Swing State Project

Polls have now closed in Tennessee. We’ll be using this thread to keep track of the results of the Democratic contest for TN-09, and we’ll keep an eye on TN-01 and TN-07, where there is some hot wingnut on wingnut action taking place.

RESULTS: Associated Press | TN-09

11:49PM: (Exhales) It’s over in TN-01: Phil Roe beats David Davis by 500 votes! What a sadsack loser Davis is. Over in TN-09, Cohen has crushed Tinker by a 38,000-vote margin with 98% in. Hope you enjoyed the evening, EMILY’s List!

11:29PM: I think they’re taking a ganja break over in TN-01.

11:03PM: A few more votes are trickling in: Roe’s lead is now back down to 1200 votes with 84% reporting.

10:43PM: Our back of the envelope analysis says that Davis would have to perform 16 points better than he has all night in the remaining precincts in order to eek out a win. Looks doubtful…

10:36PM: With 83% in, Cohen now has a 34,000 vote lead over the odious Nikki Tinker. That sound you hear is me engraving her political tombstone. And it feels… so… good.

10:22PM: 80% now reporting in TN-01, and Roe is now leading by 1500. Over in TN-09, Steve Cohen has grown his lead to 32,000 votes with 80% in. Fuck yeah!

10:17PM: Over in TN-01, 73% of the vote is in, and Roe is clinging to that 1200 vote lead. Over in Memphis, Nikki Tinker’s political career is dead at 19%.

10:07PM: I sure hope EMILY’s List is enjoying the egg all over their faces right now. With 67% of the vote in, Cohen has a 30,000-strong lead. SSP calls the race for Steve Cohen!

9:54PM: For TN-09 results, check here. With 55% of precincts reporting, Cohen is crushing Tinker by 79-19. (H/T: MinnesotaMike)

9:52PM: In TN-01, Roe is up by 1000 votes with 65% in.

9:44PM: Alright. Finally, some TN-09 numbers. Cohen leads by over 14,000 votes (81-17) so far. Nice.

9:37PM: With 53% counted, Roe has expanded his lead over Davis to nearly 1200 votes.

9:33PM: 38% in now, and Roe is up by 700 votes. Over in TN-07, Leatherwood is officially driftwood.

9:27PM: With 26% in, Roe is up by 500 votes (51-49).

9:10PM: Roe has pulled back ahead by 60 votes with 21% in. Over in TN-07, Leatherwood is getting smoked.

9:07PM: Davis is back on top by a mere 35 votes (16% reporting).

9:02PM: Roe has expanded his lead over Davis to 450 votes (52-48) with 12% in.

8:52PM: Some more votes in: Roe leads Davis by 300 votes with 7% in. Still nothing from Memphis yet.

8:40PM: With 2% reporting in TN-01, Roe has pulled ahead of Davis by a 51-48 margin. Obviously, it’s pretty early in the night. In TN-07, Blackburn has a big early lead: 73-27.

8:30PM ET: With 1% reporting in TN-01, incumbent David Davis is up by 50-49 (and 20 votes) against challenger Phil Roe. Over in TN-07, with 1% reporting, Marsha Blackburn has an early 60-40 lead over Tom Leatherwood. Nothing in TN-09 yet.

While the month started off catastrophically for Darcy Burner when a fire destroyed her home, she sure has ended it on a high note.

Burner’s campaign has just turned in their pre-primary filing with the FEC, and she’s reporting to have raised nearly $351,000 in the month of July, ending the period with close to $1.5 million in the bank. Those are monstrous numbers, especially when you consider that only $18,000 of her total came from PACs.

We’ll let you know what GOP Rep. Dave Reichert raised as soon as he files his report. Wow.

UPDATE: Dave Reichert? $115,000, with $928,000 cash-on-hand. I wonder if he just dropped a brick on the floor of his campaign office.

It looks like the DCCC’s independent expenditure operation is kicking into gear. After spending $100,000 on ads in Illinois’ 11th CD and Texas’ 22nd CD yesterday, the DCCC is spending money today on direct mail in Illinois and New Jersey:

• IL-11: $20,000 in support of Debbie Halvorson
• NJ-07: $13,000 in support of Linda Stender

With over $54 million in the bank, that’s just the start of many, many more expenditures to come. We’ll be sure to keep you up to date as more numbers come in.

(Proudly cross-posted at Clintonistas for Obama)

I live in Orange County, CA. I’m used to seeing scary Republicans that care nothing about environmental justice. But of all the crazy Republicans here, none can be crazier than “Crazy Dana” Rohrabacher. He’s consistently voted against the best interests of our people and our planet, and it’s time we do something about this. That’s why I’m so glad to see some good friends of ours take real action for real change.

