IL-10: One of Nine

Over the past few weeks, our nation has been swept with the shocking revelation from former White House Press Secretary Scott McClellan that the Bush White House engaged in conscious deception to lead our country to war with Iraq. After the thousands of American lives lost, hundreds of billions of taxpayer dollars appropriated, and five plus years spent in Iraq, this latest disclosure underscores the need for change in Washington.

When I first launched my campaign for Congress in December 2005, I made ending the war in Iraq a central part of my campaign platform. Even as political pundits warned that opposition to the war in Iraq would show “weakness” on the part of Democrats, I was outspoken in my opposition to the war. In my opinion, some things are too important for political games. And a war—this misguided war—is one of them.
 

As I met with voters across the 10th district in 2006, I learned that the pundits were all wrong. People here didn’t think of the war in electoral terms, instead they thought of the human loss every time they opened the paper to see that another young Illinois soldier had died heroically in the line of duty. As the details of the march to war increasingly came to light, they began to oppose it for moral reasons.
 

Scott McClellan’s revelations may not be entirely new, but they are entirely shocking. Here is an insider in the Bush administration who acknowledges that not only our government’s intelligence was faulty, but—even worse—our government actively peddled propaganda to promulgate their flawed war agenda.
 

Last week, the Senate Intelligence Committee released two bipartisan reports on pre-war intelligence that confirmed McClellan’s allegations. The reports found that the Bush administration “misrepresented the intelligence and the threat from Iraq,” leading Intelligence Committee Chair Senator Jay Rockefeller to declare that the Administration had “led the nation into war under false pretenses.”
 

According to Congressional Quarterly, my opponent, Mark Kirk, was one of nine Congressional Republicans hand-picked to craft the language to go to war. He wasn’t just one out of 435 votes, not just one of the dozens of talking heads on cable news stations, but one of nine Congressman who helped lead us into this unnecessary war.
 

Since then, he has been one of President Bush’s most reliable allies in Congress. In the last year alone, he has voted 9 times against establishing a responsible timetable withdrawal, despite growing signs that our troops are in the crosshairs of an Iraq civil war. Even worse, The Politico recently identified him as a ringleader in the effort on the part of Republicans to vote “present” on war spending.
 

Despite his complicity in propagating this war, he went to the White House in May 2007 to complain to President Bush that the war was hurting his re-election chances and continues to refuse to even list the war in the issues section of his website.
 

Leadership is about standing up for what is right, asking the tough questions, and demanding accountability. Mark Kirk has failed the 10th district and our nation on all three counts when it comes to the war in Iraq.

 

I’m running for Congress because I believe it’s time for a change in Washington. It’s time we restore honor, honesty, and accountability to Congress. I can’t think of any better place to start than by ending this war in Iraq.

 

Cross-posted at Daily Kos and Open Left.

NY-13: NYC Dems, Van Hollen Back McMahon

Twelve members of New York City’s Democratic House delegation, led by Charlie Rangel, are uniting to support Mike McMahon for the open seat left behind by retiring Rep. Vito Fossella. From a joint statement released by Rangel:

“Following the lead of local Staten Island and Brooklyn Democrats, the New York City Congressional delegation is proud to stand behind Staten Island Councilman Mike McMahon in his campaign for Congress.”

“This year, we have an historic opportunity to turn the last Republican Congressional district in New York City Democratic. We are committed to seeing that Mike McMahon is successful.”

Additionally, the Hill reports that DCCC Chair Chris Van Hollen will campaign with McMahon this weekend.

McMahon will square off with Brooklyn attorney Steve Harrison in the state’s September 9th primary.

Where we stand: Percentage of filing, primaries, and women nominees.

Just a quick look at where we are in the election process, at least as regards to the House of Representatives.

