OH-16: Boccieri Receives “Veteran Advocacy Award of the Year”

Boccieri Receives “Veteran Advocacy Award of the Year” from the Vietnam Veterans of America, Buckeye State Council

State Senator John Boccieri, candidate for Congress in Ohio’s 16th District, was selected as the recipient for this year’s Vietnam Veterans of America, Buckeye State Council’s “Veteran Advocacy Award of the Year.” The award is presented by the Vietnam Veterans of America, Buckeye State Council annually to the individual who best advocates for issues affecting active duty, retirees, injured, and fallen soldiers in Ohio.

Senator Boccieri has been a tireless advocate for veterans since first elected to the Statehouse in 2000.  He has been successful in working with both Democrats and Republicans to pass legislation benefiting Ohio’s veterans.  Recently, Boccieri passed legislation like the Military Injured Relief Fund which sends grants to injured soldiers.  He also led efforts to bolster job protections for veterans in the workplace after many were losing them while serving abroad, and Boccieri also worked to strengthen enforcement of a 300 foot perimeter for protesters at military funerals.

In his presentation, Buckeye State Council President Thomas R. Burke, stated:

“You listened to veteran issues and followed through to do something about it.  All veterans in Ohio are better off this year than they were last because of you.  The entire membership of Buckeye State Council congratulates you.”

Accepting the award, Senator Boccieri said:

“This is truly an honor. I am humbled the Vietnam Veterans of America selected me when there are so many deserving candidates. I am proud of my record in the Statehouse and have always made veteran issues a top priority. But the real heroes are the brave men and women who have put their lives on the line for our blessed nation, and didn’t make it home. I will continue to work across the aisle to ensure that soldiers receive the resources they need the moment their boots hit the ground. I’ll also continue to fight for the benefits in medical aid and the education benefits they earn when they return home.”

Senator John Boccieri is currently a Major in the United States Air Force Reserve. He is a pilot and flies C-130 cargo planes.  Senator Boccieri has fourteen years of experience in the United States Air Force and has been on four tours in Iraq and Afghanistan. Many of those missions were flying the wounded and the fallen out of Baghdad, Iraq.

NE-Sen: Johanns Posts a Big Lead in New Poll

Rasmussen (6/23, likely voters, 5/15 in parens):

Scott Kleeb (D): 33 (40)

Mike Johanns (R): 60 (55)

(MoE: ±4.5%)

Another wild bounce from Rasmussen, but the new numbers are very much in line with a Research 2000 poll from May that had Johanns leading by 58-31.

Johanns remains very popular in Nebraska, with a 73-23 favorability rating. Kleeb, for his part, has good (but more down-to-earth) numbers: 50-35.

Bonus finding: The crosstabs reveal that McCain voters favor Johanns by an 83-13 margin, while Obama voters are more prone to split their tickets, with Kleeb getting 62% to Johanns’ 32%. Busting out the SSP calculator and factoring in undecideds, my math tells me that McCain is leading Obama by roughly 55-40 in the state. The last poll from Rasmussen from the Presidential race (back in May) had McCain leading Obama by 50-39.

Update: Obviously something is up with my math, as Rasmussen’s real NE numbers are 52-36 McCain.

NY-13: Today, It’s Mirones

The Staten Island GOP is scrambling to find a replacement to run in NY-13, following the untimely death of ex-Wall Street exec Francis Powers, who had been slotted in by the local party as Vito Fossella’s replacement. Previous top-tier Republicans under consideration (city councilor James Oddo, state senator Andrew Lanza, district attorney Daniel Donovan, and perplexingly, Fossella himself) all politely declined.

Out of relatively nowhere, former Assemblyman Matthew Mirones has suddenly taken the conventional wisdom by storm. Mirones has two advantages: he’s a well-off businessman who can self-finance, and he used to represent the Island’s East Shore and parts of Brooklyn from 2002 to 2006.

Mirones also has one disadvantage: he and the local GOP don’t like each other much.

