TN-Gov: McWherter, Wamp Lead Primary Packs

Southern Political Report (7/13, registered voters, no trendlines):

Mike McWherter (D): 23

Roy Herron (D): 13

Jim Kyle (D): 6

Ward Cammack (D): 5

Kim McMillan (D): 3

Other: 16

Undecided: 34

Zach Wamp (R): 22

Bill Haslam (R): 15

Ron Ramsey (R): 7

Bill Gibbons (R): 4

Other: 13

Undecided: 39

(MoE: ±3.8%)

This is, as far as I know, the first poll out there of the still-coalescing Tennessee governor’s race. It’s from an outlet with no track record (although I suspect this may have been conducted by the reputable Insider Advantage, with whom the Southern Political Report is affiliated), primaries only, and the undecideds are huge (as one would expect at this point in the game), but it’s better than nothing, so let’s take a look.

On the Dem side, the leader is Jackson-area businessman (beer distributor, to be more precise) Mike McWherter, who’s never been elected before but whose claim to fame is that he’s the son of former Governor Ned McWherter (so factor in that a lot of respondents may think they’re talking about Ned instead). The other players here at state Senator Roy Herron from the state’s rural northwest, state Senate minority leader Jim Kyle from Memphis, businessman Ward Cammack of Nashville, and former state House majority leader Kim McMillan of Clarksville, the only woman in the race. The “other,” I suspect, is that a lot of people still think that country music star Tim McGraw is running as a Democrat (which he’s denied, but had long been rumored).

For the GOPers, the frontrunner is U.S. Rep. Zach Wamp of the 3rd District (Chattanooga), trailed by Knoxville mayor Bill Haslam, Lieutenant Governor Ron Ramsey from Blountville in the state’s far eastern tip, and Shelby Co. DA Bill Gibbons of Memphis. (I’m emphasizing the cities they’re from because both fields are composed of candidates each with their own clearly defined regional base, and if the fields stay this crowded, consolidating regional bases will prove very important for winning the primary. Bear in mind for the general, though, that Democrats are much stronger in the western half of the state and Republicans are much stronger in the east.)

RaceTracker: TN-Gov

SSP Daily Digest: 7/14

TX-Gov: Holy crap, Kay Bailey Hutchison is running for Governor of Texas! Of course, everyone with a pulse has known this for most of a year, but it’s now official: she’s done exploring the race and formally launched her campaign yesterday. She also found a lot of cash under the couch cushions during all those explorations, as she put together $6.7 million during the first half of the year. Factoring in her $8 million transfer from her Senate account, she’s sitting on about $12 million CoH. Her primary opponent, incumbent Gov. Rick Perry, raised $4.2 million in the year’s first half (a lot, considering he couldn’t raise during the legislative session) and has $9.3 million CoH.

FL-Sen: Ordinarily, you probably wouldn’t want to spotlight an endorsement from an unlikable jerk with a ridiculous name, but Marco Rubio is trying to rally the nationwide wingnut brigade to his financially faltering campaign ($340K last quarter), so he rolled out an endorsement from ex-House Majority Leader Dick Armey today.

IL-Sen: Now that he’s done holding his breath and turning blue until that nasty Andy McKenna would go away, Rep. Mark Kirk has announced that he’ll announce that he’ll announce that he’ll announce his candidacy, or something like that, “in one week.” Roll Call also has a look at the consternation that Kirk’s messed-up rollout caused both local and national GOP figures, stepping on their attempts to crow “recruitment success.”

Meanwhile, people are starting to wonder openly when if ever businessman Chris Kennedy is going to pull the trigger on getting into the Dem field. His hesitation is already landing him in legal hot water: a local police officer filed an FEC complaint against Kennedy for allegedly spending more than $5,000 on campaign outlays without actually having a campaign in place.

NV-Sen: John Ensign (apparently emboldened by fellow C Street dweller Mark Sanford’s seat-of-his-pants survival of his own affair) is proceeding full speed ahead, not just planning not to resign but to run for re-election in 2012. TPM wonders out loud if Harry Reid is one of the Dems who’ve urged Ensign to stay on board.

PA-Sen: The NRSC finally officially endorsed Pat Toomey today. This comes hot on the heels of news that state Sen. Jane Orie (who was being chatted up by the NRSC last week) has decided against running against Pat Toomey in the GOP senate primary. Rumors abound that Rick Santorum, nursing some sort of grudge against Toomey, was the driving force behind the Orie boomlet. Meanwhile, Arlen Specter today announced a 2Q haul of $1.7 million, narrowly topping both Toomey ($1.6 million) and Joe Sestak ($1 million in his House account).

CA-Gov: Meg Whitman is sitting on a ton of cash now, having added $15 million of her own money on top of $6.7 million in private contributions, bringing her total stash to more than $25 million. Her GOP primary rival, Insurance Comm. Steve Poizner anted up $5 million of his own money, along with $1.2 million in contributions, during that same period.

CT-Gov: A strangely quiet fundraising period for Jodi Rell has some wondering if she’s going to run for re-election. She raised $20,000 in the most recent quarter, with $71K CoH, outpaced by potential Democratic challengers SoS Susan Bysiewicz ($141K for the quarter) and Stamford mayor Dan Malloy ($147K).

OH-Gov: Betcha didn’t know that ex-Rep. John Kasich had an opponent in the GOP gubernatorial primary in Ohio: state Sen. Kevin Coughlin. Well, apparently no one else knew that either, and having gotten nowhere on the fundraising front in the face of party opposition, Coughlin bailed out yesterday.

VA-Gov: Creigh Deeds beat Bob McDonnell in fundraising in June ($3.4 million for Deeds, $1.8 million for McDonnell), but he had to blow through a lot of that in the primary. McDonnell is sitting on a lot more cash on hand, with almost $5 million compared with Deeds’ $2.7 million.

CA-11: This is the first I’ve heard of this guy — vintner Brad Goehring — who’s planning to challenge Jerry McNerney in the 11th. He’s not getting off on the right foot, though, with the appearance of 2006 statements where he shrugged off the problem of 40% of his workforce being undocumented immigrants… not likely to help him much with the nativist core of what’s left of the California GOP base.

CA-32: In case you’d forgotten (and most likely you had; I know I did), the general special election for the race to fill the vacant seat left behind by Labor Sec. Hilda Solis is today. Today’s election is an afterthought, given that the race was basically won in a heavily-contested May primary in this solid Dem district. Someone named “Chu” is guaranteed to win, although in all likelihood it’ll be Democratic Board of Equalization member Judy Chu over Republican Monterey Park city councilor Betty Chu.

FL-12: The Blue Dogs have already weighed in with their first endorsement of the cycle, endorsing Polk Co. Elections Supervisor Lori Edwards in the open 12th district to replace Rep. Adam Putnam, who’s running for Florida Agricultural Commissioner.

