Continuing through the alphabet
Ohio has 18 representatives: 11 R, 7 D
Filing deadline was Jan 4, primary was March 4
Oklahoma has 5 representatives: 4 R and 1 D
Filing deadline is June 4, primary is July 29
District: OH-01
Location Southwestern OH, bordering IN and KY, including Cincinnati
Representative Steve Chabot (R)
First elected 1994
2006 margin 52-48
2004 margin 60-40
Bush margin 2004 51-49
Notes on opponents In 2004, his opponent raised little; in 2006, John Cranley raised $2 million to Chabot’s $3 million
Current opponents Steven Dreihaus . Thru 2/13, Chabot has raised $1.1 million and Dreihaus $516K; COH $1million and $430K
Demographics 27th fewest Latinos (1.1%)
Assessment Vulnerable. Superribbie ranks it the 19th most vulnerable Republican seat; Dreihaus is minority Whip in the State House.
District: OH-02
Location Central part of southern OH, bordering KY
Representative Jean Schmidt (R)
First elected 2005
2006 margin 50-49
2004 margin NA
Bush margin 2004 64-36
Notes on opponents In 2006, Victoria Wulsin raised $1 million to Schmidt’s $2 million
Current opponents Victoria Wulsin has raised $546K, to Schmidt’s $414K; COH is $170K and $102K, respectively.
Demographics 22nd fewest Latinos (1.0%), 61st most Republican
Assessment Highly vulnerable. On DCCC list , Superribbie ranks it 16th most vulnerable Republican seat. How often is a challenger ahead of an incumbent in fundraising? OTOH, a recent poll showed Schmidt well ahead.
District: OH-03
Location Southwestern OH, including Dayton
Representative Mike Turner (R)
First elected 2002
2006 margin 59-41
2004 margin 62-38
Bush margin 2004 54-45
Notes on opponents each raised about $400K to $500K, Turner about $1 million each time
Current opponents Jane Mitakides has raised $85K to Turner’s $741K; COH is $75K and $483K.
Demographics 26th fewest Latinos (1.1%)
Assessment Slightly vulnerable Superribbie ranks it 74th most vulnerable Republican seat.
District: OH-04
Location Slightly north and west of central OH
Representative Jim Jordan (R)
First elected 2006
2006 margin 60-40
2004 margin NA
Bush margin 2004 65-34
Notes on opponents In 2006, this was an open seat and Rick Seferd raised $161K to Jordan’s $1.3 million
Current opponents Mike Carroll . No funding data.
Demographics 33rd fewest Latinos (1.2%), 50th most Republican
Assessment Long shot
District: OH-05
Location Northwestern OH, bordering MI and IN
Representative Bob Latta (R)
First elected Appointed
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Bush margin 2004 61-39
Notes on opponents NA
Current opponents George Mays . No funding data
Demographics 41st most rural (51.1%), 36th fewest Blacks (1.1%)
Assessment Long shot
District: OH-06
Location Southeastern OH, a long narrow strip along the whole of the border with WV
Representative Charlie Wilson (D)
First elected 2006
2006 margin 62-38
2004 margin NA
Bush margin 2004 51-49
Notes on opponents In 2006, this was an open seat, and Wilson spent $1.8 million, his opponent Chuck Blasdell spent $1 million
Current opponents Rich Stobbs, who has an inactive website and has raised no money.
Demographics 47th most rural (50.0%), 62nd poorest (median income = $33K), 11th most White (95.2%), 11th fewest Latinos (0.8%)
Assessment Safe. Although Superribbie ranks it 41st most vulnerable Democratic seat, Stobbs does not appear to be actively running.
District: OH-07
Location Just south of central OH
Representative David Hobson (R) retiring
First elected 1990
2006 margin 61-39
2004 margin 65-35
Bush margin 2004 57-43
Notes on opponents Neither raised much
Current opponents Sharon Neuhardt has raised $70K; the Republican (Austria) has raised $400K
Demographics 26th fewest Latinos (1.1%)
Assessment Slightly vulnerable. Superribbie ranks it 47th most vulnerable Republican seat
District: OH-08
Location Central part of western OH, bordering IN.
