NY-23: Owens Swamps All Comers in Fundraising

The three candidates running in NY-23 have all just posted their pre-special FEC reports, which covers the period from July 1st to Oct. 14th. Owens has crushed Scozzafava and Hoffman:


































Candidate Raised Spent CoH Debt 48-Hr Rpts.
Bill Owens $502,197 $373,836 $128,361 $125,561 $127,357
Dede Scozzafava $233,583 $204,879 $40,703 $12,000 $47,300
Doug Hoffman $205,139 $229,879 $73,045 $215,200 $65,900

Note that Hoffman made a $102K loan to himself, and Scozzafava loaned herself $12K. The final column refers to the so-called “48-hour reports” that campaigns must file shortly before an election. These disclosures fill the gap between the last date covered by the final report (which I’ve detailed above) and election day. Owens has also been lapping the field on this score, too. The fact that Scozzafava’s 48-hour reports are weaker than Hoffman’s – and the fact that she has less cash-on-hand – signal some dire times for her down the stretch run.

NY-23: Palin Endorses Conservative Party Candidate Hoffman

So much NY-23 news to discuss, but this one deserves a post of its own. Read it:

The people of the 23rd Congressional District of New York are ready to shake things up, and Doug Hoffman is coming on strong as Election Day approaches! He needs our help now.

The votes of every member of Congress affect every American, so it’s important for all of us to pay attention to this important Congressional campaign in upstate New York. I am very pleased to announce my support for Doug Hoffman in his fight to be the next Representative from New York’s 23rd Congressional district. It’s my honor to endorse Doug and to do what I can to help him win, including having my political action committee, SarahPAC, donate to his campaign the maximum contribution allowed by law. …

And best of all, Doug Hoffman has not been anointed by any political machine. …

Political parties must stand for something. When Republicans were in the wilderness in the late 1970s, Ronald Reagan knew that the doctrine of “blurring the lines” between parties was not an appropriate way to win elections. Unfortunately, the Republican Party today has decided to choose a candidate who more than blurs the lines, and there is no real difference between the Democrat and the Republican in this race. This is why Doug Hoffman is running on the Conservative Party’s ticket.

Republicans and conservatives around the country are sending an important message to the Republican establishment in their outstanding grassroots support for Doug Hoffman: no more politics as usual.

Wow. True to form, she’s taking on the whole party. This is going to be really, really good.

September Party Committee Fundraising Roundup

It ain’t funny money. Here are the September fundraising numbers for the six major party committees (August numbers are here):



















































Committee September
Receipts
September
Spent
Cash-on-Hand Debt
DCCC $7,052,003 $3,043,706 $14,746,361 $4,000,000
NRCC $3,414,949 $3,298,499 $4,316,993 $2,000,000
DSCC $5,920,930 $2,504,799 $10,310,148 $2,499,500
NRSC $3,205,680 $3,128,879 $5,182,334 $0
DNC $8,204,207 $8,422,672 $14,813,393 $5,026,038
RNC $9,053,101 $11,099,550 $18,924,409 $0

After two months of trailing the NRSC in fundraising, the DSCC stormed back with a big month, putting a lot of distance between them and the GOP in the cash-on-hand pile. Perhaps the best bit of news, though, is that thanks to a strong July, the DNC outraised the RNC in the third quarter – the first time that’s happened in a quarter since 2Q 2004. So that you can see these numbers for yourself, below I’m also included a 3Q summary chart, with overall party totals at the bottom.

































































Committee 3Q Raised 3Q Spent Cash-on-Hand Debt
DCCC $13,556,726 $8,542,202 $14,746,361 $4,000,000
NRCC $9,648,983 $9,492,000 $4,316,993 $2,000,000
DSCC $10,163,136 $7,865,735 $10,310,148 $2,499,500
NRSC $9,064,081 $8,158,592 $5,182,334 $0
DNC $24,383,195 $22,287,674 $14,813,393 $5,026,038
RNC $23,183,794 $27,953,664 $18,924,409 $0
Dems $48,103,057 $38,695,611 $39,869,902 $11,525,538
GOP $41,896,858 $45,604,256 $28,423,736 $2,000,000