KY-St. Sen.: Gov. Steve Beshear is seemingly taking a page from Barack Obama, picking off Republican legislators and giving them secure appointive positions instead, opening up their seats for possible Democratic takeove. Sens. Dan Kelly and Charlie Borders were appointed to a judgeship and the Public Service Commission, respectively. Dems are optimistic about retaking both the seats, with state Rep. Robin Webb looking at Borders’ seat in Kentucky’s NE corner, and former state Rep. Jodie Haydon looking at Kelly’s seat in Bourbon territory in the state’s center. This will hopefully put a dent in the GOP’s 21-16-1 edge.

Census: Census Director Robert Groves was finally confirmed after the Dems used a cloture vote to break the hold on him, leaving him with only eight months to whip the Census into shape. Only 15 GOPers voted against cloture, including Richard Shelby and David Vitter, the ones who’d had the hold on the nomination, and some of the other dead-enders (Brownback, Bunning, Cornyn, Ensign, Sessions, etc…. although, interestingly, Coburn and Kyl voted for cloture). Meanwhile, Michele Bachmann continues her one-woman war on the Census, proposing legislation that would limit the number of question the American Community Survey (the annual supplement, not the 2010 full count) can ask.

Polltopia: PPP is asking for your input on another state to poll, so let ’em hear it. The finalists are California, Iowa, and Louisiana.

Senator Sessons: You Are a Bigot and a Hypocrite

(Cross-posted at Dkos)

Ah this morning I felt like I was in te twilight zone, then I realized it was merely the current state of U.S. politics. Don’t blame me for being confused, Senator Jeff Sessions repititive tirades at Sonia Sotomayor over her “apparent biases” is enough to confuse anyone who knows Jeff Sessions. But the fact that he is turning into the sort of national leader against her has me pinching my cheeks to make sure I’m awake.

Let me start by taking a step back and speaking a bit on the hearings themselves. All I can say is that Justice Sotomayor was gold in hitting back, not revealing too much or falling for hypotheticals, and was highly knowledgeable and forceful in fighting back with her critics. Now, I will not get into any legal jargon because while I had no trouble following the line of debate, law is not my field and I rightly feel I am woefully inadequate to actually give any sort of legal analysis on some of the issues brought up.

What’s more is that I watched on LPB, (Louisiana Public Broadcasting), and once again realized that I shouldn’t watch any other news station. It was the only channel I could get without commercials and constant feedback and breakdowns and analysis tossed all in the middle of the hearings and in the aftermath its the only one where I could simply sit and listen to a few people sensibly and intellectually discuss he situation and obviously not try to suck up to Democrats so much of the time and to Republicans the rest and so on and so forth.

I would like to open by correcting a misstatement. The LPB analyzers stated, in passing, that Senator Dianne Feinstein rebuked Senator Hatch. I would like to contend that she did not, in making her fantastic statement which I just had to sit and applaud her for in my living room, she complemented Judge Sotomayor for sitting their calmly and speaking calmly while her own adrenaline was rising and she was getting heated as, in saying, basically, ‘openly provactive questions’ were directed at her, (though I’m not saying Hatch shouldn’t be rebuked. I disagree with where he came from legally on making a huge deal of several cases where she was clearly within the legal confines of her office and the Heller decision, and it was outrageous to suggest that the Supreme Court unanimously criticized her in the Ricci case, something the current court members should obviously and publically rebuke), she was refering to Jeff Sessions opening tirade that obviously infuriated Sotomayor and most sensible politicians in the room. Senator Feinstein was fantastic today, bringing up very strong questions on executive authority and Roe v Wade. I’ve never quite understood the furor against her from many on the left, both from her record, and from listening to her speak on numerous occassions on major issues, as a Senate Page. Today reminded me again of that.

Here is here entire opening dialogue,a spectacular back and forth that really slams Sessions:

FEINSTEIN: Thank you very much, Mr. Chairman.I’m puzzled why Mr. Estrada keeps coming up. Mr. Estrada had no judicial experience. The nominee before us has considerable judicial experience. And Mr. Estrada wouldn’t answer questions presented to him.

This nominee, I think, has been very straightforward. She has not used catchy phrases. She has answered the questions directly the best she could. And to me, that gets points.

I must say that, if there’s a test for judicial temperament, you pass it with an A-plus-plus. I want you to know that, because I wanted to respond, and my adrenaline was moving along. And you have just sat there, very quietly, and responded to questions that, in their very nature, are quite provocative. So I want to congratulate you about that.

Now, it was just said that all nine justices disagreed with you in the Ricci case, but I want to point out that Justice Ginsburg and three other justices stated in the dissent that the Second Circuit decision should have been affirmed. Is that correct?

SOTOMAYOR: Yes.

FEINSTEIN: Thank you very much. Also, a senator made a comment about the Second Circuit not being bound in the Ricci case that I wanted to follow up on, because I think what he said was not correct. You made the point that the unanimous Ricci panel was bound by Second Circuit precedent, as we’ve said. The senator said that you easily could have overruled that precedent by voting for the case to be heard en banc. First, my understanding is that a majority of the Second Circuit voted not to re-hear the case. Is that correct?

SOTOMAYOR: That’s correct.

FEINSTEIN: Secondly, it took a significant change in disparate law — in disparate impact law to change the result of the Second Circuit reached in this case. And the Supreme Court itself in Ricci recognized that it was creating a new standard. Is my understanding correct?

SOTOMAYOR: Yes, Senator.

FEINSTEIN: You see? So what’s happening here, ladies and gentlemen and members, is that this very reserved and very factual and very considered nominee is being characterized as being an activist when she is anything but. And I have a problem with this, because some of it is getting across out there. Calls began to come into my office, “Wow, she’s an activist.”

In my view, because you have agreed with your Republican colleagues on constitutional issues some 98 percent of the time, I don’t see how you can possibly be construed to be an activist. And by your comments here, and you’ve — and as I walked in the room earlier, somebody asked you how you see your role, and you said, “To apply the law as it exists with the cases behind it.”

That’s a direct quote. It’s a very clear statement. It does not say, “Oh, I think it’s a good idea,” or it does not say any other cliche. It states a definitive statement.

And later, you said, “Precedent is that which gives stability to the law,” and I think that’s a very important statement.

FEINSTEIN: And what we’re talking about here is following precedent, so let me ask you in a difficult area of the law a question.

The Supreme Court has decided on more than seven occasions that the law cannot put a woman’s health at risk. It said it in Roe in ’73; in Danforth in ’76; in Planned Parenthood in ’83; in Thornburgh in ’86; in Casey in ’92; in Carhart in 2000; and in Ayotte in 2006.

