Third quarter fundraising numbers came out over a week ago. Fundraising is a huge indicator to a lot of things when it comes to predicting races and keeping an eye out for possible retirements.
So lets get down to it. I’m going to take people who fundraised under 100,000$ and go over their age, and length of their political career.
Senate:
Mike Enzi raised a total of $7,525. Enzi is 63 years old, and has spent 27 of the last 32 years in elected office. He is older, and is looking foward to a long time in the minority.
Thad Cochran raised a total of $14,124. Cochran is 70 years old, and has spent the last 34 years in congress. (4 years in the house, then the last 30 in the senate).
House:
John Doolittle (R-CA-04) raised $50,000. Doolittle is 57 years old, and has spent the last 27 years in elected office (CA Senate ’80-90, US House ’90-present)
Jerry Lewis (R-CA-41) raised $67,000. Lewis is 73 years old and has spent the last 39 years in elected office (CA Senate ’68-78, US House ’78-Present)
Gary Miller (R-CA-42) raised $39,000. Miller is 59 years old and has spent 16 of the last 18 years in elected office.
Bill Young (R-FL-10) raised $29,000. Young is 77 years old, and has spent the last 47 years in elected office (FL Senate ’60-70, US House ’70-present)
Dave Weldon (R-FL-15) raised $29,000. Weldon is 54 years old, and has spent the last 13 years in the US House (always in the majority).
Mark Souder (R-IN-03) raised $83,000. Souder is 57 years old, and has spent the last 13 years in the US House (always in the majority).
Steve Buyer (R-IN-04) raised $74,000. Buyer is 49 years old, and has spent the last 15 years in the US House.
Julia Carson (D-IN-07) raised $9,000. Carson is
69 years old, and has spent the last 35 years in political office. She also has health issues.
Roscoe Bartlett (R-MD-06) raised $1,000. Bartlett is 81 years old, and has spent the last 15 years in the US House.
Dennis Kucinech (D-OH-10) raised $40. Kucinech is 61 years old, and has spent 21 of the last 38 years in elected office.
Virgil Goode (R-VA-05) raised $53,000. Goode is 61 years old, and has spent the last 34 years in elective office (VA Senate ’73-96, US House ’96-present)
Frank Wolf (R-VA-10) raised $79,000. Wolf is 68 years old, and has spent the last 27 years in the US House.
Barbera Cubin (R-WY-AL) raised $11,000. Cubin is 61 years old, and has spent the last 20 years in elected office. Cubin is also being pushed towards retirement by state Republicans for her weak electability.
In case you are wondering, I did omit a number of people who were very close to $100,000, if they had a contested primary, or if they were in a competitive district (Obviously making it harder to raise large sums of money. If I didn’t, this would have taken me all day).
People Ommitted:
Bilbray-R-CA-50
Latham-R-IA-04
King-R-IA-05
Sali-R-ID-01
Lipinski-D-IL-03
Gilchrest-R-MD-01
Saxton=R-NJ-03
Udall-D-NM-03
Fossella-R-NY-13
McHugh-R-NY-19
McCaul-R-TX-10
Future Democratic retirements?
House: 1-2
Senate: 0
Future Republican retirements?
House: 5-11
Senate: 1-2
(Of course these are off of fundraising only – Obviously I’m not looking into people who are off the radar completely)
Here’s what I guessed.
Democrats-US House: Carson for Sure, Kucinech is a maybe.
Republicans-US Senate: Cochran for sure, Enzi is a maybe.
Republicans-US House: Lewis, Young, Bartlett, Cubin for sure – Everyone else maybe.