According to the lastest Survey USA poll Tom Udall is crushing both potential republican foes. In head to head matchups Udall leads Pearce by 24 points and Wilson by 26.
http://www.surveyusa.com/clien…
Udall (D) – 60
Pearce (R) – 36
Udall (D) – 61
Wilson (R) – 35
In the Republican primary poll Pearce currently leads Wilson by 3.
Pearce – 49
Wilson – 46
My money is on Pearce winning the republican nomination rather easily given he is more conservative than Wilson. It seems to matter little though which candidate Udall faces, Wilson and Pearce have bloodied each other so badly that neither can win the general. Then number that really jumps out at me is Udall carrying >70% of the Hispanic vote. That is HUGE in a state like NM.