With both Justices Roberts and Alito on the court, however, this rule seems to have changed, because, in 2007, in Carhart II, the court essentially removed this basic constitutional right from women.

Now, here’s my question: When there are multiple precedents and a question arises, are all the previous decisions discarded, or should the court re-examine all the cases on point?

So I have come back to my starting point; Jeff Sessions. The fact that the national media is giving this man a degree of respctability as a leader of the skeptical Republicans on this issue is astonishing, but not as astonishing as the fact that he is ranking Republican member of the Judicial committee period, the same committee that rejected his nomination as a Federal Judge more than twenty years ago, (more on that later).

I’m just very disappointed that the media has not been tougher on Sessions, afterall, those who through stones should make sure that their windows are boarded up at home, but the media always seems to be somewhat afraid to tackle Republicans with the toughness that they deserve on many issues, important issues, and by doing so they hurt Democrats by often annulling highly crucial and potent arguments for the sake of fairness, which then leaves the laymen voter uninformed as to the entire issue.

The level of hypocricsy from Sessions was stunning though. Here was a man repetitively, constantly, grilling her over mundane discussions that were clearly intellectual discussions on issues of the place of background and life experience and on exactly how far removed a judge can be from their background, the background that shapes the way they view the entire world. To see him ignoring solid responses that completely discredit his argument and then come back with more of the same dribble was hard to watch, for all Hatch’s faults he was at least civil and making valid points where two opinions could be reasonably formed, (for the most part). I heard his big discussions on talks about the need for impartiality and what his view of a Judge’s requirements were and how she didn’t fill them and so on was hard to watch.

Why? Because the same Judiciary Committee refused to even let his nomination go to the Senate floor, (a rarity), on a 9-9 vote because of “gross insensitivity” to important racial issues. This man joked, in a Senate Committee hearing, that ‘he didn’t think the Ku Klux Klan was too bad until he foud out some of them smoked marijuana’. The man who called the NACAAP and ACLU ‘un-American and communist-inspired organizations’.

At the time Reagan mysteriously tried to appoint he was best known for the following fiasco:

Sessions had unsuccessfully prosecuted three civil rights workers (including Albert Turner, a former aide to Martin Luther King, Jr.), on a case of election fraud for the 1984 election. Sessions spent hours interrogating African American voters in predominantly black counties, finding 14 allegedly tampered ballots out of approximately 1.7 million ballots cast. The three civil rights workers were acquitted after four hours of jury deliberation.[

Beyond that Senator Sessions is a human being deprived of any sort compassion. An incident I remember very well is when during a hearing on the Uniting Amercan Families, where a Filippino woman, a resident of 23 years and mother of two children, testified about being deported. Her 12 year old son was crying and Sen Sesisons audibly leaned and told an aide, “Enough with the histrionics”. He opposes banning torture, supports unlimited wiretaps without oversight on American citizens, and initially opposed renewing the VRA. He’s gotten either a 0 or close to a 0 on every single environmental record there is. He spoke to a select group of a few hundred pro-Iraq war voters protesting an anti-war protest of more than 100,000 and he basically told them that they represented the real America and the others group didn’t. Did I mention he opposes expansion of funding for global AIDS programs?

For nearly a decade he was the most conservative Senator, impressive considering he was up against the likes of Jim Inhofe, (only even he’s not as publically idiotic an obnoxious as Inhofe, the only reason he’s any than Inhofe is he’s just not that ignorant), and Wayne Allard, (how that man ever got elected twice to a moderate state like Colorado I will never know). Recently of course he’s been eclipsed by the increasing insanity of senators like David Vitter, Jim DeMint.

But still I’m just sobered to see the reporting on him so far. I have yet to see any news media bother to look into any of this, to bother to note that this man is on the fringes of a conservative party, that this man is one of the most noted hyper-partisan members of the senate and has the gall to accuse Judge Sotomayor to being biased with a record like his which is one of the worst in the Senate since Strom Thurmond. I won’t even get into his position on affirmative action because that’s another political discussion in on itself.

I believe I’ve said all that needs to be said on the issue. I just want to inform more people of the entire story behind Jeff Sessions that most people don’t know, especially if they don’t keep close attention to all the bios of politicians. The thread below is an open discussion on Jeff Sessions and Sonia Sotomayor’s confirmation hearings.

P.S. Please vote in my poll. I like to use it as a counter to determine readership. Its encoruaging to have a concrete way to show you are getting a message out, it helps make it worthwhile. Even if you don’t care just vote lease so I can know that you read me, thanks.

Update: If I would be allowed by the rules, I am going to post the entire back and forthbetween Sotomayor and Sessions for those of you who didn’t catch it earlier. Its quite long, but very indicative:

SESSIONS: Welcome. It’s good to have you back, Judge, and your family and friends and supporters. And I hope we’ll have a good day today, look forward to dialogue with you. I got to say that I liked your statement on the fidelity of the law yesterday and some of your comments this morning.

And I also have to say had you been saying that with clarity over the last decade or 15 years, we’d have a lot fewer problems today because you have evidenced, I think it’s quite clear, a philosophy of the law that suggests that the judge’s background and experiences can and should — even should and naturally will impact their decision what I think goes against the American ideal and oath that a judge takes to be fair to every party. And every day when they put on that robe, that is a symbol that they’re to put aside their personal biases and prejudices.

So I’d like to ask you a few things about it. I would just note that it’s not just one sentence, as my chairman suggested, that causes us difficulty. It’s a body of thought over a period of years that causes us difficulties.

And I would suggest that the quotation he gave was not exactly right of the wise Latina comment that you made. You’ve said, I think six different times, quote, “I would hope that a wise Latina woman, with the richness of her experiences, would more often than not reach a better conclusion.” So that’s a matter that I think we’ll talk about as we go forward.

Let me recall that yesterday you said it’s simple fidelity to the law. The task of a judge is not to make law; it’s to apply law. I heartily agree with that. However, you previously have said the court of appeals is where policy is made. And you said on another occasion the law that lawyers practice and judge declare is not a definitive — capital L — Law that many would like to think exists,” close quote.

So I guess I’m asking today what do you really believe on those subjects. That there is no real law and that judges do not make law? Or that there is no real law and the court of appeals is where policy is made? Discuss that with us, please.

SOTOMAYOR: I believe my record of 17 years demonstrates fully that I do believe that law — that judges must apply the law and not make the law. Whether I’ve agreed with a party or not, found them sympathetic or not, in every case I have decided, I have done what the law requires.

With respect to judges making policy, I assume, Senator, that you were referring to a remark that I made in a Duke Law student dialogue. That remark, in context, made very clear that I wasn’t talking about the policy reflected in the law that Congress makes. That’s the job of Congress to decide what the policy should be for society.

In that conversation with the students, I was focusing on what district court judges do and what circuit court judges do. And I know noted that district court judges find the facts, and they apply the facts to the individual case. And when they do that, they’re holding, they’re finding doesn’t bind anybody else.

