinking economy, and the worst presidential disapproval ratings ever.  Christine Jennings put her faith in Florida and she was rewarded with voting problems in Sarasota County.  Katherine Harris put her faith in Florida and she was rewarded with a good ass-whupping courtesy of Bill Nelson.  Heck, I put my faith in Florida and I was rewarded with with classical music stations disappearing from the south Florida radio airwaves, and with Florida being called for Bush with 97% reporting in 2004.

5. Florida also has the ability to create votes from thin air and erase votes into thin air.  No one is ever sure of the numbers, absolute or relative, of each.  These numbers are not necessarily whole; Florida has a record of involving fractions of votes as well.

LA-01: Jim Harlan’s primary victory e-mail: 37878 > 33867

Below the fold is the e-mail I received from the Harlan campaign celebrating their primary victory in LA-01.

It seems that not only did he beat out Gilda Reed’s vote total from the special election, as we noted in the LA primaries open thread, but he even beat Steve Scalise’s.  Of course, he’s most likely gonna need more than 37878 votes to win against Scalise, but that’s progress at least–quite enough for the DCCC to have put him on its list of Emerging Races.

Not to mention that he has a nifty nickname for his opponent already, “The Mistake by the Lake”.

Hello to all my supporters:

I wanted to tell each of you that I am honored to be your official Democratic Nominee for the 1st Congressional District of Louisiana!

Thank you for all of your support and I hope that on November 4th, our district can send me to represent you in Congress.

The good news is that I am now officially your democratic nominee, and I am proud to have carried this district with over 73 percent of the vote.

The better news is that I received 37,878 votes yesterday! That means more people in our district voted for me in the primary yesterday than voted for Steve Scalise in the special election last May, when he received only 33,867 votes.

This news is just proof that “The Mistake by the Lake,” Steve Scalise is truly the accidental congressman.

Come November 4th, with your support, as well as others throughout our district, my fellow Louisianans will have the opportunity to send me to represent the 1st congressional district.

We still have four weeks, and in that time, I need to your help to make sure that everyone in our district learns about me and what I can do for Southeast Louisiana.

Now is a more critical time than ever, and I need your help.

Can you make a donation of $1000, $500, $250, or even $100. Any amount will help us get our word out.

Along with great news over the past few weeks including the DCCC adding us to the national list of Emerging Races, and CNN declaring that Louisiana has shifted from a Red to a Pink state, I am showing our district that I am the only candidate with real plans and real solutions for our district. The momentum is with us.

Last month, I released my Harlan Hurricane Protection Plan  to protect the long-term survival of our community, starting with putting Floodgates across the Rigolets to keep the storm surge out of Lake Pontchartrain. And with your support, we can push past expectations and win this race for hurricane protection, economic strength, cheaper gas prices, and healthcare reform.  

Your secure contribution can be made  at www.harlanforcongress.com today!

Thank you.

Jim Harlan

Swing State Project live chat on IRC!

I’ve just set up the brand new Swing State Project IRC (internet relay chat) channel!  Now we can talk to each other in real time–imagine what a thrill it will be on election night!

It’s located here:

network: irc.chat4all.org

channel: #swingstateproject

In order to connect to it, you’ll need a program that does IRC, called an IRC client.  There are a lot of clients out there, but I personally recommend X-Chat if you’re running either Windows or Linux.  However, there are also many other clients, such as mIRC, ViRC, Hirc, and even Gaim and other multi-platform IM clients.  (I’m not familiar with Macs so I don’t know what program names to recommend, but IRC clients should be easy enough to find.)

If you have questions, just leave me a comment here.  I’ll try to answer it (or somehow dig up useful information).

If I’m on, my IRC nickname is “GMH”.

If you don’t see anyone on the channel, feel free to just “idle” (hang out doing nothing), other people will likely show up sooner or later.

Also, sometimes you might find there a friend of mine who isn’t as politics-crazy as I am but is much more experienced with IRC; he usually just idles and can help out in case bad stuff happens (such as with spammers and stuff) if I’m not around.

A favor to ask: a Photoshop job…because there is an elephant in the way

Have you seen this: http://a5.vox.com/6a00d4142880… ?

Well, I discovered that in a Facebook group about nerd jokes a while back, and apparently, it’s pretty well known around the internet.

But doesn’t that remind you of something?  Don’t elephants tend to get in the way…politically?

Well, here’s an excellent opportunity to highlight that!  What if someone stuck someone’s face–how about that of lead obstructionist Mitch McConnell–onto the elephant?  Well, he’s already an elephant, and he’s in the way, so why not?

Unfortunately, I don’t have Photoshop, and I’m no good with MS Paint either.

So, would someone like to do this?  Go upload it somewhere and post about it in a diary of your own.  Then we can start spreading this around the blogs, and have fun with it!

(I’ll also post about any more stupid political joke ideas I come up with. 😉 )