But another Republican said Mirones might have some fences to mend with the borough GOP.

“He completely disappeared after he retired,” he said, “and he had some negative stuff to say about people in the party.”

Mirones was believed to be irked that he was passed over by the GOP for a shot at Republican John Marchi’s state Senate seat.

Mirones also clashed with party leaders on other political matters.

“I’m not saying anyone’s closing anything out,” the Republican continued. “But Matthew would have to rebuild things to a comfort level that does not exist right now.”

The Staten Island Advance also reports that NY-1 reporter Lisa Giovinazzo, who was considered the front-runner for a period of about 12 hours before the baffling decision to give the endorsement to Powers several weeks ago, has also moved back to the head of the list. Under consideration, also, was cross-endorsing Paul Atanasio, who is the nominee of Brooklyn’s Conservative Party.

In another indication of how far Republican fortunes have fallen in this district, a bizarre scenario has apparently at least been floated:

While some observers have mentioned the possibility of a GOP cross-endorsement of [Democratic endorsee Michael] McMahon, borough Democratic chair John Gulino said that no one on the Republican side had approached him about it….

The very thought of a McMahon cross-endorsement chilled some Republicans.

“They can’t do that,” said one. “They might as well dissolve the party. It’s the biggest seat in the county. It would be like cross-endorsing Obama.”

IN-Gov: Daniels Leads By Five

SurveyUSA (6/21-23, likely voters):

Jill Long Thompson (D): 45

Mitch Daniels (R-inc): 50

(MoE: ±4%)

This is the first poll of the race since Long Thompson picked state Rep. Dennie Oxley as her running mate. The Oxley pick was meant to shore up JLT’s strength in southern Indiana, where Daniels currently leads by 53-42. In Northern Indiana, where JLT’s base is located, she leads by 55-39. But the trouble spot seems to be Indianapolis, where SUSA shows Daniels crushing by a surprising 63-34. If she can’t turn things around in Indianapolis — one of the few Dem-friendly regions in the state — she’ll be facing long odds in November.

Bonus finding: in the Presidential race, Obama is leading McCain by 48-47 in Indiana. Perhaps Indiana will be a swing state this year.

That sound you’re hearing is the thud of dozens of McCain strategists fainting.

WA-Gov: Rossi Isn’t Running as a Republican

I’m not pulling your leg (much) with that title. Thanks to a series of complicated legal battles that went all the way to the Supreme Court, Washington is finally resuming its historical “top two” primary method, where all candidates are listed together in the primary and the two top vote-getters advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation. (This may actually make Washington’s general elections more competitive, both in the thoroughly Democratic-dominated Seattle area and the Republican-dominated east.)

Between this, and Washington’s no-party-registration system (no one registers as a member of any party, and for the last few years, Washington used a pick-a-party primary), candidates in Washington now have the opportunity to identify themselves as members of whatever party they want.

That hasn’t stopped Rob McKenna (incumbent AG), the three Republican congresscritters, or most other major office seekers from signing up as “prefers Republican Party…” with one major exception: Dino Rossi, the Republican candidate for governor. He’s running as the standard-bearer of the “G.O.P. Party,” and that’s what will actually appear on the ballot next to his name.

There’s one other Republican Party-pooper who’s running for statewide office: Curtis Fackler, the Spokane County Republican chair, is running for Insurance Commissioner with “No party preference,” concerned that there are 30 percent of voters in Washington who will vote against a Republican “no matter what:”

And we want to get around that. We want them to read our statements and see where we’re coming from.

This escaped national notice until just recently, when Fox News, of all places, called out Rossi for his abandonment of the Republican brand. But why shouldn’t he? Rossi’s pre-politics career was real estate salesperson; he knows how to sell, and he knows that when your brand of dog food has been found to be poisonous, you stop selling it under that name.