Appellate judges, however, establish precedent. They decide what the law says in a particular situation. That precedent has policy ramifications because it binds not just the litigants in that case, it binds all litigants in similar cases, in cases that may be influenced by that precedent.

SOTOMAYOR: I think if my speech is heard outside of the minute and a half that YouTube presents and its full context examined, that it is very clear that I was talking about the policy ramifications of precedent and never talking about appellate judges or courts making the policy that Congress makes.

SESSIONS: Judge, I would just say, I don’t think it’s that clear. I looked at that on tape several times, and I think a person could reasonably believe it meant more than that.

But yesterday you spoke about your approach to rendering opinions and said, quote, “I seek to strengthen both the rule of law and faith in the impartiality of the justice system,” and I would agree. But you have previously said this: “I am willing to accept that we who judge must not deny differences resulting from experiences and heritage, but attempt, as the Supreme Court suggests, continuously to judge when those opinions, sympathies and prejudices are appropriate.”

So first, I’d like to know, do you think there’s any circumstance in which a judge should allow their prejudices to impact their decision-making?

SOTOMAYOR: Never their prejudices. I was talking about the very important goal of the justice system is to ensure that the personal biases and prejudices of a judge do not influence the outcome of a case.

What I was talking about was the obligation of judges to examine what they’re feeling as they’re adjudicating a case and to ensure that that’s not influencing the outcome. Life experiences have to influence you. We’re not robots to listen to evidence and don’t have feelings. We have to recognize those feelings and put them aside. That’s what my speech was saying …

SESSIONS: Well, Judge …

SOTOMAYOR: … because that’s our job.

SESSIONS: But the statement was, “I willingly accept that we who judge must not deny the differences resulting from experience and heritage, but continuously to judge when those opinions, sympathies and prejudices are appropriate.” That’s exactly opposite of what you’re saying, is it not?

SOTOMAYOR: I don’t believe so, Senator, because all I was saying is, because we have feelings and different experiences, we can be led to believe that our experiences are appropriate. We have to be open- minded to accept that they may not be, and that we have to judge always that we’re not letting those things determine the outcome. But there are situations in which some experiences are important in the process of judging, because the law asks us to use those experiences.

SESSIONS: Well, I understand that, but let me just follow up that you say in your statement that you want to do what you can to increase the faith and the impartiality of our system, but isn’t it true this statement suggests that you accept that there may be sympathies, prejudices and opinions that legitimately can influence a judge’s decision? And how can that further faith in the impartiality of the system?

SOTOMAYOR: I think the system is strengthened when judges don’t assume they’re impartial, but when judges test themselves to identify when their emotions are driving a result, or their experience are driving a result and the law is not.

SESSIONS: I agree with that.

SESSIONS: I know one judge that says that if he has a feeling about a case, he tells his law clerks to, “Watch me. I do not want my biases, sympathies or prejudices to influence this decision, which I’ve taken an oath to make sure is impartial.” I just am very concerned that what you’re saying today is quite inconsistent with your statement that you willingly accept that your sympathies, opinions and prejudices may influence your decision-making.

SOTOMAYOR: Well, as I have tried to explain, what I try to do is to ensure that they’re not. If I ignore them and believe that I’m acting without them, without looking at them and testing that I’m not, then I could, unconsciously or otherwise, be led to be doing the exact thing I don’t want to do, which is to let something but the law command the result.

SESSIONS: Well, yesterday, you also said that your decisions have always been made to serve the larger interest of impartial justice, a good — good aspiration, I agree. But in the past, you’ve repeatedly said this: “I wonder whether achieving the goal of impartiality is possible at all in even most cases and I wonder whether by ignoring our differences as women, men or people of color we do a disservice to both the law and society.” Aren’t you saying there that you expect your background and — and heritage to influence your decision-making?

SOTOMAYOR: What I was speaking about in that speech was — harkened back to what we were just talking about a few minutes ago, which is life experiences to influence us, in good ways. That’s why we seek the enrichment of our legal system from life experiences.

That can affect what we see or how we feel, but that’s not what drives a result. The impartiality is an understanding that the law is what commands the result.

And so, to the extent that we are asking the questions, as most of my speech was an academic discussion about, what should we be thinking about, what should we be considering in this process, and accepting that life experiences could make a difference. But I wasn’t encouraging the belief or attempting to encourage the belief that I thought that that should drive the result.

SESSIONS: Judge, I — I think it’s consistent in the comments I’ve quoted to you and your previous statements that you do believe that your backgrounds will accept — affect the result in cases, and that’s troubling me. So that is not impartiality. Don’t you think that is not consistent with your statement, that you believe your role as a judge is to serve the larger interest of impartial justice?

SOTOMAYOR: No, sir. As I’ve indicated, my record shows that at no point or time have I ever permitted my personal views or sympathies to influence an outcome of a case. In every case where I have identified a sympathy, I have articulated it and explained to the litigant why the law requires a different result.

SESSIONS: Judge…

SOTOMAYOR: I do not permit my sympathies, personal views, or prejudices to influence the outcome of my cases.

SESSIONS: Well, you — you — you said something similar to that yesterday, that in each case I applied the law to the facts at hand, but you’ve repeatedly made this statement: Quote, I “accept the proposition” — I “accept the proposition that a difference there will be by the presence of women and people of color on the bench, and that my experiences affect the facts I choose to see as a judge.”

First, that’s troubling to me as a lawyer. When I present evidence, I expect the judge to hear and see all the evidence that gets presented. How is it appropriate for a judge ever to say that they will choose to see some facts and not others?

SOTOMAYOR: It’s not a question of choosing to see some facts or another, Senator. I didn’t intend to suggest that. And in the wider context, what I believe I was — the point I was making was that our life experiences do permit us to see some facts and understand them more easily than others.

But in the end, you’re absolutely right. That’s why we have appellate judges that are more than one judge because each of us, from our life experiences, will more easily see different perspectives argued by parties.

But judges do consider all of the arguments of litigants. I have. Most of my opinions, if not all of them, explain to parties by the law requires what it does.

SESSIONS: Do you stand by your statement that my experiences affect the facts I choose to see?

SOTOMAYOR: No, sir. I don’t stand by the understanding of that statement that I will ignore other facts or other experiences because I haven’t had them. I do believe that life experiences are important to the process of judging. They help you to understand and listen but that the law requires a result. And it would command you to the facts that are relevant to the disposition of the case.

SESSIONS: Well, I will just note you made that statement in individual speeches about seven times over a number of years span. And it’s concerning to me. So I would just say to you I believe in Judge Seiderbaum’s (ph) formulation. She said — and you disagreed. And this was really the context of your speech. And you used her — her statement as sort of a beginning of your discussion.