Filing is the first step in the process and it is mostly completed.  Overall, filing deadlines have passed for 375 seats out of 435 total, or 86.2%.  Filing is further along for Republican held seats with the deadline having passed in 182 out of 199 GOP-held seats (91.5%).  Filing deadlines have passed on only 193 out of 236 Democratic seats (81.8%).  Nearly half of the remaining seats are in one state: New York.

The next step is the primary.  Slightly over half of the House seats have passed the primary deadline.  In these cases, we know who will be running in November.  Overall, primaries have passed in states with 249 if the 435 House seats (57.2%).  This includes 131 of 236 House Democratic seats (55.5%) and 118 of 199 GOP-held seats (59.3%).  Eleven states hold September primaries and the last scheduled run-off is slated for early October.

One of the very large differences between the two parties is the number of women nominated by Democrats.  As of this morning the number of Democratic women still running for Congress includes IIRC 54 women in Congress plus 32 Democratic women already nominated and 25 others who are still running (women who are the only candidates where the filing deadline has passed, like Annette Taddeo in Florida, are counted as the nominee).  Currently, despite many multi-candidate fields only three congressional districts have more than one woman running for the Democratic nomination:  AZ-1 (Ann Kirkpatrick and Mary Kim Titla), NV-3 (Dina Titus and Anna Nevic), and MI-13 where Martha Scott and Mary Waters are taking on Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick who is considered weakened because of the problems of her son, Detroit Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick.

LA-07: Cravins is “99.9%” In

The Lafayette Independent Weekly has a long profile on state Senator Don Cravins, Jr., who says that he’s “99.9% sure” that he’ll run against incumbent Rep. Charles Boustany in Louisiana’s 7th CD this fall. Cravins, who was one of three African-American state legislators considering runs for Congress as independents this year, will run as a Democrat, albeit a rather conservative one:

If Cravins decides to run and rolls out his campaign commercials for the 7th Congressional District, voters will learn they’re not dealing with the usual African-American Democrat. Cravins is a blue-collar philosopher, a former altar boy who’s conservative on social issues. As for guns, he can sit around talking arms and ammo all day – he is, after all, the commander of the reserve unit in Opelousas, recently promoted to the rank of captain. “Some people play golf,” he says. “I strap on a vest and a gun for fun. That’s what I do. It takes my mind off of things and puts me in the community. I’ve already worked 19 hours this month and can’t wait to get back out.”

[…] He’s the only game in town in the 7th District, as far as Democrats. Former state Rep. Gil Pinac of Crowley has decided against running, as has Lake Charles Mayor Randy Roach. Kyra Jennings, the Southern regional press secretary for the DCCC, confirms that the national party is courting Cravins and willing to pump resources into his bid. “We have reached out to him, and we think he would be a strong candidate,” she says. “Voters want someone who is connected to their communities, and I think Congressman Boustany has shown time and time again that he is out of step with the district.”

The entire article is worth reading in order to find out what we’d get with a Cravins candidacy in this R+7.4 district.

IL-10: Kirk Posts a Big Lead in New Internal Poll

McLaughlin & Associates for Mark Kirk (6/9, likely voters, 3/16 in parens):

Dan Seals (D): 32 (29)

Mark Kirk (R-inc): 53 (50)

(MoE: ±6%)

You can take this with as many grains of salt as you wish, but as it stands now, Seals has room to grow, even according to this poll. His name recognition is 30 points lower than Kirk’s, and it remains to be seen whether Kirk can withstand a vigorous campaign by Seals combined with Obama’s presence at the top of the ballot in this D+3.6 district. Holding on, despite his early lead, will be a formidable task.

SSP currently rates this race as Leans Republican.

IN-Gov: Another Poll Gives the Edge to Daniels

Benenson Strategy Group for Jill Long Thompson (5/20-22, likely voters):

Jill Long Thompson (D): 39

Mitch Daniels (R-inc): 46

(MoE: ±3.5%)

That’s not as bad a margin for JLT as was the case in a recent Indiana Legislative Insight poll, but the fact that Daniels is ahead in Thompson’s own internals does suggest that the incumbent has the early edge here. This one is tough, but doable — and a very critical office to hold for the next round of redistricting.