Representative John Boehner (R)
First elected 1990
2006 margin 64-36
2004 margin 69-31
Bush margin 2004 64-35
Notes on opponents Neither raised money
Current opponents Nick von Stein . No funding info.
Demographics 73rd most Whites (91.8%), 42nd fewest Latinos (1.3%), 74th most Republican
Assessment Long shot.
District: OH-09
Location Northern OH, bordering Lake Erie, including Toledo
Representative Marcy Kaptur (D)
First elected 1982
2006 margin 74-36
2004 margin 68-32
Bush margin 2004 42-58
Notes on opponents In 2004, Larry Kaczala raised $255K to Kaptur’s $615K
Current opponents Bradley Leavitt. No funding info.
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Safe
District: OH-10
Location Northern OH, bordering Lake Erie, including part of Cleveland
Representative Dennis Kucinich (D)
First elected 1996
2006 margin 66-34
2004 margin 60-34
Bush margin 2004 41-58
Notes on opponents In 2004, Edward Herman raised $300K to Kucinich’s $400K. The 2006 opponent raised little
Current opponents Jim Trakas has raised very little, Kucinich has over $300K COH.
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Safe
District: OH-11
Location Cleveland and eastern suburbs
Representative Stephanie Tubbs Jones (D)
First elected 1998
2006 margin 83-17
2004 margin Unopposed
Bush margin 2004 18-81
Notes on opponents No money
Current opponents Thomas Pekarek, no funding info
Demographics 52nd lowest income (median = $32K), 63rd fewest Whites (38.8%), 18th most Blacks (55.5%), 18th most Democratic
Assessment Safe
District: OH-12
Location Central OH, including part of Columbus
Representative Pat Tiberi (R)
First elected 2000
2006 margin 57-43
2004 margin 62-38
Bush margin 2004 51-49
Notes on opponents In 2006, Bob Shamanasky raised $1.6 million to Tiberi’s $3 million
Current opponents David Robinson has raised about $10K to Tiberi’s $1 million
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Long shot
District: OH-13
Location Northern OH, including Akron
Representative Betty Sutton (D)
First elected 2006
2006 margin 61-39
2004 margin NA
Bush margin 2004 44-56
Notes on opponents Craig Foltin raised $600K to Sutton’s $1.3 million
Current opponents David Potter. No funding info.
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Safe
District: OH-14
Location Northeastern corner of OH, bordering PA and Lake Erie
Representative Steven LaTourette (R)
First elected 1994
2006 margin 58-39
2004 margin 63-37
Bush margin 2004 53-47
Notes on opponents In 2006, Lewis Katz raised $200K to LaTourette’s $1.4 million. In 2004, Capri Cafaro raised $2 million to LaTourrette’s $2.4 million
Current opponents William O’Neill has raised $200K ($94K COH) to LaTourrette’s $700K ($570K COH)
Demographics 30th fewest in poverty (5.7%), 30th most Whites (93.8%), 42nd fewest Latinos (1.3%),
Assessment Slightly vulnerable. On DCCC list , Superribbie ranks it 59th most vulnerable Republican seat
District: OH-15
Location Central OH, including Columbus
Representative Deborah Pryce retiring (R)
First elected 1992
2006 margin 1,155 votes out of 220,000
2004 margin 60-40
Bush margin 2004 2,000 votes of 300,000
Notes on opponents In 2006, Mary Jo Kilroy raised $2.7 million to Pryce’s $4.7 million
Current opponents Mary Jo Kilroy who came so close in 2006, has raised $917K ($713K COH); the Republican, Steve Stivers – $505K raised and $404 COH
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Highly vulnerable. On DCCC list . Superribbie ranks it 5th most vulnerable Republican seat
District: OH-16
Location North and east of central OH
Representative Ralph Regula (R) retiring
First elected 1972
2006 margin 58-42
2004 margin 67=33
Bush margin 2004 54-46
Notes on opponents Neither raised much
Current opponents Democrat John Boccieri will run against Republican Kirk Schuring. Boccieri has raised $467K ($330K COH0; Schuring raised $327K ($84K COH).