And you said she believes that a judge, no matter what their gender or background, should strive to reach the same conclusion. And she believes that’s possible. You then argued that you don’t think it’s possible in all, maybe even most, cases. You deal with the famous quote of Justice O’Connor in which she says a wise old man should reach the same decision as a wise old woman. And you pushed backed from that. You say you don’t think that’s necessarily accurate. And you doubt the ability to be objective in your analysis.

So how can you reconcile your speeches which repeatedly assert that impartiality is a near aspiration which may not be possible in all or even most cases with your oath that you’ve taken twice which requires impartiality?

SOTOMAYOR: My friend, Judge Seiderbaum (ph) is here this afternoon, and we are good friends. And I believe that we both approach judging in the same way which is looking at the facts of each individual case and applying the law to those facts.

I also, as I explained, was using a rhetorical flourish that fell flat. I knew that Justice O’Connor couldn’t have meant that if judges reached different conclusions — legal conclusions — that one of them wasn’t wise.

That couldn’t have been her meaning, because reasonable judges disagree on legal conclusions in some cases. So I was trying to play on her words. My play was — fell flat.

It was bad, because it left an impression that I believed that life experiences commanded a result in a case, but that’s clearly not what I do as a judge. It’s clearly not what I intended in the context of my broader speech, which was attempting to inspire young Hispanic, Latino students and lawyers to believe that their life experiences added value to the process.

SESSIONS: Well, I can see that, perhaps as a — a layperson’s approach to it. But as a judge who’s taken this oath, I’m very troubled that you had repeatedly, over a decade or more, made statements that consistently — any fair reading of these speeches — consistently argues that this ideal and commitment I believe every judge is committed, must be, to put aside their personal experiences and biases and make sure that that person before them gets a fair day in court.

Judge, on the — so philosophy can impact your judging. I think it’s much more likely to reach full flower if you sit on the Supreme Court, and then you will — than it will on a lower court where you’re subject to review by your colleagues in the higher court.

And so, with regard to how you approach law and your personal experiences, let’s look at the New Haven firefighters case, the Ricci case. In that case, the city of New Haven told firefighters that they would take an exam, set forth the process for it, that would determine who would be eligible for promotion.

The city spent a good deal of time and money on the exam to make it a fair test of a person’s ability to see — to serve as a supervisory fireman, which, in fact, has the awesome responsibility at times to send their firemen into a dangerous building that’s on fire, and they had a panel that did oral exams and not — wasn’t all written, consisting of one Hispanic and one African-American and — and one white.

And according to the Supreme Court, this is what the Supreme Court held: The New Haven officials were careful to ensure broad racial participation in the design of the test and its administration. The process was open and fair. There was no genuine dispute that the examinations were job-related and consistent with business purposes, business necessity.

But after — but after the city saw the results of the exam, it threw out those results, because, quote, “not enough of one group did well enough on the test.”

The Supreme Court then found that the city, and I quote, “rejected the test results solely because the higher scoring candidates were white. After the tests were completed, the raw racial results became the — raw racial results became the predominant rationale for the city’s refusal to certify the results,” close quote.

So you stated that your background affects the facts that you choose to see. Was the fact that the New Haven firefighters had been subject to discrimination one of the facts you chose not to see in this case?

SOTOMAYOR: No, sir. The panel was composed of me and two other judges. In a very similar case of the 7th Circuit in an opinion offered by Judge Easterbrook — I’m sorry. I misspoke. It wasn’t Judge Easterbrook. It was Judge Posner — saw the case in an identical way. And neither judge — I’ve confused some statements that Senator Leahy made with this case. And I apologize.

In a very similar case, the 6th Circuit approached a very similar issue in the same way. So a variety of different judges on the appellate court were looking at the case in light of established Supreme Court and 2nd Circuit precedent and determined that the city facing potential liability under Title VII could choose not to certify the test if it believed an equally good test could be made with a different impact on affected groups.

The Supreme Court, as it is its prerogative in looking at a challenge, established a new consideration or a different standard for the city to apply. And that is was there substantial evidence that they would be held liable under the law. That was a new consideration.

Our panel didn’t look at that issue that way because it wasn’t argued to us in the case before us and because the case before us was based on existing precedent. So it’s a different test.

SESSIONS: Judge, there was a — apparently, unease within your panel. I — I was really disappointed. And I think a lot of people have been that the opinion was so short. It was pro curiam. It did not discuss the serious legal issues that the case raised. And I believe that’s legitimate criticism of what you did.

But it appears, according to Stuart Taylor, a respected legal writer for the National Journal — that Stuart Taylor concluded that — that it appears that Judge Cabranes was concerned about the outcome of the case, was not aware of it because it was a pro curiam unpublished opinion. But it began to raise the question of whether a rehearing should be granted.

You say you’re bound by the superior authority. But the fact is when the re — the question of rehearing that 2nd Circuit authority that you say covered the case, some say it didn’t cover so clearly — but that was up for debate. And the circuit voted, and you voted not to reconsider the prior case. You voted to stay with the decision of the circuit.

And, in fact, your vote was the key vote. Had you voted with Judge Cabranes, himself of — of — of Puerto Rican ancestry — had you voted with him, you — you — you could have changed that case.

So in truth you weren’t bound by that case had you seen it in a different way. You must have agreed with it and agreed with the opinion and stayed with it until it was reversed by the court. Let me just mention this. In 1997…

LEAHY: Is that a question or a…

SESSIONS: Well, that was a response to some of what you said, Mr. Chairman, because you misrepresented factually what the — the posture of the case.

LEAHY: Well, I obviously…

SESSIONS: In 1997…

LEAHY: I obviously will disagree with that. But that — we’ll have a chance to vote on this issue.

SESSIONS: In 1997 when you came before the Senate and I was a new senator, I asked you this. In a suit challenging a government racial preference in quota or set-aside, will you follow the Supreme Court decision in Adarand and subject racial preferences to the strictest judicial scrutiny,” close quote. In other words, I asked you would you follow the Supreme Court’s binding decision in Adarand v. Pena.

In Adarand, the Supreme Court held that all governmental discrimination, including Affirmative Action programs, that discriminated by race of an applicant must face strict scrutiny in the courts. In other words, this is not a light thing to do. When one race is favored over another, you must have a really good reason for it, or it’s not acceptable.

After Adarand, the government agencies must prove there is a compelling state interest in support of any decision to treat people differently by race. This is what you answered: “In my view, the Adarand court correctly determined that the same level of scrutiny — strict scrutiny applies for the purpose of evaluating the constitutionality of all government classifications, whether at the state or federal level, based on race,” close quote. So that was your answer, and it deals with government being the City of New Haven.