NJ-Sen: Lautenberg Leads Zimmer By Nine in Quinnipiac Poll

Quinnipiac (6/5-8, likely voters):

Frank Lautenberg (D-inc): 47

Dick Zimmer (R): 38

(MoE: ±2.6%)

That’s a fair sight better than the most recent Rasmussen poll that had this race tied.

Lautenberg still has the same problems: his weak approval ratings (46-35) and a sense among voters that he’s just too old to start another term in the Senate (54-41).

It will probably be closer than it has to be (as always seems to be the case in New Jersey), but Lautenberg should be fine in the end.

CA-11: DC Republicans Express Frustration With Andal

From Roll Call:

Dean Andal, recruited by the GOP with great fanfare to challenge freshman Rep. Jerry McNerney (D) in California’s 11th district, is now coming under attack from Republicans in Washington, D.C., for running what they contend is a flawed campaign.

Andal, a former state Assemblyman, is facing increasing criticism for his fundraising and general campaign strategy, with the grumbling emanating from Republicans in the consulting and lobbying communities. Privately, Republicans on Capitol Hill are also expressing concern.

The handful of sources interviewed for this story on Tuesday declined to discuss their concerns on the record. But all are Washington, D.C.-based Republican strategists who had until recently been singing Andal’s praises and are intimately familiar with the GOP-leaning 11th district.

Indeed, Andal has posted a surprisingly sluggish fundraising effort so far in 2008, bringing in only $103K in the first three months of the year, and a pathetic $17K in the period from April 1 to May 22.

After taking a whiff of these craptacular numbers, Republican insiders say that Andal needs an attitude adjustment:

“He’s dialing it in,” said a native Californian and Republican operative who is now based in D.C. “He’s got the attitude of a Member of Congress. He doesn’t have the attitude of a challenger fighting to get elected in his district.”

Republicans who are among the very concerned say a wholesale change of strategy is needed. They would like to see Andal do more than walk precincts.

They want him to begin defining McNerney over the summer and shedding light on a House voting record that they argue is completely at odds with 11th district voters. The Congressman’s biggest asset, they claim, is that very few of his constituents actually know who he is.

And they want Andal to raise more money to ensure that his message does not get drowned out by McNerney in the heat of the fall campaign. They worry that Andal’s plans to raise money in the summer and early fall could backfire, as donors might determine at that point that he has less of a chance to win and decide not to give as much then as they might have early this year.

Andal’s low-gear fundraising is especially risky at a time when the California GOP donor base will be hit up by incumbents from across the nation hoping to hang on this year. To put it simply, in a year as rough as this one has been for Republicans, any challenger hoping to depose an incumbent will have little margin for error in their campaigns. So far, Mr. Andal seems to think that the traditional rules — like raising a lot of money — don’t apply to him.

SSP currently rates this race as Leans Democratic.

Kentucky Democrats Field Four Awesome House Candidates

Kentucky has been turning the corner and getting back to its Democratic roots. We voted for Bill Clinton twice, but went through a spell where Republicans peeled off our House and Senate seats. That changed some when Ben Chandler lost his bid for Governor in 2003 and won one House seat. Our Democratic Attorney General at the time, Greg Stumbo then went on to expose the Republican Party in Kentucky for the corrupt machine it was, and John Yarmuth became a fresh pickup and one of the very best of the freshman class that won in 06.

Now this year we have a lot to be proud of in the Bluegrass state. We hold two of our House seats, and have excellent candidates fielded in three more. Hang out and check out some great Kentucky Democrats.

Anyone who has seen much of my blogging lately knows about the First District candidate Heather Ryan. This is my district and I live in Paducah and know Heather Ryan. This is her first run for office, but folks I am telling you she definately has the fire and fighting spirit that our party simply needs in the Congress. She is young, energetic and quite simply put sharp as a tack.

