CO-SEN: Salazar is in decent, but not great shape

Research 2000 did a poll for Kos looking at some possible match-ups in the 2010 Senate race

http://www.dailykos.com/story/…

It showed Salazar leading outgoing Congressman Tom Tancredo 51-37 and former NFL great John Elway 49-38.

The poll also showed some pretty mediocre approval ratings for Salazar at 48-41.

I didn’t need a poll to tell me that Tom Tancredo is not electable statewide in a state Barack Obama carried.

I have no idea why they measured Tancredo instead of former Gov. Bill Owens. As I’ve read numerous 2010 previews that say Owens is the GOP’s only real shot at this seat.

I think what we can ascertain from this poll is that Salazar is not safe. But without some external factors and a top flight recruit he should be okay.

NY-13: Fossella given 5 day jail sentence

Ok so this isn’t much of a swing district since we took the seat this October, but still slightly relevant.

Today Rep. Vito Fossella (R) was sentenced for his May 1 DWI.  The judge sentenced Vito to 5 days in jail, to be served on December 19th baring an appeal.

Additionally the judge required;

* Vito pay a $300 fine

* ordered him to complete an alcohol safety program

* suspended his drivers license in Virginia for one year

Fossella will likely appeal this ruling and request a jury trial which would delay his trial and potential sentencing until after his term in Congress has been completed.  This would also likely avoid a House Ethics investigation.

VA-Gov: Moran Polls Best Against McDonnell

Rasmussen (12/4, likely voters)

Creigh Deeds (D): 39

Robert McDonnell (R): 39

Some other candidate: 4

(MoE: ±4.5%)

Brian Moran (D): 41

Robert McDonnell (R): 37

Some other candidate: 5

Terry McAuliffe (D): 36

Robert McDonnell (R): 41

Some other candidate: 5

Rasmussen has polled the 2009 Virginia governor’s race, and every configuration points to a close contest. Attorney General Robert McDonnell seems to be locked in as the Republican candidate, but the Democratic field is very much up in the air, with three credible candidates in the mix: Rep. Creigh Deeds (who narrowly lost to McDonnell in the 2005 AG’s race), Rep. Brian Moran, and former DNC chair Terry McAuliffe. In the three head-to-heads, Moran fares the best, beating McDonnell by 4, while the nationally-known McAuliffe fares the worst, losing by 5. There is no poll included of the Democratic primary.

Although Deeds ran for statewide office four years ago, this may be primarily a case of name recognition; Moran is from Alexandria, so voters throughout the DC media market are likely to be familiar with him, while Deeds is from rural Bath County in southwestern Virginia. This creates an interesting strategic question: nominate Deeds and try to put into play another whole region of the state that otherwise wouldn’t be (even if it’s one that’s vote-poor and shrinking), or nominate Moran and try to maximize Dem performance in northern Virginia, which is by far the biggest concentration of Democratic strength (but still can’t, by itself, win a statewide election). As for McAuliffe, who, judging by his TV appearances this summer appears to be attempting to represent Margaritaville, name recognition may not be the problem so much as a perception of carpetbagging and/or sleazy insiderness.

MO-Sen: Statewide Recruitment Thread

The seat of GOP Sen. Kit Bond is up in 2010, and all eyes in Missouri are waiting for Bond, who will turn 71 that year, to signal his re-election plans. Missouri SoS Robin Carnahan seems to be topping a lot of short lists of potential candidates to take on Bond, but if not her, then who should run? And if Bond retires, who do you see stepping up for Team Red?

Next state in the battle for gay marriage? Iowa?

Did a little research and it appears that 5 of 7 Iowa Supreme Court justices are democratic appointees.  No idea how liberal they are though.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/I…

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/28…

Iowa high court takes on gay marriage

Judges will hear arguments in challenge to state’s ban on same-sex unions

DES MOINES, Iowa – The gay marriage debate moves to the Midwest this week as the Iowa Supreme Court hears arguments in a challenge to the state’s ban on same-sex marriage.