PA-05: McCracken for Congress — Weekly Update — June 22nd 2008

This past week had important events scheduled every day ending with a very busy weekend.  Here is a brief rundown of the highlights of the week:

The first major joint debate between the 2 candidates in the 5th Congressional District was held on Tuesday at the CBICC luncheon.  The event was broadcast later that evening on PCN.  The feedback I’ve received is that the debate clearly showed the contrast where I stand on the important issues, both regional and national, and where my opponent stands.  The important topics addressed included healthcare, the Iraq war and the growing crisis of increasing gas and energy costs.

On Thursday, I attended an open house for the expansion of Murmac Farms outside of Bellefonte.  This was a very educational trip for me as I got to see the operation of a modern dairy farm with 1000 cows that are milked daily.  Speaking with the owner, he explained to me the trials of running the operation which is a 7 day a week, year round operation.  It is a family business with 2 of his 3 sons also living and working on the farm.  The farm also employs around 25 people on a full time basis.  The most interesting thing I learned was how technology is used on a modern dairy farm.  Every cow has a device around their neck that is read as they move through the process of milking.  The data is retrieved using wireless technology and fed back into computers which monitor their daily milk output and how much feed they consume.  

Friday I traveled to Altoona to attend the annual convention of the Pennsylvania Federation of Democratic Women.   I was honored to be one of the featured speakers along with fellow congressional candidates Tony Barr from the 9th district, Kathy Dahlkemper from the 4th district, State Representative Scott Conklin and Auditor General Jack Wagner.  

The week ended with campaign chairman Henry Guthrie traveling with me to Wellsboro on Saturday for the Laurel Festival and Parade.  The parade was late in starting due to a nasty passing thunderstorm and the parade had to end abruptly when another storm passed through the area.  However, it was another enjoyable visit to Tioga County and I got to speak with a good number of people while I attended the festival prior to the parade.  

On the way home from Tioga County, we made a side trip to Williamsport to stop in at the headquarters of the Lycoming County Democratic Party.  It was inspiring to see 4 young people from the Obama campaign along with a person from the county Democratic Party working at the headquarters on a Saturday evening.  It shows how committed people are to positive change in our country.

Finally on Sunday, Kelly, Amanda and I traveled to State College for 2 house parties hosted by Art and Louise Goldschmidt from 3 to 5 and then it was on to Mary Jane Havanec’s house from 5 to 7.  Both house parties offered a great opportunity to talk about the issues important to the people in attendance.  I was also encouraged by several college students who are Obama supporters that came to Art and Louise’s party.   It is great to see their commitment, not only to Senator Obama, but to the entire Democratic slate of candidates.

It was a very busy week for the campaign with many people taking time to be involved.  I want to thank all the Centre County Democrats who turned out to support me at the debate on Tuesday.  I also want to thank the Democrats in Tioga County that arranged for a booth at the Laurel Festival and finally, thanks to the Goldschmidt’s and the Havanec’s for hosting the house parties on Sunday and for everyone who took the time to come out and meet with me.

Below is information about a fundraising event we will be having in Clearfield on July 17th:

McCracken for Congress Dinner

Thursday, July 17th at 5:30PM

Lawrence Township Fire Company Social Hall

Mill Road – Clearfield

Come out and support the campaign to elect Mark B. McCracken to Congress from the 5th Congressional District.  Cost $20 per person – Meal catered by the Country Butcher – Door Prizes – Call for tickets at 765-6821 or 577-3374 or email requests to mccrackenforcongress@verizon.net .

Mark B. McCracken

Your Candidate For Congress

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This diary is cross-posted at McCracken’s campaign blog, PA’s Blue Fifth

Mark McCracken for Congress

ActBlue page

What’s the 15 LEAST likely Senate seats to flip?

Well, I just posted a joke comment to the Senate Guru’s June Cattle Call (list the 15 most likely Senate seats to flip).  Instead of doing the usual, I decided to list the 15 least likely to flip.

