Redistricting App: New Features, New Data

Partisan Data a la Jeffmd is now available for TX and CA. Similar to NY, you have to click the “Use Test Data” checkbox near the top right before you select the state. These have newer population data (2008 I think) and the presidential data.

Secondly, I added 2 features: “Demographics by color” and “Partisan by color.” These are checkboxes in the Show section. Each colors all districts in the state according to demographics or partisan data.

More below the fold.

About the features….

When you click “Demographics by color, each district is colored by creating an RGB (Red, Green Blue) color like this: the percentage of the population that is White gives the Red value, the percentage Hispanic gives a Green value and the percentage of Black population gives a Blue value. The combination is the result. So districts that are redder have larger white populations, greener larger Hispanic populations and bluer larger Black population. I did not factor in Asian, Native American or Other population into the color. (I just tried to keep it simple for now.) You’ll notice sometimes districts colored black. That’s usually a large majority Native American district (the color value is 0, which is black). Some districts are colored white, which is the case when there is no population.

For “Partisan by color” It’s simply blue for the Democratic pct, Red for the Republican pct, and Green for Other.

Note: the Show Selected Old and New is shortened to Show Old/New CD. The coloring for this is now messed up, which has to do with other fixes I made, which are.

Fixes: (1) you should no longer see those weird dead zone triangles. I fixed the polygons. Except this messes up the Show Old/New CD and also the maps created by Save Maps.

(2) panning when you are way zoomed in is now slower and easier.

Note: if you already tried the California partisan data, you’ll need to manually delete the file vt06_d00_data_spec.csv in your Silverlight...mangled directory names…DaveRedistrictingCalifornia directory to force a reload of the corrected file from the server. (The first file had Hispanic and Other mixed up; the second still had some negative numbers; third time’s the charm).

Enjoy!

Redistricting App Change

Quick update on the app. Because so many of you have been using the app (and it was discussed on the DailyKos front page last weekend) and because the test data for NY is so large, we’ve blown thru my bandwidth quota for the month. I’ve upped it a couple of times, and we’re over that, too. So far it seems the site still works, thanks to the grace of my host.

But, I’ve made a change so that once you load the date for a state, the app saves it on your machine in the same place as the drf.xml files. If you then refresh the browser and reload the state, it grabs the data from your machine, saving a lot of bandwidth and…bonus…making it a lot faster to load.

I’ve tested this with NY, NV and a couple of other states (and with combinations of voting districts and block groups) and it seems to work. Please let me know if you have problems.

(Also, I know about the Indiana voting district problem and will get to that soon.)

Thanks.

New Reapportionment Studies Are Good News for MO & WA

The Census Bureau has released its annual population estimates, so that means the usual players are in the field with their reapportionment projections. First up is Election Data Services. (You can check out their prior studies as well: 2007 | 2008.)

EDS now offers six different projection models. The column headers indicate the range of time used to calculate each projection.






















































































































































































State 2000-2009 2004-2009 2005-2009 2006-2009 2007-2009 2008-2009
Arizona 2 2 2 1 1 1
California 0 -1 -1 0 0 0
Florida 1 1 1 1 1 1
Georgia 1 1 1 1 1 1
Illinois -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Iowa -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Louisiana -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Massachusetts -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Michigan -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Minnesota -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Nevada 1 1 1 1 1 1
New Jersey -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
New York -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
Ohio -2 -2 -2 -2 -2 -2
Pennsylvania -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1
South Carolina 1 1 1 1 1 1
Texas 3 4 4 4 4 4
Utah 1 1 1 1 1 1
Washington 1 1 1 1 1 1

The biggest losers in this new batch of projections are, not too surprisingly, the sun-belt states of Arizona and Florida. Last year, Arizona was expected to gain two seats under every single projection model. Now, in a stark demonstration of how southern migration has slowed in the midst of the Great Recession, the three nearest-term projections all show it picking up just one seat. Meanwhile, Florida, which still looked to gain two seats according to longer-term projections in 2008, now grabs just one new seat under all models.

Other losers include Oregon, which was slated to grab a new district under four of five models last year – it’s off the list entirely this time. North Carolina was in a much more marginal situation in 2008 (gaining a seat under two of five models), and it too drops from the list. Texas shows a teeny bit of wobble, as the longest-term projection now shows it picking up three rather than four seats, but it seems like the odds still favor four. California, on the other hand, stabilizes some more, with four of six models (including all the nearer-term ones) indicating it won’t lose any seats (last time, only two of five did).

The biggest gainers? That would be Missouri, which isn’t on this list at all – and for the Show Me State, that’s a good thing. In 2008, all five models projected a one-seat loss, and in fact, in 2007, all three models did as well. Now EDS thinks Missouri won’t lose any seats. Meanwhile, Washington state is brand-new to the list, gaining a tenth district acoss the board.

Polidata also has an analysis out. They only do one projection, based on the most recent year’s numbers, which matches EDS’s 2008-2009 projection in all respects. They also offer a list of which states barely hang on to their final seats and which states are oh-so-close to nabbing one more:























































































Rank State Makes/
Misses By
431 South Carolina 20,000
432 Washington 30,000
433 California 120,000
434 Texas 40,000
435 Missouri 10,000
436 Minnesota 10,000
437 Oregon 20,000
438 Arizona 50,000
439 Florida 150,000
440 North Carolina 75,000
441 Illinois 140,000
442 Ohio 130,000
443 New Jersey 110,000
444 Massachusetts 90,000
445 Louisiana 70,000

EDS has a similar chart with “last six/next six” on the final page of their PDF, with different iterations for each of their models. The bottom line is that right now, Missouri looks very lucky and Minnesota looks very unlucky. But given the small numbers involved and the fact that we’re dealing with estimates rather than actuals counts, I would not be surprised at all if things changed by the time we get final numbers in from the 2010 Census.

P.S. Check out Dave’s diary for some more discussion of these new studies.

Some Apportionment Surprises in New Population Estimates

Election Data Services posted their reapportionment projections yesterday…and there are some big surprises.

Polidata has a good summary

States gaining based upon July 1, 2009 estimates projected to April 1, 2010: AZ +1; FL +1; GA +1; NV +1; SC +1; TX +4; UT +1; WA +1.

States losing based upon July 1, 2009 estimates projected to April 1, 2010: IL (1); IA (1); LA (1); MA (1); MI (1); MN (1); NJ (1); NY (1); OH (2); PA (1).

Thus, changes in seats compared to the previous projections based upon 2008 estimates would be: AZ gains only 1 seat while MO stays even and OR stays even while WA gains 1 seat.

Check it out: Washington would gain a seat; Arizona only gains 1; Oregon doesn’t gain any.

This table is from the EDS PDF. Reapportionment Estimates 2009

From the table you can see that Washington jumps to 432nd or 433rd in all the estimates. Also, Missouri, which had been projected to lose a seat would not lose any. Texas is still projected to gain 4 seats, but that 4th seat is much more tenuous.

2010 is going to be very interesting….

New York State Of Mind [Updated]

New York State now has partisan data in Daves Redistricting! Thanks to jeffmd for the ton of work he did to make this happen. Please read below the fold before trying this!

Jeffmd created all new shapefiles for New York voting districts. The population numbers are 2010 estimates (gleaned by Jeff from available data), so there’s no need to check “Use new population estimates.” And the partisan data (2008 presidential election) was put together by Jeff to match those districts.

To access this new data, you need to check the “Use Test Data” checkbox in the upper right corner of the app before selecting New York State. (Because the data format is different than I have been using, I’ve separated it into a separate directory on the server.)

Warning: the shapefiles file is very large (17MB). (Texas has the next largest at 7MB.) So it will take minutes to load — go get coffee.

As most of you know, NY will almost definitely lose 1 CD after 2010. I started trying to build a new plan (as I tested out the new data and software changes). Quite a challenge. You already have various minority majority districts in the NYC area (Black majority as well as Hispanic majority). Keeping those balanced correctly while shifting to accomodate 1 fewer district will be a challenge. (And interesting to see neighborhoods in Brooklyn where McCain kicked butt — those of you from the city understand this much better than an outsider like me.) Now, the Hispanic demographic is not broken down further, which could hinder your job. The Census Bureau does have this data and I may be able to make that change in the future, but for now, this is what we have.

Enjoy redistricting NY. Don’t stay up too late and jeopordize your job or marriage!

Update: I uploaded a new version of the app and I think you are going to like this!

(1) Fixed percentages so that they are calculated by rounding. This was simply my coding error.

(2) Made the sizes of the CD labels smaller for the smaller districts. Especially good for NYC.

(3) Made it so you can drag the new CD labels where you want them! Woohoo!

First (little bit) of Partisan Data in Daves Redistricting

Last night I uploaded upgraded software that can handle partisan data. The state of Maryland is the first state (and only so far) to include that data. There are some caveats (below the fold). Also, keep checking here for ways you can help get more partisan data.

[Update: there was little glitch so partisan didn’t show up, but it should work now! Thanks!]

Daves Redistricting App

One other thing that’s new: all states where the Census Bureau has voting district shapes from 2000, except New York, now have voting districts (in addition to block groups for many) enabled in the application. (New York will be added soon with new voting districts [thanks Jeff!])