Follow me after the flip for the details…

Here’s the big announcement from the California League of Conservation Voters (CLCV):

“We’re proud to support Debbie Cook because she has shown time and again her commitment to protecting our coastal resources,” said CLCV’s Southern California Director David Allgood. “Mayor Cook has a long record of achievement on environmental, public health and other issues important to the people of the 46th District.”

Huntington Beach Mayor & Democratic Congressional Candidate Debbie Cook has worked so hard to do so much to protect the California coastal environment. She successfully sued the state Coastal Commission to protect the ecologically sensitive Bolsa Chica Wetlands. She successfully convinced all the Republicans on the Huntington Beach City Council to join with all the Democrats on the council in unanimously agreeing to sign the city onto the US Mayors’ Climate Protection Agreement. And today, she’s working to stop a dangerous desalination plant that would harm the regional coastline while fueling more exurban sprawl.

(photo coutresy LA Times)

Debbie Cook truly is the people’s environmental champion here in Orange County, CA. And if we elect her to Congress, she can be a champion for all of us. So will you please join the League of Conservation Voters in supporting Debbie Cook?

I’ve come to know Debbie Cook pretty well as I’ve helped out with the campaign. She’s the real deal. That’s why she’s earned my full support. I hope she can earn yours as well. 🙂

Tom Allen has gone up on the air with his first ad (broadcast and cable) in Maine. Check it out:

What do you think?

Well, this is it: Polls close at 8pm Eastern tonight for the incredibly nasty primary race that corporate-friendly Democrat Nikki Tinker is waging against Rep. Steve Cohen in Tennesse. While three other minor candidates crowd the field, Tinker’s performance will be the one to watch.

Feel free to post your predictions in the comments. As usual, SSP will be liveblogging this race once the results begin to be reported later in the evening. Be sure to check back with us for updates.

An SSP worldwide exclusive:

The group is spending $115,000 on the ad, which will air in the Triangle, Greenville-New Bern and Wilmington markets. Combined with the DSCC’s $400K buy against Dole, that’s a nice early August one-two punch in North Carolina.

Chris Smith says that he wants to run on his record in Congress. Unfortunately, there are parts of his record that voters may find less than appealing, namely his vote against clean water.

In 2005, Chris Smith voted against $342 Million in clean water funding. The votes were against restoring funding to the Clean Water Fund. The fund, established under the Clean Water Act, assists local communities with their water processing infrastructure to prevent sewage and waste from contaminating bodies of water. Communities nationwide face more than $300 billion in backlogged requirements to upgrade and repair clean up water systems. There are over 29,000 impaired rivers, lakes and steams nationwide. (2005 Votes # 198 and Vote #194; 2005 Statement by Rep. David Obey, 109th Congressional Record, pg. H.3642, 5/19/05; EPA, National Section and New Jersey Section 303(d) List, link here.)

The problem hits especially hard in New Jersey where 675 streams, creeks and rivers, 161 lakes and 134 other bodies of water need monitoring to ensure contamination is prevented. These waters are considered impaired and at risk.

Why did Chris Smith vote against restoring funding?

He certainly cannot use the Federal budget as an excuse, he voted to give himself a pay-raise nine times since 1999. (CRS: Salaries of Members of Congress Updated January 8, 2008; 1999 Vote #300; 2000 Vote #419; 2001 House Vote #267; 2002 House Vote #322; 2003 House Vote #463; 2004 House Vote #451; 2005 House Vote #327; 2006 vote #261; 2007 Vote #580)

“While Chris Smith was busy raising his own salary he was also voting against clean water protection for New Jersey. Voters deserve and explanation.” said Josh Zeitz campaign manager Steve D’Amico.

If you’d like to volunteer, please contact ian_at_joshzeitz_dot_com. Please visit Josh’s website to learn more about why we need to elect Josh to Congress.

Boyda wins… sort of. From the Topeka Capitol-Journal:

U.S. Rep. Nancy Bodya, D-Kan., said today the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee complied with her request to withdraw plans for $1.2 million in campaign commercials in her district.

She expressed concern recently the influx of independent advertising in her 2nd District campaign against Republican Lynn Jenkins might too heavily influence the outcome.

“This is terrific news for anyone who believes that Kansas voters should control Kansas campaigns,” Boyda said. “By canceling their ads, the DCCC has given Kansas the chance to run our election without Washington interference.”

Reid Wilson has more:

But the real winners could be State Treasurer Lynn Jenkins and national Republicans. Boyda represents one of the most Republican seats held by a Democrat, and Jenkins, who won the GOP primary on Tuesday, is seen as a moderate with a better chance of winning than her more conservative primary opponent. Now, Democrats are passing up the opportunity to use the advertising money to define Jenkins as she reloads from the costly primary.

The National Republican Congressional Committee deserves credit too, having stayed on Boyda over the past several weeks and making a big deal about her association with her party nationally, and GOP strategists gloated about Democrats’ decision to pull the money.

