2Q Fundraising Reports vs. the Saucermen From Mars

GA-12:

     Regina Thomas (D): $42K raised; $25K CoH (est.)

Thomas still hasn’t filed her pre-primary financial report with the FEC (which was due on the 3rd), so these estimates came straight from the candidate. Considering that Thomas’ $42K figure tracks very closely to her current total on Actblue, it’s very clear that blogs like Democrats.com and the Blue America crew are doing most of the heavy lifting for her in terms of fundraising. Not a great sign, but it wouldn’t be wise to write off her chances in next week’s primary.

NY-25:

     Dan Maffei (D): ~$470K raised; >$950K CoH

LA-01:

     Jim Harlan (D): $500K personal donation $70K raised + $525K personal loan; $554K CoH

AZ-01:

     Ann Kirkpatrick (D): “significantly” >$260K raised

AZ-03:

     Bob Lord (D): >$220K raised

NY-10:

     Kevin Powell (D): ~$100K CoH

IL-10:

     Mark Kirk (R-inc): >$900K raised; $2.85M CoH

     Dan Seals (D): $635K raised; $1.17M CoH

Previous posts:

2Q Fundraising Results Thread | …Stood Still | How I Learned To Stop Worrying… | I Know What You Raised…

I Know What You Raised Last Quarter

NM-Sen:

     Tom Udall (D): $2.1 million raised

IL-10:

     Dan Seals (D): $635K raised (press release)

MN-01:

     Brian Davis (R): $292K raised + $100K loan; $377K CoH

     Tim Walz (D-inc): $430K raised; $1.2 million CoH

VA-Gov:

     Brian Moran (D): $1.4 million raised; $800K CoH (since 1/1)

Previous posts:

2Q Fundraising Results Thread | …Stood Still | How I Learned To Stop Worrying…

NM-Sen: Udall Raises $2.1 Million in 2Q

Crossposted at New Mexico FBIHOP

The Tom Udall fundraising machine is still running strong, with no signs of stopping — if anything, the fundraising efforts are gaining steam.

Democratic candidate Tom Udall has raised over $2.1 million in the second quarter for his Senate run according to a press release from his campaign.

In the second quarter, which ended at the end of the day on June 30, Udall raised more than he had in any other quarter so far.

“We are so grateful to Tom’s strong, statewide base of committed supporters for making this our best fundraising quarter so far,” said Udall campaign manager Amanda Cooper in a press release. “Because of their generous support our campaign is able to knock on thousands of doors, have a strong statewide presence, and dominate the airwaves with hard-hitting TV ads.”

Udall’s most recent ad is “Tragedy” which speaks about his work on DWI laws.  The ad also invokes the infamous Gordon House crash where House killed four people while driving drunk nearly 20 years ago.

Since the May 14 pre-primary reporting deadline, Udall raised nearly $1.5 million. He had raised a little less than $640,000 between April 1 and May 14.

The campaign was not able to give firm numbers on how much they had spent in the quarter but will be able to do so when they file.  The filing deadline for all U.S. House and Senate races is July 15.

Udall’s previous quarterly high in fundraising was $1.3 million in the first quarter of this year.  In both the fourth quarter of 2007 and the first quarter of 2008, Udall outraised both of his Republican opponents, Heather Wilson and Steve Pearce.  Steve Pearce won a close primary election over Wilson, while Udall was unopposed.

Introducing PIE! Scores

Note: This was originally a idea for OpenLeft’s American Blogger contest which it won and is currently on OpenLeft’s front page but I thought I’d share with y’all at Swing State Project beacuse I know you guys have great ideas too. What do you think of the idea?

The voters hit the polls and the people decided in the fifth American Blogger contest. And the winner was PIE! (Progressive Investment Effectiveness) You can read my original comment here. Essentially it is a idea to develop a system (PIE! Scores) to determine which candidates progressive small donors should donate to if they want their money to be most effectively used to create progressive change via the political system.

In this post I will go into a bit more detail about the project and then will outline ideas for criteria and ask for your brilliant ideas for different criteria! This project won’t work if it’s just one person working on it, we need as many people as possible to make this a people-powered PIE! project.