You made a commitment to this committee to follow Adarand. In view of this commitment you gave me 12 years ago, why are the words “Adarand,” “Equal protection” and “Strict scrutiny” are completely missing from any of your panel’s discussion of this decision?

SOTOMAYOR: Because those cases were not what was at issue in this decision. And in fact, those cases were not what decided the Supreme Court’s decision. The Supreme Court parties were not arguing the level of scrutiny that would apply with respect to intentional discrimination. The issue is a different one before our court and the Supreme Court, which is what’s a city to do when there is proof that its test disparately impacts a particular group.

And the Supreme Court decided, not on a basis of strict scrutiny, that what it did here was wrong — what the city did here was wrong, but on the basis that the city’s choice was not based on a substantial basis in evidence to believe it would be held liable under the law. Those are two different standards, two different questions that a case would present.

SESSIONS: But Judge, it wasn’t that simple. This case was recognized pretty soon as a big case, at least. I noticed what perhaps kicked off Judge Cabranes’s concern was a lawyer saying it was the most important discrimination case that the circuit had seen in 20 years. They were shocked they got a — basically one-paragraph decision per curiam unsigned back on that case.

Judge Cabranes apparently raised this issue within the circuit, asked for re-hearing. Your vote made the difference in not having a re-hearing in bank. And he said, quote, “Municipal employers could reject the results” — in talking about the results of your test, the impact of your decision — “Municipal employers could reject the results of an employment examination whenever those results failed to yield a desirable outcome, i.e., fail to satisfy a racial quota,” close quote.

SESSIONS: So that was Judge Trabanas’s (sic) analysis of the impact of your decision, and he thought it was very important. He wanted to review this case. He thought it deserved a full and complete analysis and opinion. He wanted the whole circuit to be involved in it. And to the extent that some prior precedent in the circuit was different, the circuit could have reversed that precedent had they chose to do so.

Don’t you think — tell us how it came to be that this important case was dealt with in such a cursory manner.

SOTOMAYOR: The panel decision was based on a 78-page district court opinion. The opinion referenced it. In its per curium, the court incorporated in differently, but it was referenced by the circuit. And it released on that very thoughtful, thorough opinion by the district court.

And that opinion discussed Second Circuit precedent in its fullest — to its fullest extent. Justice Cabranes had one view of the case. The panel had another. The majority of the vote — it wasn’t just my vote — the majority of the court, not just my vote, denied the petition for rehearing.

The court left to the Supreme Court the question of how and employer should address what no one disputed was prima facia evidence that its test disparately impacted on a group. That was undisputed by everyone, but the case law did permit employees who had been disparately impacted to bring a suit.

The question was, for city, was it racially discriminating when it didn’t accept those tests or was it attempting to comply with the law.

SESSIONS: Well, Judge, I think it’s not fair to say that a majority — I guess it’s fair to say a majority voted against rehearing. But it was 6 to 6. Unusual that one of the judges had to challenge a panel decision, and your vote made the majority not to rehear it.

Do you — and Ricci did deal with some important questions. Some of the questions that we have got to talk about as a nation, we’ve got to work our way through. I know there’s concern on both sides of this issue, and we should do it carefully and correctly.

But do you think that Frank Ricci and the other firefighters whose claims you dismissed felt that their arguments and concerns were appropriately understood and acknowledged by such a short opinion from the court?

SOTOMAYOR: We were very sympathetic and expressed your sympathy to the firefighters who challenged the city’s decision, Mr. Ricci and the others. We stood the efforts that they had made in taking the test. We said as much.

They did have before them a 78-page thorough opinion by the district court. They, obviously, disagreed with the law as it stood under Second Circuit precedent. That’s why they were pursuing their claims and did pursue them further.

In the end, the body that had the discretion and power to decide how these tough issues should be decided, let alone the precedent that had been recognized by our circuit court and another — at least, the Sixth Circuit — but along what the court thought would be the right test or standard to apply.

And that’s what the Supreme Court did. It answered that important question because it had the power to do that — not the power but the ability to do that because it was faced with the arguments that suggested that. The panel was dealing with precedent and arguments that rely on our precedent.

SESSIONS: Thank you, Judge. And I appreciate this opportunity. And I — I would just say, though, had the procurement opinion stood without a rehearing requested by one of the judges in the whole circuit and kicked off the discussion, it’s very, very unlikely that we would have heard about this case or the Supreme Court would have taken it up. Thank you, Mr. Chairman.

By what margin will Bob Shamansky win?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

DE-Sen/DE-AL: Mike’s Meager Haul

It doesn’t look like Mike Castle is running for much of anything, does it? In June, he declined a key committee post that opened up in the House, and was last seen wistfully sighing about how nice it would be to retire to Florida’s shuffleboard decks and early-bird specials.

Now comes Castle’s 2Q fundraising report, and impressive it ain’t. He took in $124K, and $110K of that was from PACs (which means he wasn’t exactly hustling hard for that dough). That brings his total for the cycle to just $195K – not terribly terrific. He does have $861K in his warchest, but the last Delaware Republican to face a contested senate election – Bill Roth in 2000 – spent $4.5 million in a badly losing effort (and contribution limits were less than half what they are today).

Castle needs to fish or cut bait – and right now, he ain’t catchin’ much of anything.

MI-07: Walberg to Run Again

Roll Call:

Add former Michigan Rep. Tim Walberg’s name to the list of House Republicans defeated in 2008 who are seeking their former seats in 2010.

Walberg, who lost re-election to now-Rep. Mark Schauer (D-Mich.), announced Tuesday morning that he will run for his old seat next year.

“I cannot sit idly while Congressman Schauer votes to raise taxes, spend trillions we don’t have and bring the failed Granholm strategies he advanced in Michigan to Washington D.C.,” Walberg said in a statement, referring to unpopular Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm (D).

Walberg (a highly-enriched, weapons-grade wingnut) is our third GOP retread defeated in 2008 who’s looking for a rematch this cycle (Steve Chabot in Ohio’s 1st and Steve Pearce in New Mexico’s 2nd being the other two). Somehow I don’t think the NRCC is as thrilled with the prospect of a Walberg resurrection as they are with Pearce and Chabot’s candidacies.

RaceTracker Wiki: MI-07

VA-Gov: Deeds outraised McDonnell in June

Deeds took in $3.4 million to $1.8M for McDonnell. Even if you take out the $1 million combined from the DGA, SEIU and AFSCME you are still left with $600k extra. Granted, McDonnell has $5 million CoH to $2.7 million for Deeds but if Creigh can keep this up then money is not going to be the problem it was for him in 2005. And remember, Kaine was badly outraised by Kilgore four years ago but was still able to win.

http://hotlineoncall.nationalj…

I have a feeling this race will define the fallout from this November. The results here and in New Jersey won’t mean anything with regard to 2010 really but Dems have to win at least one to stop Republicans crowing and being able to use that to build some momentum.