NY-23: No Good Days for Dede

It really seems like Dede Scozzafava can’t catch a break, huh? First, it looks like Lindsay Beyerstein caught Scozzafava talking out of both sides of her mouth about the card-check provision of the Employee Free Choice Act. Dave Weigel sums up:

In September, Scozzafava’s campaign claimed she opposed the “card check” provision of the Employee Free Choice Act. But at the same time, she told the AFL-CIO, in a candidate questionnaire, that she supported EFCA’s provision that “would require employers to honor their workers’ decision to join a union after a majority of them signed a union authorization card or petition.”

In an attempt to nail down exactly where the Janus-faced Scozzafava stands on the issue, Weekly Standard reporter John McCormack got a bit more than he bargained for. McCormack did succeed in finding out Scozzafava’s views on card check (she says she supports it – at least, today), but the candidate was remarkably unwilling to answer any other questions. McCormack’s persistence didn’t exactly pay off:

I spotted Scozzafava later as she was walking to the parking lot, and asked her: “Assemblywoman, do you believe that the health-care bill should exclude coverage for abortion?” She didn’t reply. I asked her twice more. Silence.

After she got into her car, I went to my car and fired up my laptop to report the evening’s events.

Minutes later a police car drove into the parking lot with its lights flashing. Officer Grolman informed me that she was called because “there was a little bit of an uncomfortable situation” and then took down my name, date of birth, and address.

“Maybe we do things a little differently here, but you know, persistence in that area, you scared the candidate a little bit,” Officer Grolman told me.

“[Scozzafava] got startled, that’s all,” Officer Grolman added. “It’s not like you’re in any trouble.”

Calling the cops on a reporter doesn’t seem like a winning move to begin with; getting into an intramural battle with a conservative publication seems even more foolhardy. Nonetheless, a Scozzafava flack emailed Politico to claim that McCormack “repeatedly screamed questions” at the candidate. Other attendees said that McCormack was “quiet” during the event, so who knows. A spokesman for Conservative Doug Hoffman’s campaign opined:

If any police investigation needs to take place, it should be of Dede Scozzafava, for impersonating a Republican.

Zing!

Meanwhile, the Scozzafava camp decided to continue its fued with the Weekly Standard, releasing an email exchange between McCormack and another Republican spokesman to TPM about whether Scozzafava would vote for John Boehner as speaker should she win election. (The Scozzafava guy just comes off as squirrely.) The attacks on McCormack prompted Weekly Standard honcho Bill Kristol to weigh in, branding the Scozzafava campaign “desperate.”

But really, this is all a minor nuisance (albeit one a struggling Republican campaign can ill afford). The real news for Dede is worse – much worse. The Club for Growth just announced a brand-new $300K moneybomb on ads attacking Scozzafava for (what else) being a “liberal.” At the same time, the SEIU just dropped $82K on mailers for Dem Bill Owens, and the D-Trip threw down $132 grand on media buys. This brings the DCCC’s total spending to $520K.

Meanwhile, former GOP Majority Leader Dick Armey will campaign for Hoffman, while Susan Collins and Florida Rep. Ginny Brown-Waite (srsly?) will stump for Scozzafava. Owens is probably feeling a bit more stoked than the competition about the help he’s getting – tonight President Obama held a fundraiser for him in New York City.

And finally, all three candidates agreed to a one-hour debate on Oct. 29th, though it won’t be broadcast until Nov. 1st.