The big caveat:

The voting districts shapes and population data come from the 2000 census. Many states changed their voting districts between 2000 and 2008, so the 2008 presidential data does not match completely. For Maryland, for example, over 200 new voting districts were created during that time, so only 1600 of 1800 match the 2000 districts. The application lets you know when this happens and then simply ignores the new districts. This could be improved if someone is able to merge the new districts data back into the old districts.

I will be asking for help to pull together partisan data for the other states. Mostly this will involve putting the data into a particular form, where the districts are identified in a way that matching the district shapes. Keep checking here (next weekend) for information on that.

A few states, important ones for redistricting, did not give the Census Bureau voting district shapes. Those states are AZ, CA, FL, OH, OR and WI. The app still supports only block groups for those. How to get partisan data for those is a good question. it could be that someone can map voting district data into block groups, or produce voting district shapes. Ideas are welcome.

Enjoy!

California (and more) [updated again]

[Update 10/13 3:41 PDT: the Hispanic data for California, Kentucky and Wisconsin was incorrect. I’ve now uploaded the correct data. Thanks to CalifornianInTexas and nico for noticing.]

Now in Daves Redistricting!

My time coming, any day, don’t worry about me, no



California, preaching on the burning shore

California, I’ll be knocking on the golden door

Like an angel, standing in a shaft of light

Rising up to paradise, I know, I’m gonna shine

I added the data for California to the server last night. I had to make a little modification to the code to handle the new format for block group data. Both these states use block groups because no shapefiles for voting districts were provided to the Census Bureau.

Warning: for California, the Assign Old CDs operation took 10 minutes on my desktop machine (3 year old dual core AMD chip, 2.2GHz chip speed, 2GB RAM, Windows XP — CPU bound operation). But it works!

I haven’t totally verified that everything is correct, but the population numbers look right and the assigned old CDs look reasonably close.

[Updated] All states with more than 1 CD are now supported. (OK and RI fixed!)

Enjoy!

A Tutorial: Redistricting Wisconsin

(From the diaries – promoted by James L.)

David asked me to do a quick example of how I do my redistricting, so I decided to use a relatively ‘easy’ state, Wisconsin, since it has townships. In the same way I wouldn’t drive a car or ride a bike without brakes (yes, fixie riders, the laws of physics hate you too), I don’t want to redistrict without having both sets of information.

Before you start, take a look at the state, and try to think how much detail you’re going to want to go into. I usually do townships/municipalities when available, but sometimes precincts. For Wisconsin, I’m going shooting for 7-1, by making the 1st and 6th more Democratic. Wisconsin doesn’t have precinct-level census data, so we’ll have to stick with townships. I really do want to split the city of Milwaukee though, so we’re going to do some estimating in just a little bit.

So now, here’s a quick overview of the process ahead:

1. Collect political and population data

2. Aggregate data together into one spreadsheet

3. Prepare a GIS shapefile (we’ll get into that) for the precinct and precinct-equivalents we’re going to use.

4. Import data from the spreadsheet into shapefile

5. Redistrict!

Follow me over the flip…

You’ll also need a few things:

a) GIS software (I use MapWindow GIS)

b) Microsoft Excel

c) An image editor program, like MS Paint, Photoshop or GIMP

d) A database file (.dbf) editor (Excel 2003 works for this, Excel 07 does not)

Let’s get started with the data.

Political data for Wisconsin is rather easy to do, everything comes in a nice spreadsheet. (Get it here.).

With that in hand, let’s get the population data. This will take a bit of work. Luckily, we have American FactFinder. Scroll down to “Census 2000 Redistricting Data” and select custom table. Let’s get the data for municipalities, so click “geo within geo”, select county subdivision within a state. Add all the county subdivisions of Wisconsin, and then hit next. Choose race, and then total population. Nothing in Wisconsin is VRA protected, so we don’t have to worry about racial breakdown. Now you’ll get a table, which conveniently, you can download by going to print/download. Now you have two nice spreadsheets.

Now that we have two spreadsheets, we have to combine them. This process is pretty arduous, but if you sort everything alphabetically, just copy and paste the two together and run a spot check. Make sure you watch out for any jurisdictions starting with “St.” or “Mc” – the Census Bureau aggregates them as ‘Saint’ and ‘Mac’, something Excel won’t do for you. With the political data, we can get to map making!

So first, we need a map template. Luckily for us, the Census Bureau keeps those on hand in its TIGER/LINE database. Since we’re only using municipalities, we can just download one file, 2000 County Subdivision. Of course, a shapefile is actually several different files, we’ll concern ourselves with two: the .shp, the shapefile itself; and the .dbf, the attribute file that we’ll be editing.

In my maps, I like to have both some political data and population data. Since we’re not worried about racial composition, I only add two sets of data to the attribute file: the population, and the Obama-McCain margin. Population is straightforward, obviously. I calculate the Obama-McCain margin, round up to the nearest percent, and then add 100 (MapWindow doesn’t like negative numbers too much), so theoretically, margins will range between 0 and 200.

Now pop open your MapWindow GIS, and click “Attribute Table Editor”. Under Edit, select “Add Field”. Call the new attribute whatever you want (I’d suggest something intuitive, like “Population” or “08 Margin”, but that’s just me). They’re both integers, and width of 10 is fine. Make sure you do this step before opening your .dbf.

Close out of MapWindow and open your .dbf so we can add our new data. Now we’re tempted to sort by County FIPS and township name (NAMELSAD00), but don’t just yet! Shapefiles require that the attribute file keep the EXACT order of attributes in their original order, so make sure you create a new column of numbers so you can get them back into their original places. Add the population and political info (again minding your Macs and your Saints). There are also ghost shapes called “County subdivision not defined”, which unsurprisingly occurs in counties like Kenosha, Racine, Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Sheboygan, etc… Just mind those as well so all our created data gets assigned to the right shapes. [Alternatively, you can also use the VLOOKUP function to match if so you’re so inclined and don’t want to worry about order.]

Finally, we can get to map making. I like to map a few maps before any gerrymandering actually happens: one with political data, and one blank “precinct” map that you can color in your image editor to keep track of what you’ve done so far. In the legend sidebar, right-click on the name of your shapefile, and select “Properties”. Here you can edit a whole bunch of stuff on how you want your shapefile to look, from fill color to line width to transparency. Here, we want to create a coloring scheme. Click on coloring scheme, and you’ll get a pop-up menu. For field, select your margin field. Then, hit the plus sign to add colors. You’ll have to choose your colors. Under the values field, you can pick the values for which MapWindow will apply that color. You can do ranges, like “0 – 100” (this is why we wanted to avoid negative numbers). I use a 7-color scale, which is 13 in total (6 Dem, 6 Rep, and 1 for an exact tie).

With that in hand, you can take screenshots of your maps using Edit->Copy->Map. For finer resolutions, I usually zoom in a bit, take multiple screenshots, and piece them together in an image editor. Now you can get to gerrymandering. To keep running totals of population and political data, in my Excel sheet, I create a column for “District”, and have a series of “SUMIF” statements. This way, as I assign precincts to a district, we get a running total. In states that have VRA protected districts, we can also track the racial composition of a district as we go along. Use your blank precinct map to keep track on a visual basis of what you’ve assigned. MapWindow is helpful here, as its “Identify” function can tell you the name of precincts you’re looking at. If you’re feeling efficient, you can select multiple precincts (holding CTRL), and viewing them all using the ‘Attribute Table Editor’. You can copy all the info out of the Attribute Table into Excel.

Now, all that work comes for the fun part: gerrymander away!

Once you’re done, you can make maps of your finished plan. You can use the precinct map you’ve been using to keep a running track, or we can go back into MapWindow. You can add a new attribute for “District” into the .dbf, as we did before. (Add field in MapWindow first, then use your .dbf editor. Again, make sure the shapes are in the exact order as you found them in.) You can then assign a new coloring scheme based on district number. There are plenty of things you can do at this point, like labeling county names using the County Shapefile, or labeling municipality names (I don’t recommend this, as this will clutter your screen beyond recognition). From here, the choices are endless.

Now, I did actually do a map of Wisconsin. I went a few steps further and divided the city of Milwaukee into precincts. Unfortunately, Census didn’t keep track of those, so I pieced together the city block by block, all 7,394 of them. I won’t go into detail on that, but my plan does split the city between two districts, much like the pre-2000 map.

I’ll cut the usual fluff I put here, since I made you read this far, haven’t I?

Here’s the new map:

And here’s an inset of Milwaukee County, with municipalities labeled.

District by district, we have:

District Population Obama McCain Obama% McCain%
1 670,184 216,461 138,012 60.30% 38.45%
Kenosha 149,577 45,836 31,609 58.38% 40.26%
Milwaukee 305,170 109,975 56,748 65.12% 33.60%
Ozaukee 0,103 0,053 0,026 67.09% 32.91%
Racine 167,842 48,846 37,464 55.97% 42.93%
Walworth 47,492 11,751 12,165 48.48% 50.19%

As I said at the outset, I wanted to draw Paul Ryan out. Plus, keeping Kenosha and Racine attached to Janesville required going through Republican Walworth County, something that made gerrymandering quite difficult. Thus, the new 1st sheds Rock County and instead climbs further through Milwaukee, grabbing St. Francis, South Milwaukee, and Cudahy, through some lakefront precincts to downtown, up the East Side, through to the Democratic-leaning North Shore towns. Kenosha County remains in its entirety, while the nastier parts of northwest Racine County are stripped out and packed into the Republican 5th. Obama’s performance in this 45% Milwaukee, 25% Racine, and 22% Kenosha district is up to 60%, up 9%.

