I almost wonder why we put this chart together, given that Citizens United means they can moneynuke our candidates all the live long day.
Highlights:
- Incumbent Dems outraised by GOPer: Bobby Bright (AL-02), Harry Mitchell (AZ-05), John Salazar (CO-03), Jim Himes (CT-04), Ron Klein (FL-22), Jim Marshall (GA-08), Phil Hare (IL-17), Joe Donnelly (IN-02), Baron Hill (IN-09), Ben Chandler (KY-06), John Tierney (MA-06), Frank Kratovil (MD-01), Gary Peters (MI-09), Ike Skelton (MO-04), Travis Childers (MS-01), Gene Taylor (MS-04), Bobby Etheridge (NC-02), Mike McIntyre (NC-07), Heath Shuler (NC-11), Earl Pomeroy (ND-AL), Harry Teague (NM-02), Dina Titus (NV-03), Steve Driehaus (OH-01), Mary Jo Kilroy (OH-15), Pete DeFazio (OR-04), Kurt Schrader (OR-05), Kathy Dahlkemper (PA-03), Chris Carney (PA-10), Paul Kanjorski (PA-11), Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (SD-AL), Lincoln Davis (TN-04), Ciro D. Rodriguez (TX-23), Glenn Nye (VA-02), Tom Perriello (VA-05), Gerry Connolly (VA-11), Steve Kagen (WI-08), Nick Rahall (WV-03)
- Incumbent GOPer outraised by Dem: Dan Lungren (CA-03), Mary Bono Mack (CA-45), Charles Djou (HI-01), Jo Ann Emerson (MO-08), Charlie Dent (PA-15), Dave Reichert (WA-08)
- Incumbent Dems with less CoH than GOPer: Jim Costa (CA-20), Betsy Markey (CO-04), Ron Klein (FL-22), Phil Hare (IL-17), Joe Donnelly (IN-02), Russ Carnahan (MO-03), Harry Teague (NM-02), Dina Titus (NV-03), John Hall (NY-19), Steve Driehaus (OH-01), Mary Jo Kilroy (OH-15), Kurt Schrader (OR-05), Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (SD-AL), Ciro D. Rodriguez (TX-23)
- Incumbent GOPer with less CoH than Dem: NONE
- GOPer outraising Dem for a Dem open seat: Tim Griffin (AR-02), Larry Bucshon (IN-08), Kevin Yoder (KS-03), Jeff Landry (LA-03), Tom Reed (NY-29), Pat Meehan (PA-07), Steve Fincher (TN-08), Jaime Herrera (WA-03)
- Dem outraising GOPer for a GOP open seat: John Carney (DE-AL), Joe Garcia (FL-25)
- GOPer with more CoH for a Dem open seat:
Mo Brooks (AL-05), Rick Crawford (AR-01), Tim Griffin (AR-02), Larry Bucshon (IN-08), Kevin Yoder (KS-03), Daniel Benishek (MI-01), Charlie Bass (NH-02), Tom Reed (NY-29), Pat Meehan (PA-07), Jaime Herrera (WA-03), Sean Duffy (WI-07), David McKinley (WV-01) - Dem with more CoH for a GOP open seat: John Carney (DE-AL)
Update: Many of you have correctly pointed out that Parker Griffith is a Republican now, and that were Steve Raby to win, this would technically be a pickup of a GOP open seat. Dick Muri in WA-09 is also included instead of James Postma.
The full chart:
Is this still even considered a Democratic open seat?
Postma lost out in the primary; Dick Muri is the GOP nominee
I haven’t seen people say much about it. Is it a pickup opportunity, or is there just something special about this district?
I haven’t seen people say much about it. Is it a pickup opportunity, or is there just something special about this district?
Nice to see Lori Edwards finally pick it up. Melissa Bean also looks in decent shape. Same goes for Bill Foster and Bob Etheridge. Despite Republican fantasies Nikki Tsongas, Carolyn McCarthy and Solomon Ortiz also look fine.
Tom Marino, Dan Kapanke and Scott Desjarlais don’t have much CoH.
West has been sitting on a lot of his money as well. I guess he’s planning some sort of last minute ad blitz, but I’ve seen Klein dominating the airways. I don’t know why West hasn’t spent more on advertising up to this point. Stupid, if you ask me.
I hit the highlights at Bleeding Heartland (how much each candidate raised from individuals, PACs and self-funding as well as expenditures and cash on hand).
Roxanne Conlin has stayed fairly competitive with Grassley on fundraising from individuals, but she unwisely announced last year that she wouldn’t take PAC money. That plus the huge cash on hand total Grassley brought into this race has left her outgunned.
The U.S. House incumbents in Iowa all raised more in contributions than their challengers. MMM’s big personal loan helped her bring in a bit more than Loebsack for the quarter, but he still had more cash on hand as of September 30.
Fundraising has become irrelevant in top-tier races, but not as much in second and third-tier races that get less attention.
VA Dems got killed this quarter. How the hell did they get outraised so badly? From this and from living in the district I think that Connolly is in serious danger.
I know this is in the weeds in a race that is on no ones radar, but I was just crunching the FEC numbers and found another Dem with more CoH for a GOP open seat:
In OK-5:
Jeff Cloud (D) $42,607 CoH
James Lankford (R) $11,119 CoH
Lankford overall has raised a lot more than Cloud, but he seems to have burned through it all leaving his piggy bank empty in the home stretch. Might be some measuring the curtains or maybe just Lankford pre-bought all his media and lit.
The district is the Oklahoma City open seat R+13 which is the same as Lincoln Davis, Bart Gordon, and Frank Kratovil and slightly more Democratic than the districts of Dan Boren, Travis Childers, and Ike Skelton. Certainly a hard target in this environment, but interesting that Lankford seems to have Martha Coakley level curtain measuring going on.