First off let me talk a bit more about the project. The idea is to come up with a set of criteria on which to determine how effective small dollars would be in bringing progressive change, then each candidate running a semi-competitive challenge gets assigned a PIE! Score. Hopefully progressive small donors will look at those PIE! Scores when they are making their donations and progressives will be more effective in making change via the electoral system.

The criteria I originally proposed were:

1. Seats Where We Can Make the Most Progress: Crisitunity of Swing State Project has developed a method of predicting in which races replacing the incumbent with the challenger would produce the largest right to left swing in voting. You can view the House edition here and the Senate edition here. Debbie Cook in CA-46  and Andrew Rice in OK-Sen would earn the most points in this category while Becky Greenwald in IA-04 and Jim Slattery in KS-Sen would fare the worst.

2. Likelihood of victory: Investing in races where Democrats are already heavily favored (Mark Warner in VA-Sen) or where Democrats don’t seem like they have a chance (Wyoming’s Senate races for example) is not a very good use of money. In this we would factor in a number of considerations to determine what the likelihood of victory in each race is. Races that are tossups or competitive (AK-Sen or NM-01 for example) would earn the highest points while races that seem safe (NY-13, NM-Sen) or very tough (CA-46, GA-Sen) earn less. We would have to come up with a exact system for this. Potentially we could average out the rankings of the Swing State Project, Cook Political Report, Chris Bowers and Nate Silver, something like that.

3. Money’s effectiveness: In Alaska when you advertise all the money is being spent on getting your message in front of potential voters eyes. In say IL-10 when you advertise on TV your spending lots of money reaching people who live in the Chicago area but not in your district. Therefore races with cheap media markets that predominantly reach potential voters (NE-Sen, WY-AL) get high points while races that have expensive media markets that don’t just reach your voters (VA-Sen, IL-10) get lower marks.

4. Progressive Leadership Bonus: We also want to elect progressive leaders. People who have endorsed the Responsible Plan (Darcy Burner), put out statements against FISA (Tom Perriello), worked for progressive movement organizations (Andrew Rice) or showed other tendencies that indicates they would be a progressive leader in Congress (Al Franken) would get extra bonuses. For example Tom Perriello was a original signer of the Responsible Plan, put out statements against FISA and worked for a movement organization (Avaaz.org) so he would score very well. Someone like Ronnie Musgrove (MS-Sen) who has showed signs of being a very unprogressive leader (like pushing to put the Ten Commandments in public places) would not get any bonus here.  

So let’s say the first three criteria each earn you up to 30 points for being the best in that criteria and as low as 0 if you are one of the worst in the criteria and you get a 3 point bonus for each of the first three progressive leadership bonus’s and 1 for other signs of progressive leadership.

Andrew Rice would get a 30 from category 1 because he scored the highest among Senate challengers, OK-Sen isn’t considered a tossup (such as AK-Sen which would give it a 30 score) but it isn’t considered completely hopeless (a 0 such as WY-Sen) because of Inhofe’s low approval ratings, general insanity and Rice’s strong campaign so I would give Rice a 10 in this category, Oklahoma is a very effective media market so I’d give him a 30 there and he gets a 3 point bonus for founding the Progressive Alliance Foundation and an additional point for his aggressive netroots outreach and being on the record calling himself a progressive Democrat.

So Andrew Rice would get a PIE! Score of 74. We’d have to calculate for all the candidates but I’d guess that’s a fairly good score.

Get how it works now? Kind of? Well now I want YOUR ideas for criteria. Are the current ones good? have a idea for a new one? Also, Do you think the 30-30-30-10 split for weighting each criteria is a good system? Do you have any ideas for other areas to award Progressive Leadership Bonus’s?

Please speak up then! After we decide the criteria I will post once or twice a week with one of the criteria and the community can help refine each one. For example we will need to decide how to determine the likelihood of victory.

So please make suggestions, give feedback and let’s have some PIE!

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the 2Q Fundraising Reports

TX-Sen:

     Rick Noriega (D): $930K raised

I’m sorry to say it, but this is yet another disappointing quarter for Noriega.