District Population Obama McCain Obama% McCain%
2 670,284 274,235 133,998 66.36% 32.43%
Columbia 5,154 1,697 1,174 58.34% 40.36%
Dane 426,526 205,984 73,065 72.93% 25.87%
Dodge 54,056 13,367 13,699 48.77% 49.98%
Jefferson 74,021 21,448 21,096 49.80% 48.98%
Rock 64,260 19,313 11,644 61.52% 37.09%
Walworth 46,267 12,426 13,320 47.72% 51.15%

Gains have to come from somewhere, and Tammy Baldwin’s 2nd and Gwen Moore’s 4th are where the Democrats that are weakened somewhat to boost the 1st, 3rd, 6th, and 7th. However, this district is still centered on Dane County and Madison. Instead of looking south and north, this district looks east, taking in the entirety of Jefferson County and parts of Rock, Walworth, and Dodge County. Home to UW-M, UW-Whitewater, and Beloit College, this district featured Obama at 66.4%, a drop of 3%. 63.6% of this district’s residents still live in Dane County, so I’m not too concerned.

District Population Obama McCain Obama% McCain%
3 670,351 214,972 151,028 57.89% 40.67%
Barron 44,963 12,078 10,457 52.89% 45.79%
Buffalo 13,804 3,949 2,923 56.45% 41.79%
Burnett 15,674 4,337 4,200 50.03% 48.45%
Crawford 17,243 4,987 2,830 62.70% 35.58%
Dunn 39,858 13,002 9,566 56.72% 41.73%
Grant 49,597 14,875 9,068 61.29% 37.36%
Green 33,647 11,502 6,730 62.23% 36.41%
Iowa 22,780 7,987 3,829 66.85% 32.05%
La Crosse 107,120 38,524 23,701 61.13% 37.61%
Lafayette 16,137 4,732 2,984 60.49% 38.14%
Pepin 7,213 2,102 1,616 55.74% 42.85%
Pierce 36,804 11,803 9,812 53.59% 44.55%
Polk 41,319 10,876 11,282 48.18% 49.98%
Richland 17,924 5,041 3,298 59.77% 39.10%
Rock 88,047 31,216 15,720 65.58% 33.02%
St. Croix 63,155 21,177 22,837 47.38% 51.09%
Trempealeau 27,010 8,321 4,808 62.59% 36.16%
Vernon 28,056 8,463 5,367 60.22% 38.19%

Ron Kind gets a small boost too, from the inclusion of half of Rock County in his district. Ron Kind sheds Eau Claire to boost the 7th, but picks up Green and Rock from Baldwin and Burnett and Polk from Obey. Kind’s base of La Crosse stays, as does plenty of the dairy country that Kind’s been representing for years. You’re indeed right that Paul Ryan’s house in Janesville gets put in here, but Kind is favored in a Kind-Ryan matchup in this 57.9% Obama district, up half a percent. Paul Ryan’s represented 9% of this district before. Ron Kind’s representing 67% of this district – I’ll let you decide.

District Population Obama McCain Obama% McCain%
4 670,531 218,908 106,663 66.63% 32.47%
Milwaukee 634,994 209,844 92,697 68.75% 30.37%
Waukesha 35,537 9,064 13,966 38.91% 59.96%

As I’ve said, Gwen Moore bears the other brunt of redistricting. She keeps the western half on Milwaukee County – including the heart of Milwaukee and some suburbs, plus Menomonee Falls in Waukesha. Not to fear though, Obama still got 66.63% here, a drop of about 9%. Still, in this 95% Milwaukee, 5% Waukesha district, a Democrat has the clear advantage.

District Population Obama McCain Obama% McCain%
5 670,746 152,723 260,690 36.57% 62.43%
Columbia 1,983 0,328 0,747 30.04% 68.41%
Dodge 31,841 5,816 9,316 37.93% 60.76%
Fond du Lac 40,923 9,025 13,722 39.17% 59.55%
Green Lake 19,105 4,000 5,393 42.01% 56.64%
Ozaukee 82,214 20,526 32,146 38.59% 60.44%
Racine 20,989 4,562 8,490 34.61% 64.40%
Sheboygan 25,362 4,897 9,913 32.61% 66.02%
Washington 117,493 25,719 47,729 34.63% 64.27%
Waukesha 325,230 76,275 131,186 36.45% 62.69%
Winnebago 5,606 1,575 2,048 42.92% 55.80%

Sensenbrenner gets a boost too, as all the Republican votes of the Milwaukee suburbs and the Fox Valley get packed here. The trifecta of Ozaukee, Washington, and Waukesha counties are brutal for any Democrat (let’s not forget that Bush had a margin coming out of Greater Milwaukee!). Meanwhile, the North Shore of Milwaukee is removed – those were Democratic votes thrown in for no good reason. Throw in the unpalatable parts of Sheboygan, Fond du Lac, and Dodge County, and you’ve got this 37% Obama district.

District Population Obama McCain Obama% McCain%
6 670,599 195,883 157,909 54.60% 44.02%
Adams 18,643 5,806 3,974 58.36% 39.95%
Calumet 40,631 13,295 12,722 50.31% 48.15%
Columbia 45,331 14,636 10,272 58.09% 40.77%
Fond du Lac 56,373 14,438 14,442 49.47% 49.48%
Jackson 19,100 5,572 3,552 60.24% 38.40%
Juneau 24,316 6,186 5,148 53.80% 44.77%
Manitowoc 82,887 22,428 19,234 53.00% 45.45%
Marquette 15,832 4,068 3,654 51.92% 46.64%
Monroe 40,899 10,198 8,666 53.33% 45.32%
Sauk 55,225 18,617 11,562 60.92% 37.84%
Sheboygan 87,284 25,498 20,888 54.30% 44.48%
Waushara 23,154 5,868 5,770 49.64% 48.82%
Winnebago 151,157 46,592 35,898 55.65% 42.88%
Wood 9,767 2,681 2,127 54.81% 43.49%

The 6th would be the elusive seventh Democratic district in the state, and I had to reach for this one. There was potential in the old 6th, but just need to be developed further. As a result, instead of Republican leaning Dodge County, this district goes farther west and southwest, grabbing Columbia and parts of Baraboo from the 2nd, and some more counties from the 3rd. It sheds the southern half (read: Republican half) of Sheboygan, all of Fond du Lac outside of a few towns and Fond du Lac proper, and Green Lake County. What we get is a district that Obama got 54.6% in, winning each county part except Fond du Lac, which he lost by 4 votes. This district won’t necessarily elect a Democrat – the Fox Valley isn’t exactly a Democratic stronghold, but it’s certainly more likely this way.

District Population Obama McCain Obama% McCain%
7 670,602 207,247 150,865 56.98% 41.48%
Ashland 16,866 5,818 2,634 68.01% 30.79%
Bayfield 15,013 5,972 3,365 63.22% 35.62%
Chippewa 55,195 16,239 13,492 53.82% 44.72%
Clark 33,557 7,454 6,383 52.76% 45.18%
Douglas 43,287 15,830 7,835 65.93% 32.63%
Eau Claire 93,142 33,146 20,959 60.38% 38.18%
Iron 6,861 1,914 1,464 55.83% 42.71%
Langlade 20,740 5,182 5,081 49.92% 48.95%
Lincoln 29,641 8,424 6,519 55.40% 42.87%
Marathon 125,834 36,367 30,345 53.65% 44.77%
Oneida 12,802 4,029 3,913 50.07% 48.63%
Portage 67,182 24,817 13,810 63.15% 35.14%
Price 15,822 4,559 3,461 55.76% 42.33%
Rusk 15,347 3,855 3,253 53.14% 44.84%
Sawyer 16,196 4,765 4,199 52.52% 46.29%
Taylor 19,680 4,563 4,586 48.94% 49.19%
Vilas 1,613 0,591 0,809 41.68% 57.05%
Washburn 16,036 4,693 4,303 51.56% 47.28%
Wood 65,788 19,029 14,454 55.89% 42.45%

Obey’s district gets a boost too. Dave doesn’t really need the help, but should he retire, nothing should be up to chance. Not too much changes – 81% of the district is a carryover from the current 7th, but the Minneapolis exurbs are shed in exchange for Eau Claire. Obama got 57% here, an improvement of 1%.

District Population Obama McCain Obama% McCain%
8 670,378 196,782 163,228 53.95% 44.75%
Brown 226,778 67,269 55,854 54.02% 44.85%
Door 27,961 10,142 7,112 58.14% 40.77%
Florence 5,088 1,134 1,512 42.33% 56.44%
Forest 10,024 2,673 1,963 57.13% 41.95%
Kewaunee 20,187 5,902 4,711 54.81% 43.75%
Marinette 43,384 11,195 9,726 52.77% 45.84%
Menominee 4,562 1,257 0,185 86.81% 12.78%
Oconto 35,634 9,927 8,755 52.42% 46.23%
Oneida 23,974 7,878 5,717 57.00% 41.36%
Outagamie 160,971 50,294 39,677 55.04% 43.42%
Shawano 40,664 10,259 9,538 51.14% 47.55%
Vilas 19,420 5,900 6,246 47.97% 50.78%
Waupaca 51,731 12,952 12,232 50.85% 48.02%

Lastly, we have the 8th, centered still on Green Bay and Appleton. Intentionally, I didn’t tweak too much since Steve Kagen seems to be getting slowly entrenched. 96.5% of the district is the same as the old 8th, including Kagen’s base in Outagamie County. With some rearranging of precincts in Oneida and Vilas counties moves the balance 0.4% to the left, to 53.9% Obama.