Demographics 17th fewest Latinos (0.9%)
Assessment Vulnerable On DCCC list , Superribbie ranks it 18th most vulerable Republican seat; plus Boccieri has a big lead in COH, and is raising more money
District: OH-17
Location Northeastern OH, bordering PA, including Youngstown
Representative Tim Ryan (D)
First elected 2002
2006 margin 80-20
2004 margin 77-23
Bush margin 2004 33-67
Notes on opponents Neither raised much
Current opponents Duane Grassell. No funding info.
Demographics 67th fewest Latinos (1.6%)
Assessment Safe
District: OH-18
Location South and east of central OH
Representative Zack Space (D)
First elected 2006
2006 margin 62-38
2004 margin NA
Bush margin 2004 57-43
Notes on opponents Joy Padgett raised $850K to Space’s $1.6 million
Current opponents Fred Dailey has raised $111K ($48K COH and $30K in debt). Space has raised $1.2 million ($811K COH, $11K debt)
Demographics 24th most rural (56.7%), 7th most White (95.9%), tied for least Latinos (0.6%)
Assessment Slightly vulnerable. It’s on DCCC list , Superribbie ranks it 28th most vulnerable Democratic seat. But Space has a huge fundraising edge, and won easily in 2006
District: OK-01
Location Shaped like a key standing on end, centered on Tulsa in northeast OK, a tiny bit of border with KS
Representative John Sullivan (R)
First elected 2002
2006 margin 64-31
2004 margin 60-38
Bush margin 2004 65-35
Notes on opponents In 2004, Doug Dodd raised $300K to Sullivan’s $1 million. In 2006, Alan Gentges raised little
Current opponents
Demographics 61st most Republican
Assessment
District: OK-02
Location Eastern OK, bordering MO and AR
Representative Dan Boren (D)
First elected 2004
2006 margin 73-27
2004 margin 66-34
Bush margin 2004 59-41
Notes on opponents Neither raised much
Current opponents None
Demographics 9th most rural (64.4%), 12th lowest income (median = $28K), 11th most nonWhite, nonBlack, NonLatino (mostly 16.8% American Indian)
Assessment Safe. Boren is rather conservative, but it’s a safe Democratic seat in a Republican district and a Republican state
District: OK-03
Location The panhandle of OK, and east to Oklahoma City suburbs, borders TX, NM, CO, and KS
Representative Frank Lucas (R)
First elected 1994
2006 margin 67-33
2004 margin 82-18 (vs. minor party)
Bush margin 2004 72-28
Notes on opponents No money
Current opponents None
Demographics 54th most rural (49.3%), 53rd lowest income (median = $32K), 18th most Republican
Assessment Long shot
District: OK-04
Location Southwestern OK, bordering TX, including suburbs of Oklahoma City
Representative Tom Cole (R)
First elected 2002
2006 margin 65-35
2004 margin 78-22 (against a minor party)
Bush margin 2004 67-33
Notes on opponents No money
Current opponents None
Demographics 61st most Republican
Assessment Long shot
District: OK-05
Location Oklahoma City and some points southeast of there
Representative Mary Fallin (R)
First elected 2006
2006 margin 60-37
2004 margin NA
Bush margin 2004 64-36
Notes on opponents David Hunter raised $400K to Fallon’s $1.6 million, running for this open seat in 2006
Current opponents Bert Smith . No funding info. Fallon has about $350K COH
Demographics 78th lowest income (median = $34K), 74th most Republican
Assessment Long shot