3Q Senate Fundraising Reports Roundup

Here’s our summary of FEC filings for the quarter that ended on September 30, for the hot (and not-so-hot) Senate races. (House filings are here.) These numbers come courtesy of Quinn McCord at the Hotline. The left column is total receipts for the second quarter. (This is based on slightly different criteria as “total raised” from the House list, which only counts donations – see Quinn’s post for the full explanation.) The right column is current cash on hand. All dollar amounts are in thousands. Click on table headers to sort.
























































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































State Candidate Party 3Q Receipts CoH
AK Murkowski (R-inc) $540 $1,520
AR Baker (R) $510 $504
AR Coleman (R) $55 $31
AR Lincoln (D-inc) $1,211 $4,130
AR Reynolds (R) $43 $43
AZ Mccain (R-inc) $1,681 $5,681
CA Boxer (D-inc) $1,645 $6,351
CA Devore (R) $383 $145
CA Fiorina (R) $0 $0
CO Bennet (D-inc) $1,013 $2,851
CO Buck (R) $159 $348
CO Norton (R) $510 $492
CO Romanoff (D) $293 $243
CT Caligiuri (R) $147 $112
CT Dodd (D-inc) $902 $2,081
CT Foley (R) $785 $1,183
CT McMahon (R) $3,502 $1,450
CT Schiff (R) $0 $0
CT Simmons (R) $968 $1,086
DE Castle (R) $58 $853
FL Crist (R) $2,489 $6,235
FL Meek (D) $772 $2,722
FL Rubio (R) $1,011 $903
GA Isakson (R-inc) $961 $3,642
IA Fiegen (D) $4 $1
IA Grassley (R-inc) $865 $4,434
IA Krause (D) $7 $3
ID Crapo (R-inc) $501 $2,543
IL Giannoulias (D) $1,118 $2,430
IL Hoffman (D) $888 $837
IL Hughes (R) $0 $0
IL Jackson (D) $367 $318
IL Kirk (R) $1,631 $2,300
IL Meister (D) $1,048 $1,038
IN Bayh (D-inc) $633 $12,730
KS Moran (R) $521 $3,476
KS Tiahrt (R) $344 $1,402
KY Conway (D) $675 $1,650
KY Grayson (R) $645 $1,118
KY Mongiardo (D) $514 $752
KY Paul (R) $1,011 $912
LA Melancon (D) $754 $1,803
LA Vitter (R-inc) $1,255 $3,910
MA Brown (R) $169 $150
MA Capuano (D) $425 $1,201
MA Coakley (D) $2,187 $1,954
MA Khazei (D) $1,124 $1,040
MA Pagliuca (D) $2,044 $674
MD Mikulski (D-inc) $306 $1,750
MO Blunt (R) $1,303 $2,274
MO Carnahan (D) $1,072 $1,844
NC Burr (R-inc) $1,117 $3,461
NC Etheridge (D) $154 $1,006
NC Lewis (D) $158 $184
NC Marshall (D) $178 $164
ND Dorgan (D-inc) $721 $3,935
NH Ayotte (R) $613 $563
NH Hodes (D) $587 $1,149
NV Amodei (R) $49 $41
NV Chachas (R) $1,404 $1,323
NV Lowden (R) $0 $0
NV Reid (D) $2,043 $8,733
NV Tarkanian (R) $271 $205
NY-A Schumer (D-inc) $2,004 $16,634
NY-B Gillibrand (D-inc) $1,633 $4,174
OH Brunner (D) $0 $0
OH Fisher (D) $621 $1,599
OH Ganley (R) $44 $23
OH Portman (R) $1,311 $5,170
OK Coburn (R-inc) $629 $1,134
OR Wyden (D-inc) $637 $2,824
PA Luksik (R) $217 $48
PA Sestak (D) $758 $4,700
PA Specter (D-inc) $1,822 $8,711
PA Toomey (R) $1,558 $1,808
SC Demint (R-inc) $524 $2,860
SD Thune (R-inc) $804 $5,530
TX Barton (R) $526 $1,710
TX Sharp (D) $615 $3,356
TX White (D) $1,550 $4,182
TX Williams,M. (R) $192 $118
TX Williams,R. (R) $336 $863
UT Bennett (R-inc) $403 $792
UT Chaffetz (R) $86 $102
UT Granato (D) $20 $9
UT Shurtleff (R) $0 $0
VT Leahy (D-inc) $495 $2,562
WA Murray (D-inc) $927 $4,622
WI Feingold (D-inc) $663 $3,128