A Seriously Overdue Update: Redistricting New York

(From the diaries – promoted by DavidNYC)

This redistricting map has really been a long time coming, but trying to match up the 36,000 census blocks of NYC and the 20,000 blocks of Nassau County (among many, many others) with a precinct and creating a consolidated population-political data file tends to take a while. But unquestionably, I also think this is my best map yet. I used 2008 population estimates by city/town, projected forward to 2010. I also worked painstakingly hard for population equality, which I think is evident in that the total deviation for all 28 districts is 86, or 0.012% of a single district.

At a whopping 26-3, our NY delegation is already pretty maxed out. With the loss of a district in 2010, there’s a good opportunity to consolidate and create what could possibly be a 27-1 delegation. I chose to do this by eliminating John McHugh’s district and then employing some old-fashioned cracking of Nassau County to defeat Peter King. Side goals included strengthening Massa, Arcuri, Murphy, Hall, and McMahon, while preserving VRA districts for Meeks, Towns, Clarke, Velazquez, Rangel, and Serrano.

My district maps later. First, some eye candy:

I’m sure there’s enough in these maps to make for its own diary, but that’s for another time….

(Sidenote: Yes, I am sending my dataset to Dave and David, so hopefully this can be incorporated into DRA. I do have a ‘tutorial’ on how I do my redistricting where I used Wisconsin as an example that I will hopefully post shortly.)

Now, here’s my map:

Starting upstate:

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
28 700,339 201,234 133,976 59.32% 39.50% 13.23% 5.28% 2.54%
Livingston 16,497 4,721 3,483 56.67% 41.81% 1.38% 1.87% 1.87%
Monroe 683,842 196,513 130,493 59.39% 39.44% 13.52% 5.36% 2.55%

As is the case with a lot of my districts, I took some inspiration from the districts of yesteryear (or… 1993-2003). This would still be Louise Slaughter’s district, recentered around Monroe County (with an arm to grab Geneseo out of Livingston County). The percentage drop seems daunting at first (down from 68.47%), and there’s not a good reason for Buffalo and Rochester to be packed into the same district. Anyways, Slaughter is familiar with the area and would be solid for any Rochester Democrat should Slaughter choose to retire.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
27 700,326 184,327 130,941 57.52% 40.86% 10.02% 3.79% 1.66%
Erie 429,193 127,515 72,116 62.87% 35.56% 12.69% 5.06% 2.36%
Monroe 15,048 2,895 2,769 50.22% 48.03% 3.39% 2.85% 1.06%
Niagara 214,319 47,303 46,348 49.65% 48.65% 5.78% 1.29% 0.57%
Orleans 41,766 6,614 9,708 39.87% 58.53% 6.82% 3.88% 0.32%

I think a lot of times, we overestimate the Democratic strength of Brian Higgins’ district – he was only elected in 2004, and Obama only scored 54.19% here. I’ll admit, I shuffled around this district quite a bit, with it going from Buffalo north instead of south. We add all of Niagara and Orleans Counties, with a sliver of Monroe for population balancing, but we do retain all of Buffalo’s South District, which Higgins represented in the Buffalo Common Council before getting elected to Congress. From this we get slightly more than a 3% boost to 57.52%; this should be safe for a long time to come.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
26 700,339 171,771 144,151 53.52% 44.91% 9.24% 2.02% 0.64%
Allegany 34,270 5,028 7,071 40.66% 57.18% 0.95% 0.93% 0.86%
Cattaraugus 65,144 12,365 14,715 44.91% 53.44% 1.15% 0.98% 0.52%
Chautauqua 133,249 29,129 28,579 49.54% 48.60% 2.00% 4.12% 0.35%
Chemung 55,777 12,400 10,904 52.67% 46.31% 8.20% 2.35% 0.65%
Erie 373,522 105,070 73,706 57.88% 40.60% 14.92% 1.62% 0.64%
Steuben 38,377 7,779 9,176 45.29% 53.42% 1.71% 0.83% 1.59%

Granted, I shifted around Massa’s district quite a bit too, with it now going to Buffalo instead of Rochester. I did this in the interest of centering the 28th in Monroe County and leaving room for the sprawling 23rd. However, I think it retains its Southern Tier character (roughly 40%). The nastier bits of Steuben and Allegany counties are carved out. The Democratic boost from the remaining parts of Buffalo doesn’t hurt either, leaving this district 5 points better at 53.52%.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
25 700,324 181,879 137,622 55.94% 42.33% 6.42% 2.23% 1.51%
Cayuga 52,661 11,864 9,433 54.62% 43.43% 4.07% 1.79% 0.43%
Monroe 7,352 2,159 2,440 46.39% 52.43% 1.26% 1.06% 1.93%
Onondaga 427,685 122,984 78,566 59.93% 38.29% 9.11% 2.44% 2.12%
Ontario 39,862 9,316 10,334 46.78% 51.89% 0.70% 1.33% 0.73%
Oswego 71,434 15,429 12,598 53.90% 44.01% 0.78% 1.77% 0.55%
Seneca 9,816 1,943 2,012 48.32% 50.04% 0.83% 1.72% 0.35%
Wayne 91,514 18,184 22,239 44.37% 54.27% 3.08% 2.37% 0.47%

This district doesn’t substantially differ from Maffei’s current version, though I do take out a chunk of southern Onondaga county to make room for the 24th to pass through. Since we’re dismantling the current 23rd, the section of Oswego County begins to pick up some of the pieces. Still centered on Syracuse and DeWitt, this district has a marginal improvement of 0.2%, leaving it still a touch short of 56% Obama.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
24 700,337 156,841 139,301 52.08% 46.25% 2.99% 2.25% 1.68%
Cayuga 26,714 6,264 5,810 50.92% 47.23% 2.97% 2.09% 0.43%
Cortland 36,312 9,545 6,707 57.75% 40.58% 0.94% 1.30% 0.50%
Herkimer 38,842 8,096 8,639 47.56% 50.75% 0.57% 1.07% 0.46%
Jefferson 70,332 12,923 14,011 47.32% 51.30% 3.67% 2.89% 0.66%
Livingston 12,089 2,473 3,589 40.15% 58.27% 0.63% 0.98% 0.37%
Madison 50,197 10,990 10,961 48.96% 48.83% 0.55% 0.82% 0.32%
Oneida 167,933 33,209 33,409 49.08% 49.37% 6.05% 3.34% 1.40%
Onondaga 24,405 6,333 6,406 48.72% 49.28% 0.93% 0.77% 0.55%
Ontario 65,884 15,787 14,837 50.78% 47.73% 2.47% 2.52% 0.65%
Oswego 49,797 9,348 10,973 45.11% 52.95% 0.27% 0.62% 0.22%
Schuyler 6,613 1,678 1,737 48.50% 50.20% 0.60% 0.77% 0.26%
Seneca 24,097 5,479 5,026 51.11% 46.88% 3.44% 2.26% 0.81%
Tompkins 102,388 29,826 11,927 70.23% 28.08% 3.39% 3.06% 7.15%
Yates 24,734 4,890 5,269 47.57% 51.25% 0.53% 0.92% 0.27%

Tompkins County saved Arcuri from defeat in 2008, and this district helps on that front. It now incorporates all of Tompkins. Arcuri’s base in Utica remains as well, though the rest of Oneida County is surprisingly hostile to Democrats. Eastern Oswego and western Jefferson Counties are added, again to compensate for the elimination of the current 23rd. Overall, this district improves modestly to 52.08% from 50.33%. Obama only narrowly lost the district outside of Tompkins, but Ithaca is really what anchors the district.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
23 700,324 131,014 186,390 40.58% 57.73% 1.66% 1.39% 0.50%
Allegany 15,466 1,988 3,942 32.91% 65.26% 0.30% 0.96% 0.50%
Broome 15,843 2,632 3,600 41.45% 56.69% 0.34% 0.72% 0.27%
Cattaraugus 13,217 1,942 3,055 38.20% 60.09% 0.15% 0.69% 0.16%
Chemung 31,750 6,488 8,460 42.83% 55.84% 0.91% 0.68% 1.02%
Chenango 25,884 4,900 5,668 45.45% 52.58% 0.87% 1.19% 0.17%
Cortland 11,844 2,316 2,971 42.96% 55.11% 0.44% 0.75% 0.12%
Erie 100,883 23,714 32,993 41.19% 57.31% 1.06% 0.89% 0.71%
Fulton 21,025 3,488 5,203 39.37% 58.72% 0.43% 0.84% 0.25%
Genesee 56,754 10,762 15,705 40.02% 58.40% 2.00% 1.48% 0.49%
Greene 5,903 1,106 1,785 37.68% 60.82% 0.15% 1.66% 0.29%
Hamilton 4,960 1,225 2,141 35.89% 62.73% 0.46% 1.05% 0.16%
Herkimer 20,130 3,273 4,982 38.92% 59.25% 0.26% 0.58% 0.28%
Livingston 34,477 6,461 8,958 41.26% 57.21% 4.08% 2.80% 0.40%
Madison 19,533 3,702 3,473 50.33% 47.21% 3.01% 1.68% 1.19%
Monroe 27,722 5,804 8,560 39.84% 58.76% 1.26% 1.17% 0.69%
Montgomery 16,597 2,609 3,665 40.61% 57.05% 0.39% 1.09% 0.40%
Oneida 63,476 10,297 15,847 38.66% 59.49% 3.58% 2.66% 0.44%
Otsego 8,641 1,400 2,085 39.41% 58.70% 0.46% 0.91% 0.28%
Saratoga 5,523 1,039 1,664 37.71% 60.40% 0.11% 0.91% 0.24%
Schenectady 7,568 1,684 2,196 42.35% 55.23% 0.41% 0.75% 0.25%
Schoharie 31,906 6,009 8,071 41.72% 56.04% 1.15% 1.86% 0.38%
Schuyler 12,142 2,255 2,805 43.77% 54.44% 1.80% 1.47% 0.30%
Steuben 57,995 9,369 15,027 37.88% 60.75% 1.09% 0.80% 0.47%
Tioga 49,806 10,172 12,536 43.98% 54.20% 0.52% 0.98% 0.57%
Wyoming 41,279 6,379 10,998 36.11% 62.25% 5.54% 2.97% 0.35%