PA-Gov, PA-06: Gerlach to Run for Governor

The Allentown Morning Call has the scoop:

U.S. Rep. Jim Gerlach has alerted top officials at the National Republican Congressional Committee that he’ll run for governor next year in lieu of a reelection effort in Congress.

The decision is expected in an announcement Tuesday. It sets up a GOP primary battle for governor of Pennsylvania between the four-term suburban Philadelphia lawmaker and Pennsylvania Attorney General Tom Corbett and leaves the Republican Party facing a battle to retain a congressional seat that Gerlach has held since the district was drawn at the turn of the decade.

A “GOP source” is confirming the news with Roll Call. This will be a pretty hot open-seat battle; while the GOP does have some bench strength in this district, the ground has rapidly shifted from underneath them on the Presidential level. In 2000, Al Gore barely nosed Bush with 49% of the vote in this CD, while John Kerry bumped that margin up to 52-48 four years later. According to an SSP analysis of the results from last November, Barack Obama blew the door wide open, scoring a ridiculous 58-41 win over McCain while Gerlach won another term with a much narrower margin than anyone expected against an opponent with severe name recognition issues. It’s no wonder that Gerlach is pulling on the ripcord after so many election nights filled with heartburn.

The Democrats’ early recruit, former Philadelphia Inquirer editorial board member Doug Pike, has an early fundraising advantage over the field, having raked in a reported $500K in the second quarter and possessing a substantial amount of personal wealth to supplement that haul in the future… but whether or not that will scare off other potential Democratic candidates in this CD remains to be seen. Meanwhile, the GOP’s leading recruit, state Rep. Curt Schroder, only raised $20K during this exploratory phase of his campaign. Presumably he’ll kick things into gear now that he’s no longer fundraising for an officially-hypothetical race, but that’s still not an impressive way to christen one’s campaign.

UPDATE (David): This also sets up a Republican primary between Gerlach and AG Tom Corbett. Can Gerlach actually win against the more conservative Corbett, given how many moderates have left the PA GOP?

RaceTracker Wiki: PA-06 | PA-Gov

Congressional races 2010: Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho

Today: Georgia, Hawaii and Idaho

Previous diaries



Summary: GA has 13 representatives, 7 R and 6 D; only GA-12, now D, seems vulnerable

        HI has 2 representatives, both D, both safe

        ID has 2 representatives, 1 D and 1 R, the D (Minnick) is vulnerable



Sources:

House vote in 2008 from WaPo

VoteView (ranked from 1 for most liberal to 447 for most conservative; more than 435 because some districts had more than one rep in the 110th congress)

Race Tracker

Obama vote by CD from Swing State

National Atlas for maps

and my previous diaries.

District: GA-01

Location Southeastern GA, bordering FL and the Atlantic, including Valdosta and Hinesville map

Cook PVI R + 16

Representative Jack Kingston (R)

VoteView rank 433

First elected  1992

2008 margin 67-33 over Bill Gillespie

2006 margin 69-31

2004 margin Unopposed

Obama margin 36-63

Bush margin 2004 66-34

Current opponents None confirmed

Demographics 63rd most Blacks (24.9%) and 54th most veterans (15.3%)

Assessment Long shot

District: GA-02

Location Southwestern GA, bordering FL and AL and including Columbus map

Cook PVI D + 1

Representative Sanford Bishop (D)

VoteView rank 180

First elected  1992

2008 margin 69-31 over Lee Farrell

2006 margin 68-32

2004 margin 67-33

Obama margin 54-45

Bush margin 2004 50-50

Current opponents None declared

Demographics 23rd poorest district (median income = $30K), 37th most Blacks (47.5%)

Assessment Safe

District: GA-03

Location Western GA, about in the middle of the state map

Cook PVI R + 19

Representative Lynn Westmoreland (R)

VoteView rank  437

First elected  2004

2008 margin 66-34 over Stephen Camp

2006 margin 68-32

2004 margin 76-24

Obama margin 35-65

Bush margin 2004 70-29

Current opponents None declared

Demographics 18th most Republican per Cook PVI

Assessment Long shot

District: GA-04

Location Eastern and northern suburbs of Atlanta map

Cook PVI D + 24

Representative Hank Johnson (D) Not confirmed

VoteView rank 45

First elected  2006

2008 margin Unopposed

2006 margin 75-25

2004 margin NA

Obama margin 79-20

Bush margin 2004 28-71

Current opponents None declared

Demographics 31st most Blacks (52.6%)

Assessment Safe

District: GA-05

Location Atlanta and some suburbs map

Cook PVI D + 26

Representative John Lewis (D)

VoteView rank  14

First elected  1986

2008 margin unopposed

2006 margin unopposed

2004 margin unopposed

Obama margin 80-20

Bush margin 2004 26-74

Current opponents None declared

Demographics 18th most Blacks (55.7%)

Assessment Safe

District: GA-06

Location Northern central GA map

Cook PVI R + 19

Representative Tom Price (R)

VoteView rank  417.5

First elected  2004

2008 margin 69-31 over Bill Jones

2006 margin 72-28

2004 margin unopposed

Obama margin 34-65

Bush margin 2004 70-29

Current opponents None declared

Demographics 9th wealthiest (median income = $72K), and highest in the South

Assessment Long shot

District: GA-07

Location Northern central GA map

Cook PVI R + 16

Representative John Linder (R) Not confirmed

VoteView rank 424.5

First elected  1992

2008 margin 62-38 over Doug Heckman

2006 margin 71-29

2004 margin Unopposed

Obama margin 39-60

Bush margin 2004 70-30

Notes on opponents no money

Current opponents None declared

Demographics 37th wealthiest (med income = $60K)

Assessment  Long shot

District: GA-08

Location Central GA including Macon and Moultrie map

Cook PVI R + 10

Representative Jim Marshall (D) May run for statewide office; but filed to run for this seat

VoteView rank 237

First elected  2002

2008 margin 57-43 over Rick Goddard

2006 margin 51-49

2004 margin 63-37

Obama margin 43-56

Bush margin 2004 61-39

Current opponents None confirmed.

Demographics 78th most rural (43.4%), 41st most Blacks (32.4%).