If the high court rules in favor of the half dozen gay couples who filed the lawsuit, it would make Iowa the fourth state behind Massachusetts, California and Connecticut to uphold the right of same-sex couples to legally marry. In California, however, voters have negated the courts by amending the state constitution to ban gay marriage.

The Iowa case has been moving through the legal system for more than three years, and it could take a year or more for the state Supreme Court to issue a ruling after hearing oral arguments Tuesday morning.

Time to Mobilize for Healthcare Fight

Despite some indications that Universal Healthcare may have an easier path this time around, it appears the status-quo in the Insurance Lobby are saying not so fast. I never believed they would give up their control, and most importantly their profits without another knock-down, drag-out fight. Now, it appears they are mobilizing their army to once again shape public opinion and defeat common-sense for Corporate gain.

While Obama appears determined to push our agenda, the Health Insurance Lobby seems to be trying a pre-emptive “blow across the bow” to defeat our new President, his ideas, and our agenda. From the Politico:

America’s Health Insurance Plans, the industry trade group, rolled out a plan Wednesday that embraces some of Obama’s ideas and signals dissent with others.

The industry’s proposal would require individuals to carry insurance and insurers to cover pre-existing conditions. And it would strengthen the health care safety net and provide tax credits to working families to help buy insurance.

The insurers say their plan would build on the employer-based system that provides most Americans with their health insurance – also an idea Obama supports.

What it doesn’t include is a public health insurance option that would compete with private plans, a concept supported by Obama and progressive groups such as Health Care for America Now.

http://www.politico.com/news/s…

Now, we all knew that the Health Insurance lobby would have no problem with mandated coverage, but as a Type 1 Diabetic, I am very suspicious of their “support” of covering pre-existing conditions. What guarantees are they willing to make me, and others with even more expensive pre-existing conditions that we will not be mandated to buy insurance we can’t afford???

The only safety net for us all along has been the creation of a public plan, which would compete with the Insurance companies to make sure we don’t fall between the cracks. All of our final three Presidential candidates supported this, and to me without it we will never see improved healthcare in this country for many. If I could afford the Private Insurance without a competing public plan, I wouldn’t be losing my school insurance in a few weeks when I get my Batchelor’s. I actually delayed graduating so I could keep what little insurance I have!! Trust me, I have gotten many quotes on insurance for a Type 1 Diabetic, and I would have to work four 40 hr a week jobs to afford it!!

As far as a job that covers such illnesses, we recently hired another Type 1 Diabetic at the job I work that doesn’t offer insurance, and he told me he lost four jobs this year because they found out he was Juevenile Diabetic, and let him go before his trial period was complete to keep from putting him on their insurance, and raising their rates!!

The insurance lobby’s excuse was laughable:

“We don’t see that there will be a need for an additional public option. We don’t think there will be a need to get the government in the insurance business,” said the group’s spokesman, Michael Tuffin.

Correction Mr. Tuffin, you don’t want the government in the insurance business as long as you are preying on the American consumer. As soon as you run your companies into the ground, THEN you want the government to come and bail you out with taxpayer money like AIG, the bankers and practically everyone else the last few months!!

The fact of the matter is the Insurance companies like the bankers have created this mess, and don’t want any oversight into their irresponsible actions. These are companies that will exploit any loophole to keep from paying legitimate claims and will deny affordable insurance to folks like me. During the last several decades, this industry has had free run to solve this crisis and has failed miserably, it is far past time for another course.

Healthcare for America Now’s national campaign manager, Richard Kirsch summed it up quite nicely:

“What they’re trying to do politically is to get ahead of health care reform and shape health care reform in such a way to protect their bottom line as opposed to actually fixing the problems in the health care system,” said the group’s national campaign manager, Richard Kirsch.

He criticized the industry’s plan to prevent medical bankruptcy by providing tax credits to low-income families that would cap total health care expenses instead of offering more affordable plans – a move that Kirsch put this way: “We’ll continue to let you go bankrupt, and we’ll have the government bail you out.”