I’ll be the first to say it, this district is pretty disgustingly drawn. Communities of interest went flying out the window – the only thing the parts of this district have in common are their Republican political dispositions. We go from the Buffalo suburbs (Clarence, Lancaster), across Western New York and the Southern Tier to near Binghamton, through to the Capital District (Schenectady, Saratoga) and also north to the Adirondacks and even parts of Rome. The 24th and its misshapen bird form was bad, but I really challenge you to tell me what the 23rd looks like.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
22 700,336 179,738 122,708 58.56% 39.98% 8.05% 7.81% 1.97%
Broome 178,230 44,572 36,477 54.12% 44.29% 3.31% 2.09% 3.03%
Chenango 24,736 5,200 4,669 51.65% 46.38% 0.69% 0.95% 0.40%
Delaware 29,939 5,974 6,707 46.18% 51.85% 1.20% 1.56% 0.57%
Dutchess 124,272 33,064 18,781 63.00% 35.78% 15.57% 8.08% 2.68%
Orange 108,913 24,453 14,091 62.87% 36.23% 15.33% 21.18% 1.74%
Sullivan 65,142 14,357 11,288 55.25% 43.44% 8.71% 10.23% 1.17%
Ulster 169,104 52,118 30,695 61.90% 36.45% 4.85% 6.21% 1.25%

With Ithaca out of the picture shoring up the 24th, and with the 23rd cutting off any access route, I had to scrounge for Democratic votes to keep Hinchey at a comparable level. We get a vaguely frog-like district (facing east), in my opinion. One leg is for Binghamton, another for the less-Republican areas not in the 23rd and for population balance. Retained is Hinchey’s base in Ulster and Sullivan counties, with arms for Newburgh and Middletown in Orange County. Also of note is the string along the Hudson in Dutchess County, from Red Hook through Poughkeepsie down to Beacon. The lack of Ithaca still shows, but with some effort, there’s only a 0.7% drop.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
21 700,326 188,251 129,091 58.22% 39.93% 7.33% 3.35% 2.00%
Albany 297,374 93,937 50,586 63.85% 34.39% 10.38% 3.03% 2.73%
Delaware 15,716 3,488 3,817 46.79% 51.21% 0.97% 2.98% 0.46%
Fulton 34,115 6,207 6,506 47.88% 50.19% 2.46% 2.05% 0.69%
Greene 42,995 8,744 10,274 45.07% 52.96% 5.90% 4.66% 0.56%
Montgomery 32,041 6,471 7,046 47.06% 51.24% 1.17% 9.69% 0.59%
Otsego 52,911 12,170 9,941 53.92% 44.05% 1.84% 2.06% 0.69%
Rensselaer 84,179 21,354 14,358 58.70% 39.47% 7.50% 3.02% 2.55%
Schenectady 34,115 6,207 6,506 56.33% 41.70% 6.59% 3.23% 1.85%

With problematic Schoharie County out of the way, Tonko’s 21st can look to some greener (bluer?) pastures. Mostly, this is just some housekeeping down in Otsego, Delaware, and Greene counties. Tonko’s residence in Amsterdam stays in, as well as the entirety of Albany County, and Rensselaer and Troy. The net is a very marginal (less than 0.1%) improvement.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
20 700,334 160,398 136,431 53.18% 45.23% 2.33% 1.93% 0.78%
Clinton 81,880 20,216 12,579 60.64% 37.73% 3.26% 2.39% 0.66%
Essex 37,584 10,390 7,913 55.88% 42.55% 2.73% 2.24% 0.41%
Franklin 50,695 10,571 6,676 60.34% 38.11% 2.02% 1.44% 0.37%
Herkimer 2,891 725 998 41.36% 56.93% 0.59% 0.76% 0.21%
Jefferson 48,322 5,243 6,209 45.30% 53.64% 8.44% 6.12% 1.28%
Lewis 25,862 4,986 5,969 44.77% 53.59% 0.38% 0.63% 0.24%
SaintLawrence 109,499 23,706 16,956 57.36% 41.03% 2.16% 1.73% 0.72%
Saratoga 209,673 54,492 50,170 51.26% 47.19% 1.36% 1.42% 1.07%
Schenectady 4,452 1,047 999 50.12% 47.82% 1.53% 1.24% 7.75%
Warren 66,201 16,281 15,429 50.49% 47.85% 0.57% 1.04% 0.54%
Washington 63,275 12,741 12,533 49.52% 48.71% 2.72% 1.98% 0.27%

You look at this district and you ask, can this really be called Scott Murphy’s and not Dede Scozzafava’s district? I say yes for two reasons. First, Murphy lives in the northern part of the current 20th, which is also included here. Second, slightly more than half the population is from the current 20th, including Saratoga Springs. Tedisco did quite well in Saratoga, but the more Republican parts are stripped out for the 23rd. For our efforts, we’re rewarded with a 2.5% boost to 53.2% from 50.7%.

We’re getting into Westchester now, so I’m guessing you’ll want a more detailed map:

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
19 700,332 164,609 146,591 52.27% 46.55% 6.63% 7.77% 2.17%
Columbia 61,582 17,556 13,337 55.91% 42.47% 4.22% 2.50% 0.77%
Dutchess 169,953 37,996 40,847 47.64% 51.21% 3.38% 5.05% 2.37%
Orange 172,819 35,267 35,438 49.33% 49.57% 4.61% 7.90% 1.48%
Putnam 20,848 5,977 5,071 53.54% 45.42% 1.16% 5.12% 0.89%
Rensselaer 71,703 18,399 18,482 48.93% 49.15% 0.58% 0.91% 0.60%
Rockland 109,519 25,986 16,657 60.58% 38.83% 18.49% 17.54% 5.22%
Saratoga 4,956 1,114 1,021 51.55% 47.25% 0.30% 1.31% 0.59%
Sullivan 10,975 2,493 2,612 48.14% 50.43% 4.24% 3.91% 0.62%
Ulster 12,751 2,202 2,605 45.21% 53.48% 7.87% 6.96% 0.89%
Westchester 65,226 17,619 10,521 62.04% 37.04% 11.90% 12.73% 2.47%

John Hall’s district also gets quite the makeover. However, it retains Hall’s residence in Dover Plains and most of Dutchess County, as well as the Democratic-leaning parts of Putnam and Cortlandt/Peekskill in Westchester. There’s also an arm into Rockland, nabbing the heavily Democratic parts of Ramapo town. Notable removals include the heavily Republican towns of Monroe in Orange County (including Kiryas Joel village) and Carmel in Putnam County. In order to accomodate the 22nd, the 19th doesn’t get as much of a boost, only to 52.3%, up 1.6%.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
18 700,332 189,437 128,831 59.04% 40.15% 7.77% 12.94% 4.37%
Putnam 78,561 15,636 20,074 43.38% 55.70% 1.58% 6.55% 1.29%
Westchester 621,771 173,801 108,757 61.02% 38.18% 8.55% 13.75% 4.76%

To help Hall, Nita Lowey’s district picks up the eastern half of Putnam County. With Hall’s district shifted northward, most of Westchester gets put here, all the way from Somers to White Plains to New Rochelle and the Bronx line, with a nice arm into Yonkers to hold the Democratic percentage up. There’s still a 2.5% drop though, thanks to Carmel. Not that Lowey has to worry.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
17 700,336 165,083 99,430 62.00% 37.35% 22.39% 14.76% 3.84%
Bronx 81 44,915 9,298 2,447 78.76% 20.73% 29.10% 26.99% 5.46%
Bronx 83 84,609 23,232 829 96.44% 3.44% 71.80% 18.74% 1.53%
Orange 104,370 18,606 22,513 44.81% 54.22% 2.47% 6.09% 1.22%
Rockland 191,832 43,557 45,095 48.81% 50.53% 6.11% 6.35% 5.52%
Westchester 274,610 70,390 28,546 70.69% 28.67% 25.01% 20.70% 4.12%

Finally, we’ve broken the city barrier. But first, the district takes in a lot of Rockland and Orange counties that didn’t get lumped into the 19th. There are some pretty Republican (or at least anti-Obama) pockets in the towns of Monroe and Ramapo – most likely owing to the Orthodox Jewish communities in Kiryas Joel, Monsey, and Viola. I do think there’s a good chance they’d vote for Engel, though. In Westchester, I kept the riverside villages of Hastings-on-Hudson, Dobbs Ferry, and Irvington whole (though the district still jumps the Tappan Zee). Yonkers and Mount Vernon are still here, as well as Wakefield and Woodlawn in the Bronx. Engel still lives here, though the district is less Bronx-centric (and yes, 10% less Democratic at 62.0%) than before.