The totals are blank for several prominent names on this chart. Some (like Jennifer Brunner) simply declined to provide the Hotline with their data. Others have not yet formally announced & presumably haven’t met FEC reporting thresholds yet.

IA-Sen/IA-Gov: Grassley & Culver Are Both Vulnerable

Research 2000 for Daily Kos (10/12-14, likely voters, no trendlines):

Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 51

Christie Vilsack (D): 40

Undecided: 11

Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 51

Roxanne Conlin (D): 39

Undecided: 10

Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 52

Bob Krause (D): 35

Undecided: 13

Chuck Grassley (R-inc): 54

Tom Fiegen (D): 31

Undecided: 15

(MoE: ±4%)

This is the first poll to test Chuck Grassley against a couple of higher-profile names: Christie Vilsack, the wife of former governor (and current Ag. Sec’y) Tom Vilsack, and Roxanne Conlin, former head of the Association of Trial Lawyers of America and 1982 Democratic nominee for governor (she lost 53-47 to none other than Terry Bradstad – we’ll visit with him below). Both Vilsack and Conlin’s names have been tossed around as possible candidates recently, with Conlin refusing to rule out a run and Vilsack openly suggesting she might join the race.

The best news about this poll, though, is that Grassley seems to have a cap of about 51-52% against a field which has room to grow. He does better against state Sen. Tom Fiegen, but only because half the state has no opinion of the latter. All the other three Dem names are in a much closer range in terms of favorables – former state Rep. and longtime public official Bob Krause is actually a bit better-known than Vilsack, and Conlin, it turns out, has the best nums with 44-29 favorables. (Also recall that last December, Grassley only led Tom Vilsack by 48-44 in another R2K poll.)

Hopefully Conlin or Vilsack will get in. Either woman would bring considerable resources to bear – Conlin, thanks to her high profile and network of wealthy lawyers, and Vilsack, due to her strong brand name and powerful political connections. SSP currently pegs this as a “Race to Watch,” but if we get a top-tier challenger, that rating might soon change. (Discussion is also underfoot in this diary.)

Chet Culver (D-inc): 43

Terry Brandstad (R): 48

Undecided: 9

Chet Culver (D-inc): 55

Bob Vander Plaats (R): 33

Undecided: 12

Chet Culver (D-inc): 58

Chris Rants (R): 28

Undecided: 14

(MoE: ±4%)

How frustrating – Gov. Chet Culver utterly swamps a couple of unknown candidates, but along comes former four-term Gov. Terry Branstad showing the incumbent in a very vulnerable position. Branstad is still in “exploratory phase” – he just resigned as president of Des Moines University on Friday, but hasn’t officially announced a run yet. Lingering unhappiness over events from his long tenure, as well as a possible right-wing vs. establishment split, could pose some roadblocks for Branstad. But right now, Culver ought to be very concerned.

SSP currently rates this race a Tossup. (More on this poll in this diary.)

The 3Q Fundraising Reports and the Bride of Titanman

Serves you right for choosing him over me, Lois!