Assessment Marshall is a DINO, and I don’t use that term lightly.  Is it worth it? I don’t really know. Would a more liberal Democrat have a chance in this district?  It partly depends on turnout; but, even with nearly  in 3 people being Black, Obama lost here.    Marshall is vulnerable, in any  case

District: GA-09

Location Northwestern GA, bordering TN, AL, and NC map

Cook PVI R + 28

Representative Nathan Deal (R) Retiring

VoteView rank NA

First elected  NA

2008 margin NA

2006 margin NA

2004 margin NA

Obama margin 23-75

Bush margin 2004 77-23

Current opponents Several Republicans (see wiki)

Demographics 38th most rural (52.7%), 4th most Republican per Cook PVI

Assessment Whichever Republican wins will surely win in November

District: GA-10

Location The northern part of eastern GA, mostly bordering SC (but also NC) and including Macon and Augusta map

Cook PVI R + 15

Representative Paul Broun (R) Not confirmed

VoteView rank 447

First elected  2007

2008 margin 61-39 over Bobby Saxon

2006 margin NA

2004 margin NA

Obama margin 37-62

Bush margin 2004 65-35

Current opponents None declared

Demographics 50th most rural (49.6%)

Assessment Long shot

District: GA-11

Location Northern part of western GA, bordering AL, including Rome and Marietta map

Cook PVI R + 20

Representative Phil Gingrey (R)

VoteView rank 421

First elected  2002

2008 margin 68-32 over Bud Gammon

2006 margin 71-29

2004 margin 57-43 (there was a redistricting)

Obama margin 33-66

Bush margin 2004 65-35

Current opponents None declared

Demographics 18th most Republican (per Cook PVI)

Assessment Long shot

District: GA-12

Location Eastern GA, bordering SC, including Savannah and Augusta map

Cook PVI D + 1

Representative John Barrow (D) Not confirmed

VoteView rank 238

First elected  2004

2008 margin 66-34 over John Stone

2006 margin less than 1,000 votes, of 142,000

2004 margin 52-48

Obama margin 55-40

Bush margin 2004 50-49

Current opponents Wayne Mosley and Carl Smith, maybe others

Demographics 30th most Blacks (44.5%) and 33rd most people in poverty (21.9%)

Assessment Vulnerable

District: GA-13

Location An oddly shaped district, mostly west of Atlanta map

Cook PVI D + 15

Representative David Scott (D) Not confirmed

VoteView rank 183

First elected  2002

2008 margin 69-31 over Deborah Honeycutt

2006 margin 69-31

2004 margin unopposed

Obama margin 72-28

Bush margin 2004 40-60

Current opponents Honeycutt again

Demographics 30th most Blacks (41%)

Assessment Probably safe

District: HI-01

Location Honolulu and immediate environs map

Cook PVI D + 11

Representative Neil Abercrombie (D) Retiring

VoteView rank NA

First elected  1990

2008 margin NA

2006 margin NA

2004 margin NA

Obama margin 70-28

Bush margin 2004 47-53

Current opponents For the Democrats, Ed Case is definitely running, others are considering (see the wiki). For the Repubs, Charles Djou is confirmed.  

Demographics The most nonWhite, nonLatinos, nonBlacks of any district, HI-01 is 53.6% Asian

Assessment It’s open, so not maybe not completely safe, but looks good.

District: HI-02

Location All of HI except Honolulu map

Cook PVI D + 14

Representative Mazie Hirono (D)

VoteView rank 45

First elected  2006

2008 margin 76-20 over Roger Evans

2006 margin 61-39

2004 margin NA

Obama margin 73-25

Bush margin 2004 44-56

Current opponents Roger Evans

Demographics the second most nonWhite, nonLatino, nonBlacks, HI-02 is 28% Asian

Assessment Safe

District: ID-01

Location Western ID, bordering OR, WA and MT including Boise map

Cook PVI R + 18

Representative Walt Minnick (D) Not confirmed

VoteView rank NA

First elected  2008

2008 margin 51-49 over Bill Sali

2006 margin NA

2004 margin NA

Obama margin 36-62

Bush margin 2004 30-69

Current opponents Bill Sali, who lost in 2008, is running; so are Vaughn Ward, Ken Roberts, and Allen Salzberg.  Others may as well.

Demographics Tied for fewest Blacks (0.3%), 14th most Republican

Assessment Our best hope is if Sali wins the primary; this is strongly Republican territory, but Sali is too way out there, even for Idaho.  Probably our most vulnerable seat.

District: ID-02

Location Eastern ID, bordering MT and WY map

Cook PVI  R + 17

Representative Mike Simpson Not confirmed

VoteView rank 277

First elected  1998

2008 margin 71-20 over Debbie Holmes

2006 margin 62-34

2004 margin 71-29

Obama margin 36-61

Bush margin 2004 69-30

Notes on opponents In 2006, Jim Hansen raised $160K, to Sampson’s $570K

Current opponents None declared

Demographics 11th fewest Blacks (0.5%), 14th most Republican

Assessment Long shot

Most Gerrymandered District

Get a load of this beaut:

This is one of the iterations that Rep. Cleo Fields‘ district went through during the 1990s. LA-04 was a masterwork of racial gerrymandering, starting off life with a 63% black voting-age population. It was repeatedly struck down by the courts (full story here), which ultimately ordered the creation of a very different-looking 27% black district. After it was renumbered as the 5th CD, Republican John Cooksey won the seat in 1996.

I’m not opining on the merits of gerrymandering here (though I do think some folks make too much of a fetish out of “compactness”). Rather, I’d love to see other examples of excellence in district-drawing. So please post links to your favorite examples of creative (or crazy) gerrymandering. Districts can be federal, state, local, what have you. The only rule is that someone, somewhere has to have implemented or tried to implement `em (so, nothing you’ve created yourself on Dave’s app).

Note: If you post a pic in the comments, please make sure it’s a maximum of 590 pixels wide. Otherwise, the site’s layout will get messed up on many browsers.

Have fun!

(Thanks to Rupper for the LA-04 district map.)

Help send me to Netroots Nation!

I want to go to Pittsburgh. Not for the G20 summit, not to see the best team in football’s opener, not simply to visit a emerging hub of the green economy.

I want to go to Pittsburgh for the fourth annual Netroots Nation convention. But I need your help. I try not to ask for too much from this community but I need to ask for some help again.

From August 13-16 Pittsburgh will be hosting this years Netroots Nation, I want to be there to appear on a panel, attend other awesome panels, meet you all and do the whole Netroots Nation experience.

I need your help to get there. Democracy for America is running a scholarship competition to help make the costs of attending more affordable. They will be selecting 10 winners from the final round  judged by a variety of factors, but one of them is public support. You can help me win a scholarship by voting for me. It will take less than a minute and I’d really appreciate your help.  Just click here. That will take you to a page where you can either log into your existing DFA account (if you have one) or create a new one, then it takes you to a page where you can write a quick comment of support and click on “voice support” to officially support me. If you want to read my application click here.

It costs money for DFA to provide these scholarships, if you can send them some money to help out with the cost.  It helps send 30 people to Netroots Nation who might not have been able otherwise. It was built out of kid oakland’s original chicago voices effort. So any donations you could send them give a great bang for the buck and help send some great people to Netroots Nation.

Thanks so much for all that you do and for any votes that you could give me.

Sí se puede!