Now that we’re in the city, here’s a map of the city districts.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
16 700,335 160,042 8,640 94.69% 5.11% 29.87% 63.04% 1.66%
Bronx 76 16,403 4,306 251 94.22% 5.49% 21.58% 74.86% 0.80%
Bronx 77 127,997 31,128 1,170 96.17% 3.61% 39.90% 55.31% 1.00%
Bronx 78 110,205 20,538 1,921 91.17% 8.53% 19.09% 62.20% 4.43%
Bronx 79 127,999 35,507 1,417 95.99% 3.83% 42.31% 53.94% 0.39%
Bronx 84 127,997 30,857 1,699 94.59% 5.21% 25.07% 70.72% 0.94%
Bronx 85 61,719 12,703 886 93.29% 6.51% 21.25% 73.89% 1.12%
Bronx 86 128,015 25,003 1,296 94.96% 4.92% 26.71% 66.15% 2.29%

She’s still Jenny from the Block, and this is pretty much the old 16th district centered on SoBro the South Bronx. More than 95% of the new and old 16ths overlap, and the result shows at 95% Obama. From Mott Haven through to Fordham, this district remains heavily Hispanic at 63.04%.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
15 700,335 223,266 14,911 93.16% 6.22% 30.51% 47.95% 2.89%
Bronx 85 13,501 0.00% 0.00% 60.57% 26.94% 0.26%
NewYork 67 20,661 8,617 1,290 86.29% 12.92% 5.69% 12.38% 5.60%
NewYork 68 134,547 40,792 2,347 94.18% 5.42% 37.39% 50.66% 2.59%
NewYork 69 117,783 46,205 3,749 91.72% 7.44% 19.76% 25.37% 7.68%
NewYork 70 137,564 49,640 1,160 97.26% 2.27% 59.76% 33.83% 1.02%
NewYork 71 137,943 44,088 3,729 91.54% 7.74% 29.00% 50.09% 2.42%
NewYork 72 137,956 33,657 2,572 92.31% 7.05% 6.18% 83.94% 1.25%
NewYork 73 380 267 64 79.94% 19.16% 9.74% 32.89% 8.68%
Queens 36 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

I’m not sure when the tradition of putting Rikers into the 15th was started, but it’s been that way since at least 1993, and I’ve kept it that way. Again, the vast majority of the district is the same, from Inwood to Washington Heights to Harlem, Spanish Harlem, and Morningside Heights. I tried for clean lines in the city: the border with the 14th remains straight on 96th street. The west side is a bit harder for population balancing. Still ridonkulously Democratic, giving the 16th a run for its money. (Note how Obama got 97.26% in the 70th Assembly District. That’s… almost Detroit-level.) Still plurality-Hispanic.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
14 700,333 215,909 56,278 78.60% 20.49% 4.40% 14.02% 11.71%
NewYork 64 17,277 5,776 750 87.33% 11.34% 3.46% 19.10% 27.11%
NewYork 65 137,938 46,042 14,076 76.02% 23.24% 3.54% 5.91% 7.40%
NewYork 66 31,803 11,929 1,284 89.00% 9.58% 5.81% 8.99% 13.86%
NewYork 67 8 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
NewYork 68 3,694 1,345 394 76.64% 22.45% 1.60% 4.22% 3.11%
NewYork 69 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
NewYork 73 137,545 46,638 15,890 74.06% 25.23% 2.42% 5.78% 6.56%
NewYork 74 98,736 36,782 7,748 81.75% 17.22% 5.15% 9.43% 11.03%
NewYork 75 51,307 18,930 4,551 79.92% 19.21% 3.20% 6.03% 11.60%
Queens 30 63,151 12,192 3,763 75.52% 23.31% 1.10% 29.61% 22.63%
Queens 36 111,978 24,400 6,200 78.80% 20.02% 1.53% 24.98% 13.99%
Queens 37 46,896 11,875 1,622 87.42% 11.94% 23.36% 35.58% 14.37%

Again, not much different here either. Maloney keeps all of Central Park and the East Side of Manhattan through to Houston Street. Again, I tried for clean lines, with Central Park West/8th Ave., then 7th Ave. (with a bump-out in Midtown to balance population). On the Queens side, still essentially the same areas of Astoria and Ravenswood, though Long Island City/Hunters Point is shifted to the 12th. Again no news here, just a slight bump up from 78.2%.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
13 700,335 112,193 105,598 51.16% 48.16% 8.90% 12.68% 8.89%
Kings 46 75,728 14,610 6,628 68.29% 30.98% 21.03% 19.35% 8.78%
Kings 47 15,158 2,234 1,593 58.01% 41.37% 9.24% 11.99% 13.74%
Kings 48 19,788 2,335 1,517 59.89% 38.91% 0.49% 10.09% 35.83%
Kings 49 47,090 4,644 3,754 54.87% 44.35% 0.28% 9.98% 28.22%
Kings 51 4,769 716 298 70.13% 29.19% 0.84% 21.95% 23.13%
Kings 60 41,556 8,343 5,746 58.84% 40.52% 0.87% 11.30% 10.44%
Richmond 60 89,565 11,844 16,708 41.16% 58.07% 1.80% 10.87% 4.75%
Richmond 61 135,561 29,614 14,247 67.02% 32.24% 24.78% 20.62% 4.30%
Richmond 62 135,557 16,097 33,590 32.20% 67.20% 0.78% 5.46% 3.22%
Richmond 63 135,563 21,756 21,517 49.98% 49.43% 6.00% 10.92% 9.79%

McMahon keeps his Staten Island-centric district. I tried to make the Brooklyn parts as Democratic as possible, losing Dyker Heights, Bensonhurst, and Gravesend in favor of Democratic Coney Island. A 2.4% boost to 51.2% results, though I don’t think McMahon was really in any danger.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
12 700,333 161,348 26,946 85.12% 14.22% 11.02% 50.43% 8.56%
Kings 44 4,773 675 221 74.59% 24.42% 1.32% 47.77% 15.50%
Kings 50 104,489 20,414 8,279 70.53% 28.60% 2.47% 20.15% 2.91%
Kings 51 103,568 18,135 2,742 86.33% 13.05% 7.22% 62.98% 13.34%
Kings 52 42,116 17,874 1,863 89.90% 9.37% 8.55% 21.82% 5.95%
Kings 53 127,288 33,118 2,768 91.66% 7.66% 9.57% 72.76% 4.62%
Kings 54 99,941 21,611 1,442 93.54% 6.24% 28.68% 59.08% 3.85%
Kings 55 13,774 2,943 152 94.94% 4.90% 38.04% 52.70% 2.46%
Kings 56 9,315 2,705 86 96.54% 3.07% 50.42% 45.12% 0.74%
Kings 57 1,105 395 31 92.51% 7.26% 18.46% 32.40% 2.99%
NewYork 64 37,350 10,272 2,641 79.08% 20.33% 10.12% 36.81% 33.17%
NewYork 74 39,183 13,030 1,011 92.17% 7.15% 13.81% 57.05% 10.02%
Queens 23 912 139 16 89.68% 10.32% 7.79% 65.13% 7.46%
Queens 30 7,175 950 428 68.30% 30.77% 1.20% 44.10% 8.15%
Queens 37 74,428 13,235 3,106 80.14% 18.81% 2.48% 48.07% 12.88%
Queens 38 34,916 5,852 2,160 72.57% 26.79% 3.69% 46.74% 8.95%

Really, nothing new here either, except we’ve shifted it from plurality to majority Hispanic. Same neighborhoods, from Sunset Park to Red Hook, Loisaida, Greenpoint, and Bushwick. A notable shift is that Chinatown is removed and Williamsburg is added, dropping Obama’s performance by 1% (to a still-astronomical 85%).