AK-AL:

     Don Young (R-inc): $117K raised; $129K CoH

CA-03:

     Ami Bera (D): $335K raised; $586K CoH (updated from earlier estimate)

CT-Sen:

     Chris Dodd (D-inc): $900K raised (note: Dodd missed a month due to surgery for prostate cancer)

     Tom Foley (R): $280K raised; >$1m CoH

     Rob Simmons (R): $970K raised; ~$1.1m CoH

FL-24:

     Suzanne Kosmas (D-inc): >$300K raised; >$725K CoH (via email)

IL-Sen:

     Cheryle Jackson (D): $354K raised (in four weeks); $322K CoH

KS-04:

     Raj Goyle (D): $403K raised;

KY-Sen:

     Dan Mongiardo (D): $514K raised; $751K CoH

MO-08:

     Tommy Sowers (D): $205K raised (since Sept. 9)

NC-02:

     Bob Etheridge (D-inc): >$150K raised; >$1m CoH

NC-08:

     Tim D’Annunzio (R): $300K loan

NM-Gov:

     Diane Denish (D): $1m raised; $2.2m CoH

NM-02:

     Steve Pearce (R): $508K raised

NV-Sen:

     Harry Reid (D-inc): >$2m raised; $8.73m CoH

     Danny Tarkanian (R): >$250K raised; $204K CoH

NY-13:

     Michael Allegretti (R): $187K raised; $155K CoH

PA-Sen:

     Arlen Specter (D-inc): $1.82m raised (which included ~$1m from an Obama fundraiser); $8.71m CoH

PA-06:

     Curt Schroder (R): $88K raised; $87K CoH

PA-15:

     John Callahan (D): $345K raised; $325CoH

     Charlie Dent (R-inc): >$230K raised

SC-Gov:

     Gresham Barrett (R): $400K raised; $1.3m CoH

     Andre Bauer (R): $262K raised; ~$825K CoH

     Henry McMaster (R): $1.09m (since Aug.); ~$1m CoH

SC-04:

     Trey Gowdy (R): $125K raised

     Bob Inglis (R-inc): ~$100K raised

     David Thomas (R): ~90K raised

TX-Sen:

     Bill White (D): >$1.5m raised; $4.18 CoH

TX-10:

     Jack McDonald  (D): $298K raised; $805K CoH

WI-07:

     Sean Duffy (R): $140K raised; $120K CoH

NJ-Gov: Christie Sez: “Supersize Me!” – Taxpayers Get Soaked

Chris Christie really has been living large – too large:

The Republican candidate for New Jersey governor, who has campaigned on a platform of ethical integrity and cutting government waste, regularly spent beyond federal guidelines on business travel while U.S. attorney, records show.

The newly released travel records show that Chris Christie occasionally billed taxpayers more than $400 a night for stays in luxury hotels and exceeded the government’s hotel allowance on 14 of 16 business trips he took in 2008.

“Generally, U.S. attorneys, assistant U.S. attorneys and all federal staff stay within the government rate,” said Justice Department spokeswoman Melissa Schwartz. “The government rate is not a suggestion, it’s a guideline.”

And look who else bunked with Christie at high-end rates:

On trips in 2007 and 2008, his top deputy, Michele Brown, also exceeded the guidelines after Christie approved her requests for rooms in the same five-star hotels where he was booked.

The vouchers show Christie and Brown stayed at the NineZero Hotel in Boston on Oct. 16, 2007 and each billed taxpayers $449 plus taxes and fees for their rooms, more than double the government allowance for a Boston hotel room at the time, according to a General Services Administration travel reimbursement table.

Yes, that Michele Brown. No word yet, though, on Christie’s room service tab.

In other NJ-Gov news:

  • Barack Obama will campaign with Jon Corzine on Wednesday, Oct. 21st, at 3pm at Farleigh Dickinson University in Hackensack. Tom Jensen points out that the few remaining undecideds in NJ voted for Obama by a 50-40 margin, so it’s key for Corzine to try to mobilize them.
  • Quinnipiac’s new survey shows the race at 41-40 Christie, with Chris Daggett pulling in 14. Christie had a 43-39 lead just a couple of weeks ago.
  • And in an unsurprising sign that Republicans are worried about Daggett drawing away votes from Christie, the RGA is hitting the independent with both radio and TV attack ads. For its part, the DGA is going after Christie hard on mammograms.