I’m of two minds on this one. On the one hand, some of the DC Dems that I’ve talked to are actually glad that Jim Ryun lost the GOP primary on Tuesday, as they considered him (and his name recognition) to be the more formidable opponent rather than the “moderate” Jenkins. Indeed, the lone poll we’ve seen of this race showed Boyda in better shape against Jenkins (although she’s probably received a primary bump by now). So the DCCC could be canceling its reservation at least in part because they feel that Boyda is less vulnerable.

On the other hand, Republicans in Kansas have made the DCCC’s assistance an issue only because Boyda clearly chafes at the idea of DC operatives getting involved in her campaign. But Boyda’s distaste for the DCCC’s money didn’t stop the committee from spending heavily on last-minute ads for this race in 2006, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they pulled a similar move (if they felt it necessary) this year. The DCCC could be canceling its planned buy for now only to clear a “distraction” for Boyda off the table, but are likely monitoring the situation closely in case they have to intervene later. But that’s all just speculation on my part.

It is an election year, and Exxon Ed Whitfield has been trying to clean up the stains on his terrible record of representing the First Congressional District of Kentucky. First, we had him bragging in our “impartial” newsrag, the Paducah Sun about voting for the G.I. Bill for the Twenty First Century, when acutally he had  voted against Veteran’s Benefits three times previous.

Yes, so many times Exxon Eddie has said this and that. Only to be caught asleep at the wheel:

When the time came to fight for them.

Case in point, Affordable prescription drugs for our seniors, and all that need them. I mean, just look at his warm and fuzzy little statement on his website:

While pharmaceuticals have helped millions of Americans live longer and better lives, the cost of modern medicines has skyrocketed in recent years. Many Americans are forced to take chances with their health, simply because they cannot afford the costs of modern medicines. This is unacceptable. Medicine should never be a luxury item. I am committed to working with my colleagues in Congress to drive down the prices of prescription drugs and make them affordable for the millions of Americans who currently take them. This includes our recent work to create a Medicare prescription drug benefit for our seniors, as well as efforts to bring down the costs of prescription drugs across the board, so that all Americans can enjoy the better quality of life that these medications bring.

http://www.ontheissues.org/Hou…

The truth of the matter is that his Pfizer Stock makes him cast votes like this on the Congressional Record:

Voted NO on requiring negotiated Rx prices for Medicare part D.

Would require negotiating with pharmaceutical manufacturers the prices that may be charged to prescription drug plan sponsors for covered Medicare part D drugs.

This legislation is an overdue step to improve part D drug benefits. The bipartisan bill is simple and straightforward. It removes the prohibition from negotiating discounts with pharmaceutical manufacturers, and requires the Secretary of Health & Human Services to negotiate. This legislation will deliver lower premiums to the seniors, lower prices at the pharmacy and savings for all taxpayers.

It is equally important to understand that this legislation does not do certain things. HR4 does not preclude private plans from getting additional discounts on medicines they offer seniors and people with disabilities. HR4 does not establish a national formulary. HR4 does not require price controls. HR4 does not hamstring research and development by pharmaceutical houses. HR4 does not require using the Department of Veterans Affairs’ price schedule.

Reference: Medicare Prescription Drug Price Negotiation Act; Bill HR 4 (“First 100 hours”) ; vote number 2007-023 on Jan 12, 2007

http://www.ontheissues.org/Hou…

You see, with men like Ed Whitfield, who have been in Washington far too long, it is all about the profits, and the addiction of the mighty greenback. No matter how much, it is never enough and taking money from anyone becomes a habit. EvenConvicted Terrorists. I am sure there are several organizations that could’ve used that $1000 in blood money. St. Jude’s Hospital and the Disabled American Veterans come immediatley to mind. The fact that Exxon Eddie kept this money I believe speaks a lot about his character. Character that considers theft and vandalism to be a “Christian Value”.

Luckily, we have Heather Ryan, an awesome “Fighting Democrat” opposing Exxon Eddie. She is a wife, mother, and proud veteran. She knows the problems everyday Americans face because she lives among us and faces them right along with us. She is not the least bit shy telling truth to power:

She fired everyone up at Fancy Farm too!!:

This is Heather’s first run for office, and quite frankly I couldn’t be more pleased to be supporting her in this race. She has definately evolved into a fine young Democratic candidate.

We need your help as grassroots Democrats. Heather is one of us and she needs our help!! She is working hard to earn it and if she gets the resources she needs, she WILL win this race. Exxon Eddie is scared, or he wouldn’t be sending people to steal and vandalize her signs.

With that in mind I started Americans for Ryan, and hope to reach $10,000 by election day. I am almost 40% there, so please, help make a real difference in a race that can make a real difference in next year’s Congress. Heather shares our values, and WILL fight for them!!