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
11 700,339 202,773 25,773 88.34% 11.23% 56.82% 11.34% 4.19%
Kings 40 6,943 1,721 26 98.46% 1.49% 80.27% 9.92% 2.87%
Kings 41 1,590 183 189 48.67% 50.27% 1.45% 5.72% 9.18%
Kings 42 123,943 31,418 3,872 88.70% 10.93% 65.91% 14.26% 2.82%
Kings 43 126,615 35,833 3,218 91.54% 8.22% 78.31% 6.99% 1.04%
Kings 44 105,672 28,613 7,250 79.02% 20.02% 10.57% 14.95% 14.31%
Kings 45 24,782 1,815 4,221 29.94% 69.63% 0.93% 6.71% 10.98%
Kings 48 15,572 962 3,158 23.28% 76.43% 3.05% 4.41% 8.63%
Kings 52 68,581 31,571 2,616 91.73% 7.60% 13.45% 18.99% 4.03%
Kings 55 48,759 12,928 184 98.54% 1.40% 82.82% 13.72% 0.48%
Kings 56 25,329 7,701 175 97.62% 2.22% 86.05% 9.26% 0.62%
Kings 57 59,576 22,183 383 97.90% 1.69% 75.48% 12.22% 1.86%
Kings 58 92,977 27,845 481 98.20% 1.70% 89.57% 4.98% 0.81%

Not much new here either, still a central-Brooklyn based district for Yvette Clarke centered in Flatbush, Prospect Park, Park Slope, and Crown Heights. The district does move farther south into Ocean Parkway though, mostly to relieve stress on the 9th. Still majority-Black, though the southward shift lowers the Democratic percentage by 2 points.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
10 700,332 206,787 27,897 87.83% 11.85% 56.83% 13.79% 4.13%
Kings 40 108,940 34,597 1,662 95.30% 4.58% 66.19% 24.03% 1.09%
Kings 41 109,242 25,843 9,181 73.44% 26.09% 45.03% 6.98% 6.80%
Kings 42 3,339 664 237 73.29% 26.16% 40.40% 12.37% 10.36%
Kings 43 694 299 5 97.71% 1.63% 92.07% 3.75% 1.01%
Kings 45 47,518 4,496 5,422 44.93% 54.19% 1.62% 5.42% 18.05%
Kings 50 22,794 7,420 191 96.96% 2.50% 54.47% 26.52% 3.00%
Kings 52 16,586 7,784 676 91.21% 7.92% 14.75% 16.03% 5.97%
Kings 54 24,729 7,248 199 97.09% 2.67% 55.53% 38.19% 1.74%
Kings 55 64,751 21,406 315 98.45% 1.45% 78.93% 18.14% 0.31%
Kings 56 92,645 31,257 363 98.61% 1.15% 85.93% 9.76% 0.74%
Kings 57 66,599 27,698 564 97.56% 1.99% 66.92% 14.18% 3.94%
Kings 58 34,297 10,915 473 95.76% 4.15% 75.18% 7.34% 3.55%
Kings 59 108,198 27,160 8,609 75.76% 24.01% 40.95% 8.21% 4.21%

Same story for Ed Towns, with an arcing district from Brooklyn Heights to Bed-Stuy, East New York, and south to Canarsie. Again a slight southward expansion to boost the 9th. Still majority Black, a slight drop to 88% Obama (oh the humanity).

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
9 700,331 112,711 76,412 59.14% 40.10% 5.49% 17.19% 14.44%
Kings 40 11,398 3,791 136 96.44% 3.46% 66.46% 20.06% 2.32%
Kings 41 16,449 2,384 2,460 48.79% 50.35% 2.16% 4.20% 7.45%
Kings 45 54,991 4,440 8,420 34.28% 65.01% 1.18% 5.66% 7.79%
Kings 46 43,147 4,404 6,345 40.65% 58.56% 2.15% 12.36% 10.04%
Kings 47 41,476 3,618 4,713 43.08% 56.12% 0.64% 7.71% 17.89%
Kings 48 1,663 100 267 26.95% 71.97% 0.30% 4.51% 1.44%
Kings 54 2,612 435 48 90.06% 9.94% 7.89% 31.36% 35.99%
Kings 59 19,076 2,245 3,884 36.52% 63.18% 0.77% 3.69% 2.12%
Queens 22 2,138 366 149 70.52% 28.71% 0.70% 14.45% 49.67%
Queens 23 50,558 8,463 5,688 59.47% 39.97% 2.92% 25.78% 9.36%
Queens 25 36,705 6,244 3,037 66.86% 32.52% 9.61% 22.41% 27.91%
Queens 27 96,518 17,999 9,552 64.81% 34.40% 8.44% 20.51% 14.52%
Queens 28 128,913 26,850 16,192 61.73% 37.23% 1.56% 11.04% 15.96%
Queens 30 49,919 7,176 6,377 52.53% 46.68% 0.56% 15.35% 12.11%
Queens 34 8,476 1,031 446 69.29% 29.97% 0.72% 31.34% 42.08%
Queens 35 38,332 7,618 1,942 79.22% 20.20% 23.62% 21.51% 25.61%
Queens 37 7,595 988 578 62.49% 36.56% 0.45% 23.67% 6.11%
Queens 38 90,365 14,559 6,178 69.77% 29.61% 4.12% 31.23% 12.98%

Weiner was never in any danger, really, but it was just odd to have an only 55% Obama district in the city. (IMO, Staten Island doesn’t count.) The district becomes more Queens-centric, while retaining Weiner’s home in Forest Hills, as well as taking in Middle Village, Maspeth, Kew Gardens, parts of Ridgewood, and Ozone Park. Same deal in Brooklyn, keeping Gerritsen, Sheepshead Bay, and Brighton Beach. It does lose parts of Ocean Parkway and Borough Park, picking up slightly-less Republican Gravesend. The boost helps, bringing this to 59% Obama, up roughly 5%.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
8 700,334 180,156 61,502 73.91% 25.23% 3.26% 10.96% 17.70%
Kings 44 16,832 1,565 1,810 46.00% 53.20% 4.30% 21.86% 13.59%
Kings 46 8,410 1,005 1,621 37.91% 61.15% 0.07% 4.38% 5.27%
Kings 47 70,647 6,430 6,978 47.49% 51.53% 0.39% 8.77% 21.67%
Kings 48 90,253 4,252 13,982 23.21% 76.31% 0.63% 7.96% 14.08%
Kings 49 80,195 6,270 9,006 40.75% 58.54% 0.26% 7.69% 18.61%
Kings 51 18,949 1,819 1,141 61.08% 38.31% 1.46% 31.98% 29.91%
Kings 60 1,628 455 271 62.24% 37.07% 13.33% 17.63% 8.29%
NewYork 64 83,292 18,436 5,488 76.26% 22.70% 3.12% 7.94% 58.80%
NewYork 66 106,110 47,097 5,946 87.96% 11.10% 3.12% 6.24% 7.30%
NewYork 67 117,297 48,690 8,807 84.01% 15.20% 5.32% 11.40% 6.46%
NewYork 69 20,096 8,878 1,059 88.66% 10.58% 11.90% 21.68% 3.08%
NewYork 75 86,625 35,259 5,393 85.88% 13.14% 6.93% 18.26% 8.74%

Nadler’s district, again, is mostly unchanged. Upper West Side, Chelsea, Greenwich Village, TriBeCa, SoHo, the FiDi, etc stay in the Manhattan parts. In Brooklyn, there’s Borough Park and Dyker Heights. Obama only scored 38% in the Brooklyn section. This is countered by the 84.8% Manhattan section, averaging out to 73.9% Obama (+0.2%).

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
7 700,334 169,540 44,870 78.67% 20.82% 21.69% 33.45% 7.24%
Bronx 76 102,281 35,512 1,360 91.58% 8.04% 30.13% 54.16% 5.16%
Bronx 78 17,738 3,906 514 87.87% 11.56% 12.70% 54.97% 8.63%
Bronx 80 127,990 25,850 7,729 76.58% 22.90% 17.43% 34.20% 6.17%
Bronx 81 83,053 22,193 6,377 77.05% 22.14% 10.59% 30.14% 6.67%
Bronx 82 127,982 33,335 11,167 74.61% 24.99% 21.28% 26.51% 2.98%
Bronx 83 43,382 13,808 460 96.65% 3.22% 74.85% 16.50% 0.86%
Bronx 85 52,777 16,525 881 94.82% 5.06% 41.55% 52.88% 0.74%
Queens 25 10,735 1,833 1,701 51.49% 47.78% 0.36% 11.51% 18.98%
Queens 26 45,860 8,518 7,486 52.82% 46.42% 0.34% 7.86% 13.41%
Queens 27 25,344 3,569 2,407 59.19% 39.92% 1.48% 23.50% 16.64%
Queens 30 8,662 2,535 570 81.12% 18.24% 16.01% 31.55% 13.16%
Queens 34 26,437 3,684 1,263 73.89% 25.33% 0.97% 36.91% 39.77%
Queens 35 1,524 557 56 90.13% 9.06% 65.16% 23.10% 2.10%
Queens 36 16,402 3,113 1,587 65.55% 33.42% 0.68% 14.22% 5.51%
Queens 39 859 42 33 56.00% 44.00% 0.00% 32.25% 50.41%

Most of the creative districting in the city came in Queens, I think, and the 7th is a good example. The Bronx portion doesn’t change too much, except it stretches to the Hudson now that the 17th is more suburban. Otherwise, Co-op City, Pelham Bay, Soundview, and Parkchester stay in, jumping Long Island Sound at Throgs Neck. It takes in more suburban areas of Queens than before, including Whitestone and Beechhurst. Crowley does live in Woodside, but there’s an arm for that.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
6 700,342 193,435 48,975 79.52% 20.13% 50.16% 13.15% 5.79%
Nassau Hempstead 103,588 21,866 26,891 44.56% 54.80% 3.12% 8.28% 2.65%
Queens 23 77,443 13,299 13,020 50.16% 49.11% 16.37% 13.73% 2.47%
Queens 24 16,528 4,735 1,160 79.85% 19.56% 31.17% 16.65% 21.70%
Queens 25 20,693 2,866 585 82.90% 16.92% 11.06% 23.53% 33.37%
Queens 29 129,059 41,182 2,096 94.97% 4.83% 67.24% 12.70% 6.69%
Queens 31 128,767 35,403 2,612 92.92% 6.86% 58.39% 19.05% 5.17%
Queens 32 118,350 37,979 1,112 96.98% 2.84% 72.75% 12.77% 4.18%
Queens 33 102,281 35,512 1,360 96.16% 3.68% 77.68% 8.35% 4.18%
Queens 38 3,633 593 139 80.79% 18.94% 11.70% 19.60% 24.75%