While that was conceived as a joke, I thought…maybe that list is worth something.  So,…

And now for something completely reasonably different: List, in order of “safeness”, the fifteen LEAST likely Senate seats to flip.

My list:

1. Baucus (MT)

2. Reed (RI)

3. Pryor (AR)

4. Biden (DE)

5. Rockefeller (WV)

6. Levin (MI)

7. Durbin (IL)

8. Harkin (IA)

9. Johnson (SD)

10. Kerry (MA)

11. Lautenberg (NJ)

12. Sessions (AL)

13. Cochran (MS)

14. Enzi (WY)

15. Barrasso (WY)

For the record, #16 is Lindsay Graham (SC) and #17 is Lamar Alexander (TN), both of whom follow close behind 15.

CO-Sen: Udall Leads Schaffer by Nine

Garin Hart Yang for the DSCC (6/15-17, likely voters):

Mark Udall (D): 46

Bob Schaffer (R): 37

Undecided: 17

(MoE: ±3.5%)

Nice numbers for M’Udall. Even better, 54% of Schaffer voters describe their support for the ex-congressman as “not that strong”, while only 40% of Udall voters feel the same way about their candidate. As Udall, the DSCC, and outside groups continue to hammer Schaffer on his ties to Abramoff and other matters, we could shake a few of those voters loose. And on the generic ballot, Dems hold a 42-36 lead — a nice sign of Colorado’s Democratic trend.

FL-25: Restoring the Everglades w/ Joe Garcia & New S FL Polling Numbers

If you would like to help Joe’s campaign, consider donating to my Give in to Garcia ActBlue page. I’ve set a goal of reaching 50 contributions by November and we’re almost 1/5th of the way there. If two people at SSP contribute, we’ll meet that milestone!

Firstly, as a bonus to SSP readers, a new South Florida poll has just been released. From the Miami Herald/Zogby, Obama leads in South Florida by 16 points over John McCain in Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach Counties.

Among a crucial voting block in our three congressional races, Hispanics, he leads McCain 40 to 35 percent. If Obama is winning Hispanics even in South Florida, he’s going to expand on Democrats’ slight statewide Hispanic victory in 2006, as it only gets better with Hispanics in other parts of the state. If the polling is accurate, this is definitely a good sign for our three challengers and could signify they might be able to break even with South Florida Hispanics in the fall election.

As the article indicates, Cuban Americans just don’t care about the Cuba issue to the same degree as they did in the past and they are also beginning to trust Democrats more on travel restrictions and family remittances.

But Democrats point to signs that the Hispanic community’s political stripes are changing. A protest Saturday outside Obama’s speech in Miami drew only about three dozen people, mostly older Cuban-Americans. The group attacked Obama for surrounding himself with two high-level advisors who helped send Cuban rafter Elián González back to his father in Cuba.

When the custody battle raged eight years ago, Cuban-Americans rose up in droves. ”We understand the Elián González issue is something that passed, and that it was not Obama’s fault,” said Ramón Saúl Sánchez of the Miami-based Democracy Movement, who tussled with the federal agents who seized Elián from his relatives’ home in Little Havana. “People are giving more weight to other issues, like lifting the travel ban.”

More good news is that Obama is leading the independent vote 33-20 percent. Independents make up about a third of voters in the South Florida congressional districts. If these voters go straight downticket Democratic, then it will be a boost to our chances of victory.

While this is certainly good news, I would also like to give you some reasons besides Joe’s outstanding electability to support his campaign.

As the end of the quarter approaches this week, I would like to cover why Joe Garcia’s race is important, especially to progressives who want a Congress with more and better Democrats. As several commenters have mentioned on The Top Ten Races post at Open Left, Joe’s race against Bush rubberstamp Mario Diaz-Balart, could be a key symbol of the 2008 election.