NY-13:

     Mike McMahon (D): ~$500K raised (in one month)

     Steve Harrison (D): ~$150K raised

GA-06:

     Bill Jones (D): $225K raised; $168K CoH (1/1-6/25)

     Tom Price (R-inc): $293K raised; $756K CoH (4/1-6/25)

GA-08:

     Jim Marshall (D-inc): $165K raised; $1.34M CoH (4/1-6/25)

     Rick Goddard (R): $162K raised; $459K CoH (4/1-6/25)

GA-10:

     Barry Fleming (R): $145K raised; $344K CoH (4/1-6/25)

     Paul Broun (R-inc): $289K raised; $202K CoH (4/1-6/25)

GA-12:

     John Barrow (D-inc): $263K raised; $1.02M CoH (4/1-6/25)

     John Stone (R): $67K raised; $33K CoH (4/1-6/25)

Nothing from Regina Thomas yet, but she has another 15 minutes left to file.

AL-02:

     Harri Anne Smith (R): $169K raised; $100K CoH (5/15-6/25)

     Jay Love (R): $151K raised; $164K CoH (5/15-6/25)

AL-05:

     Wayne Parker (R): $115K raised; $46K CoH (5/15-6/25)

     Cheryl Baswell Guthrie (R): $149K raised; $5K CoH (5/15-6/25)

UPDATE:

GA-13:

     Deborah “The Defrauder” Honeycutt (R-inc): $976K raised; $845K spent; $337K CoH

Previous posts:

2Q Fundraising Results Thread | …Stood Still

The Day the 2Q Fundraising Reports Stood Still

The trickle continues:

VA-Sen:

     Mark Warner (D): $3 million raised; $5.1 million CoH

KS-Sen:
     Jim Slattery (D): $500K raised

     Pat Roberts (R-inc): $850K raised; $3.1 million CoH

AZ-01:
     Mary Kim Titla (D): $53K raised

GA-Sen:
     Saxby Chambliss (R-inc): $800K raised; $4 million CoH

TN-Sen:
     Bob Tuke (D): >$200K raised

     Kenneth Eaton (D): $275K personal donation

Actblue has also posted their top ten candidates who have raised money through their system this quarter:

CANDIDATE RACE TOTAL RAISED
1. Rick Noriega TX-Sen $454,082.32
2. Kay Hagan NC-Sen $386,546.00
3. Mark Warner VA-Sen $242,116.75
4. Scott Kleeb NE-Sen $226,042.87
5. Dan Seals IL-10 $185,819.18
6. Chellie Pingree ME-01 $184,223.97
7. Joseph Sestak Jr. PA-07 $183,775.38
8. Martin Heinrich NM-01 $147,564.20
9. Gary Peters MI-09 $135,805.99
10. Barack Obama President $131,367.23

It will be really interesting to see the ratio of these candidates’ funds raised through Actblue compared to their total receipts.

Previous posts:

2Q Fundraising Results Thread

McCracken for Congress — Weekly Progress Report — June 15th 2008

Father’s Day — Our Day to Relax

Today being Father’s Day, I’m getting extra special treatment from Amanda.  I was treated to breakfast this morning and afterwards, Kelly and Amanda headed to the community pool in Clearfield so I could relax for a couple of hours.  For all the fathers, soak up the special treatment today because tomorrow it’s back to solving problems.

There are several important events to note from the past week.  On Tuesday evening I attended the monthly meeting of the Centre County Democratic Committee.  Centre County Chair Dianne Gregg along with Greg Stewart from the Obama campaign hosted a great meeting.  The people in attendance are ready to go to work for the entire Democratic ticket and there was much enthusiasm and excitement about what can be accomplished in 2008.  Also, voter registration and voting trend numbers are very positive for the Democratic Party in Centre County.  

On Friday, Kelly and I were in Bellefonte to take in the atmosphere of the Bellefonte Cruise.  Our original plan was to take a classic car and participate in the event, but, when a downpour went through Clearfield around 4 PM, we decided to leave the sports car in the garage.  We did get the chance to walk around downtown Bellefonte and talk with people and see some great cars.  The only downside was several people commented that participation appeared to be down from prior years.  You have to wonder how much the $4 per gallon price of gas affected the turnout.

On Saturday morning, Kelly, Amanda and I were back in Centre County to attend a fundraising breakfast arranged by Keith Bierly.  I want to thank the people who signed on to host the event: Elizabeth Goreham, John and Sharon McCarthy, Joe French, Tom and Barbara Thwaites, Bill Cahir and Benson Lichtig  It was a tremendous event with attendance from people we had already met during the primary election campaign and many new friends who are joining on to support our campaign.  Thanks to everyone who came out and I greatly appreciate all the questions, comments and suggestions that were made to help with the direction of the campaign as we move forward.