Gregory Meeks’ district gets quite the change as well, and becomes the first of three Nassau-Queens hybrid districts. The district remains centered on East Queens, though, from Jamaica and Ozone Park east to the Nassau line. In Nassau, we try to grab the most Republican parts in southwestern Hempstead, including Woodmere and Lawrence. Also of note is the shift of the entire Rockaway Peninsula (the western part of which is quite Republican) to the district. Broad Channel is also no longer split in two. Amazingly, the district is still majority-Black (just barely at 50.16% non-Hispanic-or-Latino Black). The Nassau parts do bring down the Democratic percentage 9.5% to 79.5%.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
5 700,332 133,441 82,791 61.36% 38.07% 4.36% 30.94% 17.76%
Nassau Glen Cove 26,819 6,231 4,491 57.68% 41.57% 6.05% 20.04% 4.06%
Nassau NHempstead 100,663 26,480 20,617 55.87% 43.50% 3.24% 7.45% 7.51%
Nassau Oyster Bay 70,799 17,422 18,547 48.08% 51.18% 1.38% 4.84% 5.45%
Queens 22 50,470 5,897 2,400 70.50% 28.69% 4.89% 22.12% 51.94%
Queens 24 7,228 1,273 1,008 55.42% 43.88% 0.33% 4.87% 37.85%
Queens 25 16,832 2,690 1,891 58.25% 40.95% 1.09% 18.42% 29.98%
Queens 26 61,785 13,292 8,316 60.99% 38.16% 1.46% 9.40% 20.70%
Queens 27 6 1 100.00% 0.00% 83.33% 16.67% 0.00%
Queens 34 94,000 15,790 4,262 78.27% 21.13% 2.49% 56.82% 17.86%
Queens 35 89,057 14,167 2,599 84.21% 15.45% 16.30% 47.03% 24.10%
Queens 36 541 102 53 64.97% 33.76% 0.74% 39.56% 16.45%
Queens 39 128,059 15,993 3,527 81.50% 17.97% 3.04% 64.80% 20.23%
Suffolk Huntington 54,073 14,103 15,080 48.32% 51.67% 0.58% 2.68% 1.63%

This district is pretty hideous, too. With a lot of suburban Queens in the 7th, the 5th can pick up more of the more-Democratic inner neighborhoods of Queens. So, we get a district that stretches from Elmhurst and Jackson Heights to Huntington. Again, harking back to the olden days, the district grabs out some choice precincts in Suffolk County, relieving pressure on the 1st and 2nd. In Nassau, it keeps Great Neck and Port Washington, but also adds Old Westbury, Syosset, and Glen Cove. In Suffolk, we avoid Huntington (the hamlet), since Steve Israel lives there, but we do get Cold Spring Harbor and Fort Salonga, all the way to the Huntingtown-Smithtown line. All this results in a 2% drop to 61.2% Obama, buoyed by the 74% Democratic section of Queens. Regardless, Ackerman will be fine.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
4 700,334 161,268 113,858 58.19% 41.08% 8.97% 12.17% 18.22%
Nassau Hempstead 298,688 78,085 62,541 55.12% 44.15% 13.72% 9.41% 5.48%
Nassau NHempstead 110,727 27,053 24,773 51.79% 47.43% 2.20% 8.92% 11.41%
Queens 22 76,306 10,171 4,522 68.83% 30.60% 4.62% 19.26% 53.70%
Queens 24 105,163 23,741 13,004 64.06% 35.09% 5.29% 8.51% 28.19%
Queens 25 43,952 7,915 2,893 72.73% 26.58% 8.95% 19.89% 31.85%
Queens 26 21,277 4,959 2,614 65.02% 34.27% 5.11% 9.09% 24.00%
Queens 27 7,034 1,897 501 78.58% 20.75% 14.90% 23.49% 17.44%
Queens 32 10,560 1,640 176 90.11% 9.67% 18.29% 56.70% 12.10%
Queens 33 26,627 5,807 2,834 66.82% 32.61% 8.61% 19.85% 23.95%

Here’s the third of the Queens-Nassau districts. The current 4th gets its Democratic strength from Uniondale and Hempstead, but those would fit well in a newly Democratic 3rd district. Thus, two prongs into Queens, one into Briarwood and one into Flushing, which meet in Briarwood. In Nassau, this district includes closer-in Democratic areas like Elmont and Valley Stream balanced by swing areas like Mineola and extremely Republican Garden City. In total, the Queens section again anchors the district, leaving it at 58.2% Democratic, up 0.2%.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
3 700,333 173,270 145,755 53.90% 45.34% 11.26% 10.91% 2.78%
Nassau Hempstead 357,522 96,465 66,066 58.94% 40.37% 17.97% 14.09% 2.07%
Nassau Long Beach 35,596 9,900 5,991 61.71% 37.34% 5.84% 12.79% 2.29%
Nassau NHempstead 14,810 4,539 268 94.21% 5.56% 55.06% 32.73% 2.29%
Nassau Oyster Bay 207,997 45,920 53,387 45.87% 53.33% 1.71% 5.46% 4.69%
Suffolk Babylon 60,933 11,620 13,213 46.33% 52.68% 1.23% 7.45% 1.45%
Suffolk Islip 23,475 4,826 6,830 41.03% 58.07% 0.39% 3.14% 1.15%

My favorite district, really. You might look at the map and say… is that really an improvement? Yes, Massapequa, Bethpage, and Levittown are still here, as Amityville, Copaigue, and West Islip. However, in picking up Uniondale, Hempstead, and Freeport in the Town of Hempstead, and parts of Syosset, Jericho, and Plainview, the Democratic performance improves quite a bit. It would have been higher had I not included the South Shore in Suffolk County and instead grabbed Plainview, but I wanted to hold the 2nd constant. All in all, up 6.6% to 54.0% Democratic. Perfect for someone like Dave Mejias who can keep the margins in Massapequa down.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
2 700,333 161,736 124,818 56.14% 43.32% 9.88% 14.76% 2.59%
Nassau Oyster Bay 22,604 8,224 5,204 60.82% 38.49% 0.68% 2.11% 4.19%
Suffolk Babylon 159,088 36,443 22,697 61.18% 38.10% 20.38% 11.04% 2.04%
Suffolk Brookhaven 58,579 11,900 11,352 51.15% 48.79% 1.48% 11.15% 1.59%
Suffolk Huntington 147,345 38,687 32,517 54.31% 45.65% 5.33% 8.01% 4.17%
Suffolk Islip 312,717 66,482 53,048 55.16% 44.02% 8.91% 21.44% 2.20%

Steve Israel’s district is mostly unchanged, still centered on the towns of Huntington, Islip, and Babylon, including Melville, Dix Hills, and Ronkonkoma. It also takes in a small section of Nassau (parts of Woodbury, Plainview, and Old Bethpage), keeping the Democratic performance up. Instead of Republican Smithtown, the district takes out Patchogue, Holtsville, and Farmingville from the town of Crookhaven. Democratic performance is essentially unchanged from 56.13%.

County/Division 2010 Pop Obama McCain Obama% McCain% Black% Hisp% Asian%
1 700,334 162,488 152,284 51.52% 48.28% 4.13% 7.00% 2.47%
Suffolk Brookhaven 432,826 97,765 86,672 52.99% 46.97% 4.41% 7.62% 3.05%
Suffolk East Hampton 22,388 7,786 3,993 66.07% 33.88% 3.44% 14.78% 1.19%
Suffolk Riverhead 35,929 7,540 7,968 48.59% 51.35% 10.34% 6.06% 0.90%
Suffolk Shelter Island 2,560 1,086 786 57.98% 41.96% 0.51% 2.38% 0.47%
Suffolk Smithtown 121,316 26,114 34,409 42.78% 56.37% 0.59% 3.33% 2.37%
Suffolk Southampton 62,595 15,862 11,967 56.98% 42.99% 6.34% 8.56% 0.82%
Suffolk Southold 22,720 6,335 6,489 49.36% 50.56% 2.81% 4.77% 0.43%

Lastly, we arrive at the 1st district, again, mostly unchanged. It contains the Hamptons, Southold, Riverhead, all of Smithtown, and most of Brookhaven. Obama’s performance is up just a tad to 51.52%.

And there we have it, my 27-1 plan for New York. Comments and questions (and witty remarks!) welcome, as always. (That tutorial is coming up, I promise!)

New States and Changes in Daves Redistricting App

I’ve just uploaded a change that allows the application to use voting districts in addition to block groups, as the building blocks for drawing redistricting maps. This is a step toward getting partison data (specifically the 2008 presidential vote) into the app, because voting district partisan data is available for many states. That will require a bit more work, but will be coming soon.

I’ve added 6 new states, all using voting districts: Alabama, Colorado, Illinois, Maryland, Mississippi and Virginia. I added voting districts to the existing state Georgia, so it supports both. If you have saved DRFs, you’ll need to keep using block groups on those files.

Check it out at Daves Redistricting. Enjoy.