SurveyUSA for KSTP-TV (8/2-4, likely voters, 6/14-6/16 in parens; 5/3-5 in brackets):
Mark Dayton (DFL): 46 (38) [34]
Tom Emmer (R): 32 (35) [42]
Tom Horner (I): 9 (12) [9]
Undecided: 13 (15) [15]Margaret Anderson Kelliher (DFL): 39 (33) [33]
Tom Emmer (R): 33 (35) [41]
Tom Horner (I): 9 (12) [9]
Undecided: 13 (21) [17]Matt Entenza (DFL): 38 (33) [31]
Tom Emmer (R): 33 (37) [42]
Tom Horner (I): 12 (12) [10]
Undecided: 17 (18) [16]
(MoE: ±2.7%)
The wheels on the bus go round-and-round, except, of course, if your bus is Tom Emmer’s gubernatorial candidacy. Emmer’s hit a few speedbumps recently, having been on the receiving end of ads from DFL candidate Matt Entenza attacking Emmer’s Palinism and outside groups hitting Emmer on drunk driving laws.
SurveyUSA follows up with a second poll confirming the results of the Minneapolis Star-Tribune’s poll earlier this week, with leads for each of the DFL hopefuls. Emmer’s decline’s been quite stunning, having consistently lost points in each progressive SurveyUSA poll. We’ve had “Joementum” and felt the “Mumpower”, and now, there’s “Emmermentum.” Mark Dayton fares the best, now boasting a 14-point lead, up from an 8-point deficit three months ago – a remarkable 22% swing in that time. Margaret Anderson Kelliher is now up 6, a 14-point swing from being down 8; Entenza’s now 5 up, a 16-point swing from being 11 down.
SurveyUSA for KSTP-TV (8/2-4, likely voters, 6/14-6/16 in parens):
Mark Dayton (DFL): 43 (39)
Margaret Anderson Kelliher (DFL): 27 (26)
Matt Entenza (DFL): 22 (22)
Undecided: 7 (11)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
The corresponding part of the poll examining the DFL primary also mirrors the Star Tribune’s poll. There’s been slight movement since SurveyUSA last examined the race in June, with Mark Dayton still in the driver’s seat with a 16-point lead over MAK and Entenza in third. Dayton looks well on his way along the road to redemption since retiring from the Senate four years ago; with these results and Emmer’s rising unfavorables, there’s good reason for optimism that we’ll take back the Governor’s Mansion in St. Paul.
what, second comeback?
The last time Minnesota had a Democratic Governor and two Democratic Senators was in 1978. Also assuming all of the other statewide officers win re-election I believe this will be the first time ever that all statewide office holders are Democrat. Someone correct me if I am wrong.
Better than Emmer-mentum at least. I’d go with something along the lines of Emmergy, particularly as in the title: Can you feel the Emmergy?
Is it possible to destroy her district, make Paulsen stronger, and add a Dem-leaning district in the Twin Cities?
dayton is running an effective race nailing down the progressives in a 3 way race. hope the meds don’t wear off.
as for redistricting bachmann out – if MN loses a house seat (about 50/50 right now) and it’s hers – giving some to the 7th (northwest MN), some to the 8th (northeast MN) and some to the 4th (st paul & burbs).
One old DWI arrest would not have been a huge deal. Two is a problem but they were a long time ago so it would be survivable if handled correctly. The fact he tried to weaken Drunk Driving laws on top of it is a killer.
Emmer is gonna need to spend more time with his family any time soon and be replaced with Mark Kennedy or someone? I know ya’ll are gonna say just b/c he is a flawed he can’t be replaced. However, there is one reason he could be. How embarrassing would it be for T-Paw in 2012 primary if we lost his home state governorship, while he was vice-chair of the RGA?