First Rasmussen has Christie up 46-38 but check out the commentary. He sounds worried.
“However, it’s worth noting that other indicators suggest that Christie’s lead might be a bit softer than the eight-point advantage indicates. Results before leaners are included show Christie up by just four points. Among those who are certain how they will vote, Christie leads by six. This suggests that the GOP campaign may be like a baseball team heading into the late innings with a lead but lacking a reliable closer. They’re happy to be ahead but can’t wait for the game to end so they can breathe again.”
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
And Democracy Corps?
Christie leads 41-38 and the internals are similar.
“Corzine’s standing has improved over the past month, with his favorable rating ticking up from 32 percent to 36 percent. Christie’s favorability rating remains at 1:1, 33 percent favorable and 33 percent unfavorable.”
http://www.democracycorps.com/…
Corzine has to move from 38% but there is still hope.
but thanks for the toplines. Seems like Christie is finally softening.
Stuck in the high 30’s, low 40’s at best, which will never get it done. The movement here is towards Daggett and “undecided.” Last Ras poll was 50-42 – same margin – and last DC poll was 43-41 – actually a slightly tighter margin. Movement is away from both major candidates just about evenly and towards undecided/ Daggett. That is better than a kick in the ass, but Corzine needs to find a way to move people into his column. Really need to hope for some good economic news that resonates with the public.
Christie – 46%
Corzine – 43%
Daggett – 11%
off, for the first time in the Campaign. Christie’s numbers are declining to a specific spot that State Republicans have been known to sit around at and then lose as Democrats swallowed their disgust and voted for egotistical incompetent fools like Corzine. If his average polling goes down to 43-44 percent, expect him to get upset.
Now if only Deeds could keep pulling it in to McDonnell, that is the far more important race. He needs to install some more energy and keep hitting McDonnell over his radical social views in more socially moderate NoVA.
The Monmouth poll out today (9/13) showed Christie up by 8, down from 14 a month ago. This skews Republican so figure he’s up by 5 or 6.
By election day.
The sense clearly seems to be that while Corzine has more than enough vote out there to score a win, his base isn’t nearly as energized as Christie’s. I suspect Corzine NEEDS Obama (forget Lautenberg, Menendez, even Biden) to fire up the base come election day. If he’s MIA, I imagine Christie pulls it off.