Thanks to the Hosts of the State College Breakfast – L-R, Henry Guthrie – Campaign Chairman, Mark McCracken, Hosts Elizabeth Goreham, Sharon and John McCarthy, Barbara and Tom Thwaites, Joe French.

The rest of the day Saturday was busy as we attended a flea market / car show in Bigler at the historic Super 322 Drive-In, spent several hours at DuBois Community Days and eventually ended up in Houtzdale to attend a dinner event.  

———————————————

Events for the Coming Week – June 16th to 22nd:

Tuesday June 17th – State College, the Chamber of Business and Industry of Centre County will be hosting a luncheon and debate with both candidates for the 5th Congressional District.  

Thursday, June 19th from 11 AM to 3 PM, Open house at the recently expanded Murmac Farms in Bellefonte PA.  Thursday, June 19th as Clearfield County Commissioner, I will be attending the LMIP hearing held by Pennsylvania DEP for the proposed Chest Township landfill.  

Friday, June 20th, Kelly and I are tentatively scheduled to attend the Pennsylvania Federation of Democratic Women’s 81st annual convention in Altoona.  

Saturday, June 21st, Wellsboro, Tioga County – Laurel Festival from 10 AM and Parade at 2 PM.  

Sunday June 22nd, State College attending 2 house parties hosted by Art Goldschmidt at 1173 Oneida Street from 3 to 5 PM and at a second location to be determined later from 5:30 to 7:30 PM.

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Pins, Pens, Stickers and Magnetic Bumper Signs Available:  We have McCracken for Congress pins, pens, lapel stickers and magnetic bumper stickers available for anyone who would like them.  Please email the campaign with requests for these items.  

———————————————

Fundraising:  We would like to remind everyone that the FEC quarterly report deadline is coming up June 30th.  It is important to show that the campaign is making progress raising funds for the fall campaign.  Our message is strong but we need to mount a competitive media campaign after Labor Day.  Please visit our website www.mccrackenforcongress.com if you would like to donate online via ActBlue.com.  We really appreciate the support we are receiving.  

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Important Upcoming Event:  We will be holding a McCracken for Congress dinner in Clearfield on Thursday July 17th 5:30 PM at the Lawrence Township Fireman’s Social Hall on Mill Road in Clearfield.  Mark your calendars and plan to attend this event.  

———————————————

Mark B. McCracken

Your Candidate For Congress

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This diary is cross-posted at McCracken’s campaign blog, PA’s Blue Fifth

Mark McCracken for Congress

ActBlue page

May Pre-Primary FEC Filing Round-up

On June 3rd, congressional primaries will be decided New Jersey, New Mexico, Montana, Iowa, California, South Dakota, and Alabama.  As such, candidates from these states had to file pre-primary financial reports covering the period from 4/1 to 5/14.  We’ve rounded up a few filings of interest below (all numbers subject to rounding; candidate loans or large self-donations excluded where possible):

A few quick notes:

  • AL-02: Democrat Bobby Bright is finally getting his act together, raising a respectable haul in a very well-financed field.
  • CA-11: What is Dean Andal doing?  Including the $11,000 that he raised in the last six weeks, he’s barely raised $100K all year.  And this guy is supposed to be the GOP’s great hope this cycle?  Now, Andal does have over $500K on-hand, so McNerney is far from safe, but this has got to be disappointing for Tom Cole & co.
  • CA-46: Dana Rohrabacher sure is lazy.
  • NJ-03: Here’s one quarrelsome primary that the GOP sure didn’t need.  While Jack Kelly and Chris Myers squabble over scraps, Democrat John Adler has taken a monster fundraising lead, with $1.1 million on hand to a combined $200K for the GOP jokers.  With numbers as stark as these, it’s no small wonder that the Hotline pondered aloud yesterday if it’s time for the GOP to “write this one off”.  Ouch.
  • NJ-07: Things aren’t quite as bleak for the GOP here, but that’s not saying much.  Stender is heading into the general election with a huge lead over whomever the GOP nominates.