What the Health Insurance lobby doesn’t realize is that some of us don’t want to stick our hands out for a government bailout like greedy vultures circling a swollen carcass, we just want to be able to have health insurance at a fair price and live our lives without fear of either bankrupcy, or the other option, DEATH.

The nation’s largest nursing union also summed it up quite nicely:

The nation’s largest nurses union has an idea for how to cut those costs: eliminate the insurance industry and switch to a single-payer system. About 30 percent of the system’s cost is from insurance company profits and administration costs, said Rose Ann DeMoro, executive director of the California Nurses Association/National Nurses Organizing Committee.

“It’s the Marshall Plan for insurance industry profits, because they use all the arms of government to force people to buy their failed product,” she said. “What their proposal does is privatize profits and socialize risk.”

Privatize profits and socialize risk. Indeed. A win-win proposition for the most greedy and least patriotic among us. Who cares who suffers as long as the precious bottom line is protected, and bailed out when needed.

Insurance moguls can continue to jet across the country in their private planes while the average American languishes with no coverage, and the sick fall between the cracks while fatcats pop the champagne cork.

Personally, I hope a new day has dawned in America. This issue was the most important one to me in the last election, and I put much time and effort as well as money I didn’t have into the fight to elect a Democrat to the White House, and expand our Congressional majorities so we would see some progress for all Americans on this most pressing problem.

We must fight tooth-and-nail for Universal Healthcare. The other side is showing they will still rise up to vanquish progress for profit. Please, anyone who reads this write your Congressman, Senator, President-elect Obama and anyone else who will listen and let them know a new day has dawned in this country, a day when 50 million Americans aren’t considered second-class citizens.

Thank you.

 

OH-15: Kilroy Wins



Kilroy is here.

Badaboom!

Now it’s official: Mary Jo Kilroy will be going to Washington as the first Democrat to represent any part of Franklin County in Congress in a generation.

Final vote tallies released this evening by the Franklin County Board of Elections show that Kilroy defeated Republican state Sen. Steve Stivers by 2,311 votes, outside of the 0.5 percent margin to trigger a recount.

Kilroy, a Franklin County commissioner, picked up a lopsided majority of provisional ballots counted by the Franklin County Board of Elections over the weekend after a court ruling Friday afternoon.

Big props to people-powered prophet DavidNYC — he pretty much nailed the final result of this one a couple of weeks ago. Kilroy’s win over Republican Steve “Steve” Stivers is a nice way to cap off the weekend — it sure helps wash the taste of LA-04 outta my mouth!

It’s KILROY!!!

The count of more than 20,000 provisional ballots allowed Mary Jo Kilroy to seize a commanding lead of 2,311 votes – quite a turnaround since Kilroy trailed by 594 votes this morning alone!

And get this: Kilroy’s lead is superior to 0.5%, so there will be no mandatory recount!

This one is over, and Democrats are back at a net of +20.

It’s also a huge relief for Kilroy who lost another very very close race two years ago. And this is a blue enough district that Kilroy should be able to keep it in two years.  

Podcast with Joseph Cao (LA-02) this afternoon :Update

Congressman elect Cao is behind schedule so the show will be a little later this afternoon. We will try and give a  10-15 minute notice

We are doing a podcast with Joseph Cao (LA-02) this afternoon. We will be focusing on Cao becoming the first Vietnamese-American Congressman. Fascinating story.

Click on this link to check it out. If you miss it you can click on the link on site later and listen to the podcast.

Congressman Cao on Blog Talk Radio

PA-Sen: Matthews to Sign New Contract?

From the Politico:

TO BE ANNOUNCED TUESDAY, or soon: Chris Matthews signed to a long-term contract at “Hardball.” Last night, he was being affectionately called “Senator” at Linda Douglass’ chic holiday party.

If this is accurate, then we don’t have to worry about Tweety throwing his hat into the ring against Arlen Specter. Not that I’d think he could win a contested primary against a competent Democrat, but it’d still be nice not to deal with any of his nonsense on the campaign trail for the next year and a half.

(Hat-tip: Taegan)