One of the reasons the 25th district could be a symbol of change is an issue which has often been neglected on the national scene, the environment, a cause which Joe has often spoke up about. Joe previously served in the environmentally sensitive post of Chairperson of the Florida Public Service Commission. While serving there, he established preservation policies in our public utilities, only approved power plants fueled by natural gas (No coal plants), and required public water plants to adhere to higher standards set by the EPA.

In a live-blog at Firedoglake, when asked about dangerous mercury levels, Joe said this about environmental causes:

As the Representative that sits over some of the most precious wetlands in the country, I will ensure that the environment, and the preservation of natural resource, is foremost on the national agenda.

There is not only a need to control mercury levels, we must also work toward reducing carbon emissions and confront the challenges of global climate change.

It’s a good thing we have Joe running for this seat because the 25th district is one of the most environmentally sensitive races in 2008. This district contains Everglades National Park, the largest subtropical wilderness in the United States and a national treasure of breathtaking beauty. The park has been designated an International Biosphere Reserve, a World Heritage Site, and a Wetland of International Importance. It boasts rare and endangered species, such as the American crocodile, the Florida panther, and the West Indian manatee.

In the 25th district, we can replace a Republican who represents the Everglades but refuses to protect it. Diaz-Balart’s environmental record is so poor that he has a 10% lifetime rating from the League of Conservation Voters. Recently Diaz-Balart even admitted that he was wrong about originally supporting an Everglades Restoration bill after John McCain said he thought it was a bad idea. This change of heart came days before his presidential fundraiser with top South Florida business lobbyists and oil executives.

We need a Democrat representing the Everglades who will always stand up for environmental causes and more importantly we need one who cares about leaving the natural preservation in better shape than our generation found it. This is because the Everglades is under imminent threat. It has suffered significant degradation in recent decades and will be irreversibly damaged if we do not act soon.

Fortunately, we have the opportunity to replace the incumbent with a proven environmental leader. Joe Garcia will be a strong advocate for environmental issues. Joe understands that the Everglades not only deserves to be cherished for its remarkable beauty, but also it is a critical part of Florida’s delicate ecosystem.

Joe on cleaning up the Everglades:

The Army Corps of Engineers produced a report that in order to save the Southern Everglades from drying out, an 11-mile skyway was required. So far, the Bush administration, and the current leadership, have failed us on this issue.

Preserving and protecting our Everglades will be central to my efforts in Congress.

The preservation of the Everglades are important to Florida, our environment and they feed some of the most important hatcheries in the world.

Joe strongly supports the 11-mile Skyway proposal to restore the natural water flow of the Everglades. By contrast, Diaz-Balart supports the short-sighted one-mile alternative which the scientific community concurs will have little to no effect on the overall health of the Everglades. The restoration of the natural water-flow of the Everglades impacts future water supplies and land subsidence in South Florida; and this is critical considering the anticipated rise in sea levels. This is why Joe Garcia has stated one of his top priorities upon election will be to fully fund the 11-mile project and assure that this crucial step in restoring the Everglades is completed.

The Everglades is too important to allow it to be represented by a Congressman with absolutely no regard for the environment. Let’s help elect Joe Garcia to Congress so we have someone representing the Everglades who will always stand up to protect it and fight for a cleaner future.

The Everglades is just one reason to support Joe Garcia in our effort to take back South Florida. Please help Joe’s campaign by contributing on my ActBlue page or you can visit his website here.

UT-03: Cannon Leads Chaffetz By Four

Dan Jones & Associates (6/19, registered voters, 5/19 in parens):

Jason Chaffetz (R): 40 (37)

Chris Cannon (R-inc): 44 (39)

Undecided: 15 (19)

(MoE: ±5.5%)

Cannon leads among GOP voters by 49-37, while indies split for Chaffetz by a 46-31 margin. Chaffetz’s success tomorrow will depend entirely on getting independent voters to the polls. Still, it may not be wise to base expectations on a primary poll of registered (as opposed to likely) voters.

While it’s always fun to see Republicans lose, Chaffetz is somehow running on Cannon’s right, which hardly seems possible.

Primary: June 24