She is a great speaker, as you can see for yourself:

When Democrats hear her, they support her. She gave a rousing speech to the Kentucky Democratic Party that I am still waiting for the video on. From what I heard, she brought down the house:

http://www.bluegrassroots.org/…

She doesn’t mind taking time for constituents, and Kentucky Progressive bloggers:

http://www.bluegrassroots.org/…

All this young lady needs is the resources to put this district on the map. She is very good at stretching existing funds and if she gets some resources she WILL force the Republicans to spend money here.

Please consider supporting her, a hard-working grassroots Democrat that shares our ideals and will fight for them:

http://www.actblue.com/page/am…

In the Second Congressional District we have David Boswell, and awesome Democratic Candidate for that seat. David has already had polling showing he is VERY competitive in this race:

In November, 2007, the Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group conducted a survey asking people across the District who they would vote for if the Congressional election were between David Boswell and Ron Lewis. The results, released last December, found David favored in that match-up 44% to 34%, with only 4% interest in other candidates. Ron Lewis may have had his own reasons for choosing not to seek re-election, but this survey is an indication that the right Democrat — David Boswell — was already in a strong position to deny Lewis re-election.

http://www.davidboswell2008.com/

He sounds like my kind of Democrat:

There has never been a more important time than right now to have that kind of vision for us, and from us, in the U.S. Congress. Now is our time to join the Democratic majority in the House of Representatives, and turn the country away from the corporate mentality of Bush policies that have raised our gas prices, recessed our economy, and ruined our housing markets. The middle class sensibility of our cities and communities tells us we ought to be able to earn good pay for a good day’s labor, to afford health care when we need it, and promote ways to seek higher education. The example from our homes, families, and friendships can again inspire our nation and the world around it. We know how important protecting freedom is, we honor all those who serve in defending us. We also believe the United States has the diplomatic potential to support sibling democracies without policing the world, or becoming Big Brother at home.

http://www.davidboswell2008.com/

Go to David’s site and support a great Democrat!!

The Democrat in Kentucky’s Third District should need little introduction. John Yarmuth was our only pickup in 06 and is facing a rematch against Anne Northup. A Kentucky Republican Party sweetheart, she will be well funded.

All you have to do is google Yarmuth’s voting record and you will see why we need to keep him in the Congress better than I can describe. He is one of the shining stars of that Freshman Class for our party. Stop by his site, and be sure to support John Yarmuth!!:

http://www.yarmuthforcongress….

Lastly, in Kentucky’s Fourth District we have Dr. Michael Kelley. He is a Democrat we can be proud to stand up for too:

As a voter and taxpayer, Michael Kelley is opposed to the continuing Republican efforts to pour more American blood and treasure into the desert sands of the Middle East. Our military has performed incredibly well in extremely challenging circumstances, having been thrust into war without adequate equipment or justification. But unless the Shiite and Sunni factions are willing to put aside hundreds of years of division and bloodshed, our troops will continue to be caught in the middle. It is time to stop forcing American troops into the quagmire in Iraq. It is time to compel the Iraqis into political accommodation by bringing our troops home now.

As a country doctor, Doc Kelley is deeply concerned about our flawed healthcare system. His commonsense ideas for saving American taxpayers and consumers billions of dollars are a good start to fixing our broken system which currently leaves millions of Americans without hope.

Michael Kelley believes that politicians in D.C. will constantly be pressured to make unethical decisions under our current, morally bankrupt campaign finance system. His ideas for campaign finance reform would change our government fundamentally because our representatives would belong to the people – not to the special interests.

Go here to watch his videos and hear him in his own words:

http://www.kelley08.com/media….

Go here to support him:

https://secure.actblue.com/con…

With the field of fine candidates that have cropped up in Kentucky all we need are the resources to help in expanding our Congressional majorities by a lot. Don’t forget the fine Kentucky candidates on the frontlines of the fight for a new Congress!!

Best wishes everyone!!